Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

Sichuan Biokin Pharmaceutical / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The December 2024 index review results for China's CSI 300 and CSI 500 indices were announced after market close on Friday 29th November 2024.</li>
<li>There will be 16 ADDs/DELs for CSI 300 and 50 ADDs/DELs for CSI 500.</li>
<li>The CSI 300 and CSI 500 index rebal events could trigger US$4.5bn and US$3.8bn in one-way flows respectively.</li>
</ul>


The December 2024 index review results for China's CSI 300 and CSI 500 indices were announced after market close on Friday 29th November 2024.
There will be 16 ADDs/DELs for CSI 300 and 50 ADDs/DELs for CSI 500.
The CSI 300 and CSI 500 index rebal events could trigger US$4.5bn and US$3.8bn in one-way flows respectively.


Quiddity CSI 300/​​500 Dec 24 Results: ~90% Hit Rate; Positive Start for the Trade

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There are 12 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> and 50 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI Smallcap 500 Index (SH000905 INDEX)</a> in June. Most changes were expected.</li>
<li>There are a lot of stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade. The round-trip trade in June is estimated to be US$5bn.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes for both indices but the return profile of a long adds/ short deletes trade for the CSI500 Index is a lot smoother.</li>
</ul>


There are 12 changes for the CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) and 50 changes for the CSI Smallcap 500 Index (SH000905 INDEX) in June. Most changes were expected.
There are a lot of stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade. The round-trip trade in June is estimated to be US$5bn.
The adds have outperformed the deletes for both indices but the return profile of a long adds/ short deletes trade for the CSI500 Index is a lot smoother.


CSI300/CSI500 Index Rebalance: Big Flows and US$5bn Round-Trip Trade

Shenzhen New Industries Biomedical Engineering-A / Event-Driven

Shenzhen New Industries Biomedical Engineering-A

<ul>
<li>The June 2024 index review results for China's CSI 300 and CSI 500 indices were announced after market close on Friday 31st May 2024.</li>
<li>There will be 12 changes in CSI 300 and 50 changes in CSI 500 which could collectively cause one-way index flows of ~US$3.7bn during the June 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Compared to Quiddity's final expectations, 114 out of the 124 index changes (both ways) were correct translating to a hit rate of 92%. </li>
</ul>


The June 2024 index review results for China's CSI 300 and CSI 500 indices were announced after market close on Friday 31st May 2024.
There will be 12 changes in CSI 300 and 50 changes in CSI 500 which could collectively cause one-way index flows of ~US$3.7bn during the June 2024 index rebal event.
Compared to Quiddity's final expectations, 114 out of the 124 index changes (both ways) were correct translating to a hit rate of 92%. 


Quiddity CSI 300/​​500 Jun 24 Rebalance: 92% Hit Rate; US$3.7bn One-Way Flows

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<p>Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.</p>In this Insight:<ol><li><a href='/entities/lippo-malls-indonesia-retail-trust' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust</a></li><li><a href='/entities/vedanta-resources-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Vedanta Resources</a></li><li><a href='/entities/renew-energy-global-plc' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>ReNew Energy Global </a></li><li><a href='/entities/china-jinmao-holdings-group' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>China Jinmao Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Geely Auto</a></li></ol>and more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail TrustVedanta ResourcesReNew Energy Global China Jinmao HoldingsGeely Autoand more...

<p>Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.</p>In this Insight:<ol><li><a href='/entities/sunny-optical-technology-group' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Sunny Optical Technology Group</a></li><li><a href='/entities/yuexiu-property-co-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Yuexiu Property </a></li><li><a href='/entities/vedanta-resources-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Vedanta Resources</a></li><li><a href='/entities/tata-motors-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Tata Motors Ltd</a></li><li><a href='/entities/adani-ports-special-economic-zone-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone</a></li></ol>and more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:Sunny Optical Technology GroupYuexiu Property Vedanta ResourcesTata Motors LtdAdani Ports & Special Economic Zoneand more...

China

Greenland Holdings Corp., Ltd. provides real estate sales, exchange, rental, evaluation, consulting, maintenance, green projects, and energy services.

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Greenland Holdings Corp (600606 CH)

Quiddity CSI 300/500 Dec 24 Results: ~90% Hit Rate; Positive Start for the Trade

The LONGs have outperformed the Index by 2.2% since 5th November. The trade has to be now adjusted for the surprises in the latest index change...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

CSI300/CSI500 Index Rebalance: Big Flows and US$5bn Round-Trip Trade

The CSI300/CSI500 indices rebalance at the close tomorrow. Since announcement, the inclusions to the CSI300 index have outperformed the deletes by...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity CSI 300/500 Jun 24 Rebalance: 92% Hit Rate; US$3.7bn One-Way Flows

The Inclusion/Exclusion events can be expected to take place at the close of trading on Friday 14th June 2024. We expect certain inflow names to...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Weekly Wrap - 19 Jan 2024

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

Weekly Wrap - 12 Jan 2024

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

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Quiddity CSI 300/​​500 Dec 24 Results: ~90% Hit Rate; Positive Start for the Trade

The LONGs have outperformed the Index by 2.2% since 5th November. The trade has to be now adjusted for the surprises in the latest index change...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

CSI300/CSI500 Index Rebalance: Big Flows and US$5bn Round-Trip Trade

The CSI300/CSI500 indices rebalance at the close tomorrow. Since announcement, the inclusions to the CSI300 index have outperformed the deletes by...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity CSI 300/​​500 Jun 24 Rebalance: 92% Hit Rate; US$3.7bn One-Way Flows

The Inclusion/Exclusion events can be expected to take place at the close of trading on Friday 14th June 2024. We expect certain inflow names to...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Weekly Wrap - 19 Jan 2024

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

Weekly Wrap - 12 Jan 2024

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

Quiddity CSI 300/500 Dec 24 Results: ~90% Hit Rate; Positive Start for the Trade

Quiddity CSI 300/500 Jun 24 Rebalance: 92% Hit Rate; US$3.7bn One-Way Flows