Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<div><p>There are currently ~1,500 stocks listed in the Mothers, JASDAQ, and Second Sections of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. As time passes, some of these stocks will "graduate" to the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE1), triggering inclusion into the TOPIX Index causing passive funds tracking TOPIX to buy them on an inclusion event. This presents various trading opportunities in several phases of this event timeline.  </p></div><div>
<p>Being able to identify such candidates at a "Pre-event" phase (before the TSE reassignment is confirmed) can unlock great value for speculative bets. Smartkarma readers familiar with the work of Quiddity Advisors will be able to recall the attractive rewards <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinnihonseiyaku-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28122:1" rel="noopener">Shinnihonseiyaku Co Ltd (4931 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gremz-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1858:1" rel="noopener">Gremz Inc (3150 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sansan-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28112:1" rel="noopener">Sansan Inc (4443 JP)</a> were able to deliver in their pre-event phases. </p>
<p>This insight is a continuation of our work in identifying such pre-event candidates.</p>
<p><em>More below the fold</em>  </p>
</div>

There are currently ~1,500 stocks listed in the Mothers, JASDAQ, and Second Sections of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. As time passes, some of these stocks will "graduate" to the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE1), triggering inclusion into the TOPIX Index causing passive funds tracking TOPIX to buy them on an inclusion event. This presents various trading opportunities in several phases of this event timeline.  
Being able to identify such candidates at a "Pre-event" phase (before the TSE reassignment is confirmed) can unlock great value for speculative bets. Smartkarma readers familiar with the work of Quiddity Advisors will be able to recall the attractive rewards Shinnihonseiyaku Co Ltd (4931 JP), Gremz Inc (3150 JP), and Sansan Inc (4443 JP) were able to deliver in their pre-event phases. 
This insight is a continuation of our work in identifying such pre-event candidates.
More below the fold  


<p>In the month of January 2021, one of the most anticipated TOPIX Inclusion candidates, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a> announced its move to TSE1 triggering what could potentially be one of the largest TOPIX Inclusion events in recent memory. The stock could see its TOPIX Inclusion take place at the end of February, along with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sansan-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28112:1" rel="noopener">Sansan Inc (4443 JP)</a> - another larger-than-usual candidate - and two other super-high-impact names <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bull-dog-sauce-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16235:1" rel="noopener">Bull Dog Sauce (2804 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alps-logistics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3935:1" rel="noopener">Alps Logistics (9055 JP)</a>. There is plenty to look forward to. </p><p>In this insight, I have provided performance updates for 6 "Live" event stocks (including the names mentioned above) which are expected to have Inclusion Events at the end of February 2021 and 14 "Post" event stocks that completed their Inclusion Events at the end of December 2020 and January 2021 (on 28 January 2021).</p><p>Furthermore, I have also highlighted some interesting Pre-event situations involving stocks that are likely to become TSE1-promotion candidates in the near future. </p>

In the month of January 2021, one of the most anticipated TOPIX Inclusion candidates, Toshiba Corp (6502 JP) announced its move to TSE1 triggering what could potentially be one of the largest TOPIX Inclusion events in recent memory. The stock could see its TOPIX Inclusion take place at the end of February, along with Sansan Inc (4443 JP) - another larger-than-usual candidate - and two other super-high-impact names Bull Dog Sauce (2804 JP) and Alps Logistics (9055 JP). There is plenty to look forward to. In this insight, I have provided performance updates for 6 "Live" event stocks (including the names mentioned above) which are expected to have Inclusion Events at the end of February 2021 and 14 "Post" event stocks that completed their Inclusion Events at the end of December 2020 and January 2021 (on 28 January 2021).Furthermore, I have also highlighted some interesting Pre-event situations involving stocks that are likely to become TSE1-promotion candidates in the near future. 

<p>With the Section Transfer Requirements to move to TSE1 becoming more stringent, some small-cap candidates have been rushing to enter TSE1 so that they can avoid having to face the new regulations under which they may struggle to qualify. This trend has resulted in a "<em>flurry</em>" of TOPIX Inclusion Trades in the month of December 2020 as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/travis-lundy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:25" rel="noopener">Travis Lundy</a> predicted in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/the-tse-s-listing-criteria-revisions-part-i" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:43150" rel="noopener">The TSE's Listing Criteria Revisions - Part I</a>.</p>
<blockquote>
<p>For index inclusion and event traders taking advantage of a large number of interesting trades, the number will suddenly go waaaay down. This means <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/janaghan-jeyakumar-cfa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:3173" rel="noopener">Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA</a> likely has a flurry of interesting trade ideas to read about in the next few months, but after about March next year, things will drop off in a hurry.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>In this insight, I have provided performance updates for 11 "Live" event stocks which are expected to have Inclusion Events at the end of January 2021 and 6 "Post" event stocks that completed their Inclusion Events at the end of November 2020 and December 2020. Furthermore, I have also highlighted some interesting Pre-event situations involving stocks that are likely to become TSE1-promotion candidates in the near future. </p>

With the Section Transfer Requirements to move to TSE1 becoming more stringent, some small-cap candidates have been rushing to enter TSE1 so that they can avoid having to face the new regulations under which they may struggle to qualify. This trend has resulted in a "flurry" of TOPIX Inclusion Trades in the month of December 2020 as Travis Lundy predicted in The TSE's Listing Criteria Revisions - Part I.

For index inclusion and event traders taking advantage of a large number of interesting trades, the number will suddenly go waaaay down. This means Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA likely has a flurry of interesting trade ideas to read about in the next few months, but after about March next year, things will drop off in a hurry.

