Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime Group (20 HK)</a>'s Free-Float Adjustment Factor (FAF) increases from 3% to 40% following lock-up expiry and the stock will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-pacific-insurance-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6177:1" rel="noopener">China Pacific Insurance (2601 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI INDEX</a>. </li>
<li>Using prices from the close on 19 August, estimated one-way turnover is 3.82% and will result in a one-way trade of HK$2,751m at the close on 2 September.</li>
<li>Increase in the FAF on a couple of stocks saves them from index deletion in September but is probably not enough to save them from index deletion in December.</li>
</ul>



SenseTime Group (20 HK)'s Free-Float Adjustment Factor (FAF) increases from 3% to 40% following lock-up expiry and the stock will replace China Pacific Insurance (2601 HK) in the HSCEI INDEX. 
Using prices from the close on 19 August, estimated one-way turnover is 3.82% and will result in a one-way trade of HK$2,751m at the close on 2 September.
Increase in the FAF on a couple of stocks saves them from index deletion in September but is probably not enough to save them from index deletion in December.


HSCEI Index Rebalance: SenseTime (20 HK) Added As FAF Increases Dramatically

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Aug 19th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Ck Asset (1113 HK), ASMPT (522 HK), FIH Mobile Limited (2038 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA(1299 HK), Great Wall Motor (2333 HK), CK Asset (1113 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Aug 19th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Ck Asset (1113 HK), ASMPT (522 HK), FIH Mobile Limited (2038 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA(1299 HK), Great Wall Motor (2333 HK), CK Asset (1113 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly: CK Asset, ASMPT

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A/H premium of 142 A/H stocks are 116.5%, increased by 3.0ppt over last week.</li>
<li>The average A/H premium changed by 3.0ppt week on week, led by Real Estate, financials, and consumer discretionary sectors.</li>
<li>We highlight A/H premium changes of Great Wall Motor, Guangzhou Auto, Hisense Home, Tianqi Lithium, Jiangxi Copper, Angang Steel, Maanshan Iron, BBMG, Alcoa, Zoomlion, Cansino, Holly Futures, and ABC. </li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A/H premium of 142 A/H stocks are 116.5%, increased by 3.0ppt over last week.
The average A/H premium changed by 3.0ppt week on week, led by Real Estate, financials, and consumer discretionary sectors.
We highlight A/H premium changes of Great Wall Motor, Guangzhou Auto, Hisense Home, Tianqi Lithium, Jiangxi Copper, Angang Steel, Maanshan Iron, BBMG, Alcoa, Zoomlion, Cansino, Holly Futures, and ABC. 


A-H Premium Weekly: Tianqi Lithium at New Low Post H-Share IPO

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for connect holding position as of Aug 12th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly inflows into Tencent, China Mobile and outflows from Meituan and Kuaishou.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for connect holding position as of Aug 12th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight weekly inflows into Tencent, China Mobile and outflows from Meituan and Kuaishou.


Hong Kong Connect Flows: Tencent, China Mobile, Meituan and Kuaishou

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine. We estimated that inflows to HK market were USD 1.7bn in July.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors. Inflows were driven by real estate, industrials, and communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight monthly flows of Tencent, Li Auto, GCL, Xiaomi, Meituan, GWM, Wuxi Biologics, HKEx.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine. We estimated that inflows to HK market were USD 1.7bn in July.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors. Inflows were driven by real estate, industrials, and communication services.
We highlight monthly flows of Tencent, Li Auto, GCL, Xiaomi, Meituan, GWM, Wuxi Biologics, HKEx.


Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly (July): Tencent, Li Auto, GCL

China

Great Wall Motor Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells pick-up trucks and sport-utility vehicles (SUVs) in China under branded names. The Company also researches and manufactures principal automotive parts and components for use in the assembly of pick-up trucks and SUVs. Great Wall Motor conducts business in China, USA, Japan, Canada, Korea, and other regions.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Great Wall Motor (601633 CH)

HSCEI Index Rebalance: SenseTime (20 HK) Added As FAF Increases Dramatically

SenseTime's FAF increases from 3% to 40% & the stock will replace CPIC in the HSCEI. Passive trackers will need to buy 7 days of ADV on SenseTime...

Brian Freitas

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly: CK Asset, ASMPT

We highlight top 3 companies by backback amount last week in Hong Kong: Ck Asset (1113 HK), ASMPT (522 HK), FIH Mobile Limited (2038 HK). For the...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows: Tencent, China Mobile, Meituan and Kuaishou

We highlight weekly southbound Hong Kong Connect inflows into Tencent, China Mobile and outflows from Meituan and Kuaishou.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly (July): Tencent, Li Auto, GCL

Southbound HK Connect recorded the sixth month of inflows in July. We highlight monthly flows of Tencent, Li Auto, GCL, Xiaomi, Meituan, GWM, Wuxi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HSCEI Index Rebalance: SenseTime (20 HK) Added As FAF Increases Dramatically

SenseTime's FAF increases from 3% to 40% & the stock will replace CPIC in the HSCEI. Passive trackers will need to buy 7 days of ADV on SenseTime...

Brian Freitas

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly: CK Asset, ASMPT

We highlight top 3 companies by backback amount last week in Hong Kong: Ck Asset (1113 HK), ASMPT (522 HK), FIH Mobile Limited (2038 HK). For the...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly: Tianqi Lithium at New Low Post H-Share IPO

The average A/H premium changed by 3.0ppt wow with stock highlight for Great Wall Motor, Guangzhou Auto, Hisense Home, Tianqi Lithium, Jiangxi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows: Tencent, China Mobile, Meituan and Kuaishou

We highlight weekly southbound Hong Kong Connect inflows into Tencent, China Mobile and outflows from Meituan and Kuaishou.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly (July): Tencent, Li Auto, GCL

Southbound HK Connect recorded the sixth month of inflows in July. We highlight monthly flows of Tencent, Li Auto, GCL, Xiaomi, Meituan, GWM, Wuxi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM