IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pact-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:692:1" rel="noopener">Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU)</a> has disclosed an unconditional takeover proposal from Raphael Geminder at A$0.68 per share, a 0.7% premium to the undisturbed price (12 September).</li>
<li>Mr. Geminder's justification for a little-to-no premium offer is based on the premise that minorities are clambering for a liquidity event to exit a no-hope situation. </li>
<li>The offer price is unattractive on any reasonable metric. A successful privatisation would require a bump. The shares closed 6.6% higher than the offer. </li>
</ul>



Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU) has disclosed an unconditional takeover proposal from Raphael Geminder at A$0.68 per share, a 0.7% premium to the undisturbed price (12 September).
Mr. Geminder's justification for a little-to-no premium offer is based on the premise that minorities are clambering for a liquidity event to exit a no-hope situation. 
The offer price is unattractive on any reasonable metric. A successful privatisation would require a bump. The shares closed 6.6% higher than the offer. 


Pact Group (PGH AU): Raphael Geminder’s Opportunistic Proposal

Independent Research, Turtles all the way down

Turtles all the way down

Independent Research

Writing short articles about mis-priced boring stocks around the world.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In this post I tracked my performance on stock mentioned in my blog, and I would like to officially close some ideas here.</li><li>I will start doing that from now on. Something I did privately but not on the blog publicly.</li><li>Either because they have worked out and upside is no more attractive, or because the facts have changed.</li></ul>

In this post I tracked my performance on stock mentioned in my blog, and I would like to officially close some ideas here.I will start doing that from now on. Something I did privately but not on the blog publicly.Either because they have worked out and upside is no more attractive, or because the facts have changed.

<ul><li>Lately I have seen a lot of doomporn on Twitter about Europe. A lot of people seem to almost be excited about the energy predicament Europe is in.</li><li>So I thought I would write some anti-doom porn. And in doing so I actually became a bit more pessimistic LOL. At least for the next year or two.</li><li>Since there is no denying that the EU is in a bad spot as it imported 150 billion m3 of gas from Russia.</li></ul>

Lately I have seen a lot of doomporn on Twitter about Europe. A lot of people seem to almost be excited about the energy predicament Europe is in.So I thought I would write some anti-doom porn. And in doing so I actually became a bit more pessimistic LOL. At least for the next year or two.Since there is no denying that the EU is in a bad spot as it imported 150 billion m3 of gas from Russia.

<ul><li>They make steel/plastic/fibre/paper based industrial packaging. 10-15% ROIC including intangibles, and nearly 20% ROIC on tangible assets.</li><li>Earnings this year will only be a tad bit higher than in 2019 (before synergies of their early 2019 Caraustar acquisition were realized), so it is not a Covid winner.</li><li>Yet it trades at a historically low PE multiple</li></ul>

They make steel/plastic/fibre/paper based industrial packaging. 10-15% ROIC including intangibles, and nearly 20% ROIC on tangible assets.Earnings this year will only be a tad bit higher than in 2019 (before synergies of their early 2019 Caraustar acquisition were realized), so it is not a Covid winner.Yet it trades at a historically low PE multiple

Macro Strategist, Saxo Capital Markets

Kay Van-Petersen

Macro Strategist

Saxo Capital Markets

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>It's time to break out the analysis on gold and silver miners</li><li>Some goldminers are trading well below P/B, with potential price moves of +4x just to get back to median P/B levels</li><li>Fed week: watch for dovishness; US GDP watch for a miss. Both of these plus coming up to month end could add to near-term equity bullish sentiment</li><li>Central bank meetings include Japan, New Zealand, South Africa, Russia and Nigeria</li></ul>

It's time to break out the analysis on gold and silver minersSome goldminers are trading well below P/B, with potential price moves of +4x just to get back to median P/B levelsFed week: watch for dovishness; US GDP watch for a miss. Both of these plus coming up to month end could add to near-term equity bullish sentimentCentral bank meetings include Japan, New Zealand, South Africa, Russia and Nigeria

The Macro Take: Get the Picks Out for Gold and Silver Miners

United States

Greif Inc. manufactures and markets industrial packaging products and services. The Company provides steel, plastic, fiber, corrugated and multiwall containers. Greif also produces containerboard and has operations nationwide.

Silgan Holdings Inc. and its subsidiaries manufacture consumer goods packaging products.  The Company currently produces steel and aluminum containers for human and pet food, custom designed plastic containers for various markets, plastic closures and caps, thermoformed  plastic tubs, and specialty packaging items.  Silgan markets its products in North America.

Sealed Air Corporation manufactures packaging and performance-based materials and equipment systems that serve food, industrial, medical, and consumer applications.

Sonoco Products Company manufactures industrial and consumer packaging solutions for customers around the world.  The Company's products include flexible packaging, high density film products, and folding cartons.  Sonoco Products also has an integrated network of global technology centers focused on materials science, packaging engineering, and process improvement.

UFP Technologies, Inc. designs and manufactures a broad range of high-performance cushion packaging and specialty foam and plastic products for the industrial and consumer markets. The Company also custom designs and manufactures precision molded fiber packaging products made primarily from recycled paper.

O-I Glass, Inc. manufactures packaging products. The Company produces various types of glass bottles for food, beverage, cosmetics, and other related industries. O-I Glass serves customers worldwide.

Berry Global Group Inc. manufactures plastic products and containers. The Company produces agricultural film, moisture control products for buildings, closures, disposable cutlery, drop cloths, flexible packaging, overcaps, tapes, tubes, bottles, drink cups, lids, and trash bags. Berry Plastics markets its products worldwide.

Myers Industries, Inc. manufactures plastic and rubber products for industrial, agricultural, automotive, commercial, and consumer markets.  The Company's products include plastic containers, rubber tire repair products, and custom rubber materials.  Myers is also a wholesale distributor of tools, equipment, and supplies for the tire service and automotive underbody repair industry.

Quaker Chemical Corporation produces, develops, and markets custom-formulated chemical specialty products.  The Company also provides fluid management services for manufacturers around the world, primarily in the steel, automotive, and can industries.

Huntsman Corporation manufactures differentiated and commodity chemical products.  The Company markets a broad range of chemical products and formulations to a diversified group of consumer and industrial customers. Huntsman's products are used in a range of applications, including those in adhesives, aerospace, automotive, construction products, and consumer products.

Vidrala SA manufactures glass bottles and markets them throughout Europe.  The Company produces bottles for beverages, vegetable oils, and preserves.

Huhtamaki Oyj manufactures consumer packaging products.  The Company produces disposable food service and tableware products, such as cups, plates, and trays, as well as containers for fresh meats, fruits, dairy products, frozen foods, coffee, and detergents.  Huhtamaki makes the containers of paper, molded fibers, and plastics.  The Company manufactures in many countries and sells worldwide.

Klabin S.A. produces, exports, and recycles paper. The Company's products include packaging paper and board, corrugated boxes, industrial sacks and timber in logs for saw mills and veneer plants.

SCG Packaging Public Company Limited provides packaging services and solutions. The Company offers fiber-based packaging, performance and polymer packaging, and food service products, as well as designing and printing services. SCG Packaging serves customers worldwide.

Toyo Seikan Group Holdings Ltd primarily manufactures, markets, and sells metal, plastic, and glass packaging products and containers.  The Company specializes in food cans, 18-liter cans, and other beverage cans.  Toyo Seikan also produces steel products such as steel sheets.

Orora Limited provides packaging products and services. The Company offers fiber, glass, and beverage can packaging materials in Australia and Asia and packaging distribution services in North America and Australia.

BillerudKorsnas AB offers primary fibre-based renewable packaging materials and packaging solutions used for consumer packaging and industrial purposes.

Mayr-Melnhof Karton AG manufactures cardboard, folding cartons, and packaging materials primarily from recycled wastepaper.  The Company operates production facilities in Austria and throughout Europe.

Winpak Ltd. manufactures and distributes packaging materials and machines for the protection of perishable foods, beverages, and dairy products.  The Company also has clients in the non-food markets such as pharmaceutical and complex industrial applications.

Greif, Inc. manufactures and markets industrial packaging products and services. The Company provides steel, plastic, fibre, flexible and corrugated containers, packaging accessories, and containerboard, as well as provides blending, filling, and packaging services. Greif serves customers worldwide.

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Greif Inc (GEF/B US)

Pact Group (PGH AU): Raphael Geminder’s Opportunistic Proposal

The offer price is unattractive on any reasonable metric. A successful privatisation would require a bump. The shares closed 6.6% higher than the...

Arun George

Closing Some Idea's

In this post I tracked my performance on stock mentioned in my blog, and I would like to officially close some ideas here. I will start doing that...

Turtles all the way down

Europe will be fine

Lately I have seen a lot of doomporn on Twitter about Europe. A lot of people seem to almost be excited about the energy predicament Europe is in.

Turtles all the way down

Greif B Shares - Boring and Reliable

They make steel/plastic/fibre/paper based industrial packaging. 10-15% ROIC including intangibles, and nearly 20% ROIC on tangible assets.

Turtles all the way down

The Macro Take: Get the Picks Out for Gold and Silver Miners

It's time to break out the analysis on gold and silver miners Some goldminers are trading well below P/B, with potential price moves of +4x just...

Kay Van-Petersen

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