In this insight, I have provided performance updates for 11 "Live" event stocks which are expected to have Inclusion Events at the end of January 2021 and 6 "Post" event stocks that completed their Inclusion Events at the end of November 2020 and December 2020. Furthermore, I have also highlighted some interesting Pre-event situations involving stocks that are likely to become TSE1-promotion candidates in the near future. 

Quantitative Analysis

<div>
<p>When Japanese small-cap stocks listed on JASDAQ, MOTHERS, and the Second Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange aim at the big leagues and apply for reassignment to the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange and are accepted, it causes significant events to occur. This triggers inclusion into the TOPIX Index which means passive funds tracking TOPIX need to buy on an inclusion event. This opens up several interesting trading opportunities for investors. </p>
</div>
<div>
<p>In this insight, I have provided performance updates for 7 "Live" event stocks which are expected to have Inclusion Events at the end of December 2020 or January 2021 and 8 "Post" event stocks that completed their Inclusion Events at the end of October 2020 and November 2020. Furthermore, I have also highlighted some interesting Pre-event situations involving stocks that are likely to become TSE1-promotion candidates in the near future. </p>
</div>


When Japanese small-cap stocks listed on JASDAQ, MOTHERS, and the Second Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange aim at the big leagues and apply for reassignment to the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange and are accepted, it causes significant events to occur. This triggers inclusion into the TOPIX Index which means passive funds tracking TOPIX need to buy on an inclusion event. This opens up several interesting trading opportunities for investors. 


In this insight, I have provided performance updates for 7 "Live" event stocks which are expected to have Inclusion Events at the end of December 2020 or January 2021 and 8 "Post" event stocks that completed their Inclusion Events at the end of October 2020 and November 2020. Furthermore, I have also highlighted some interesting Pre-event situations involving stocks that are likely to become TSE1-promotion candidates in the near future. 


Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/janaghan-jeyakumar-cfa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:3173" rel="noopener">Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA</a> wrote about TSE-2 listed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gremz-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1858:1" rel="noopener">Gremz Inc (3150 JP)</a> almost exactly two months ago in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/topix-inclusion-pre-event-trade-3150-jp-tachiaigai-bunbai-announced-it-s-green" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:43263" rel="noopener">TOPIX Inclusion Pre-Event Trade (3150 JP): Tachiaigai Bunbai Announced. It's GREEN.</a> on the premise that the tachiaigai bunbai event would lead to TOPIX inclusion because it would apply before the TSE1 Listing Rules changed on 1 November. </p><p>When he wrote, the shares had closed at ¥1,609/share and he said:</p><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/172/099/original/Screenshot%202020-11-16%20at%208.36.06%20PM.png?1605530184" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="172099"></figure></section><p>Indeed, the shares traded up, then down back below ¥1,600 share when the tachiaigai bunbai was approaching. It was a good time to pick up shares. </p><p>Since then, shares are up 35% while TOPIX is up 5.5%. </p><h3>The NEW News</h3><p>Gremz (pronounced "Grimss"), which sells energy management solutions for home photovoltaic systems including systems, batteries, and related equipment, energy consultancy services for small businesses, and retails electricity (fastest-growing segment now) <a href="https://ssl4.eir-parts.net/doc/3150/tdnet/1906963/00.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> after the close on 16 November 2020 they had received approval to move to the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange as of 24th November 2020. </p><div><p>TSE1 reassignment triggers inclusion into the TOPIX Index and the Inclusion Event can be expected to be at the close of trading 29th December 2020. </p></div><div><p>In this insight, we take a look at the Index Inclusion Parameters and the Fundamentals of the company to evaluate the upside potential of the TOPIX Inclusion Event. </p></div>

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA wrote about TSE-2 listed Gremz Inc (3150 JP) almost exactly two months ago in TOPIX Inclusion Pre-Event Trade (3150 JP): Tachiaigai Bunbai Announced. It's GREEN. on the premise that the tachiaigai bunbai event would lead to TOPIX inclusion because it would apply before the TSE1 Listing Rules changed on 1 November. When he wrote, the shares had closed at ¥1,609/share and he said:Indeed, the shares traded up, then down back below ¥1,600 share when the tachiaigai bunbai was approaching. It was a good time to pick up shares. Since then, shares are up 35% while TOPIX is up 5.5%. The NEW NewsGremz (pronounced "Grimss"), which sells energy management solutions for home photovoltaic systems including systems, batteries, and related equipment, energy consultancy services for small businesses, and retails electricity (fastest-growing segment now) announced after the close on 16 November 2020 they had received approval to move to the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange as of 24th November 2020. TSE1 reassignment triggers inclusion into the TOPIX Index and the Inclusion Event can be expected to be at the close of trading 29th December 2020. In this insight, we take a look at the Index Inclusion Parameters and the Fundamentals of the company to evaluate the upside potential of the TOPIX Inclusion Event. 

Gremz (3150 JP) - TOPIX Inclusion Announced - Up 35% So Far. More To Go?

Japan

gremz,Inc. provides energy cost reducing consultation. The Company offers electric cost-effective products and services. Ubiquitous Energy provides environmentally friendly consulting services.

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Gremz Inc (3150 JP)

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Gremz (3150 JP) - TOPIX Inclusion Announced - Up 35% So Far. More To Go?

Gremz has announced its TOPIX Inclusion. It was up 35% from the announcement of the tachiaigai bunbai til now. It may still run.

Travis Lundy

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