Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Great Wall Motor denied that many employees have resigned recently, but there many complaints from employees on social media.</li>
<li>Many small companies grew strongly, such as Tuniu up by 140% and Kanzhun up by 46%.</li>
<li>Weibo’s advertising revenue decreased, while most companies’ ad revenues have recovered.</li>
</ul>


Great Wall Motor denied that many employees have resigned recently, but there many complaints from employees on social media.
Many small companies grew strongly, such as Tuniu up by 140% and Kanzhun up by 46%.
Weibo’s advertising revenue decreased, while most companies’ ad revenues have recovered.


China Consumption Weekly (18 Mar 2024): Great Wall, KE, Tuniu, Tuhu Car, Boss Zhipin, Weibo

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND and NORTHBOUND flows net positive. NB 5 weeks in a row. AH premia rebounded slightly. AH Premia are still wide on average. Premia curves should still shift flatter.</li>
<li>Two Sessions seems like a good place to make positive public statements but recent speeches from the very top seem more oriented towards "The People Must Endure."</li>
</ul>


The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
SOUTHBOUND and NORTHBOUND flows net positive. NB 5 weeks in a row. AH premia rebounded slightly. AH Premia are still wide on average. Premia curves should still shift flatter.
Two Sessions seems like a good place to make positive public statements but recent speeches from the very top seem more oriented towards "The People Must Endure."


A/H Premium Tracker (To 1 Mar 2024):  Liquid AH Premia Still Wide

<ul>
<li>The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND flows were net negative and NORTHBOUND flows a decent buy. AH premia on average fell, but liquid pairs saw AH premia rise. Chinese/HK shares shellacked.</li>
<li>Watch the SOE stock price KPI space. Wouldn't be short SOEs vs Privates on H/A basis. Low-hanging fruit with some SOEs having large cash balances.</li>
</ul>


The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
SOUTHBOUND flows were net negative and NORTHBOUND flows a decent buy. AH premia on average fell, but liquid pairs saw AH premia rise. Chinese/HK shares shellacked.
Watch the SOE stock price KPI space. Wouldn't be short SOEs vs Privates on H/A basis. Low-hanging fruit with some SOEs having large cash balances.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 2 Feb 2024):  Liquid AH Premia Near Multi-Yr Wides, Wide Spreads Narrowing

<ul>
<li>A week after the State Council issued "Several Opinions" (关于加强监管防范风险推动资本市场高质量发展的若干意见》), the CSRC <a href="http://www.csrc.gov.cn/csrc/c100028/c7474875/content.shtml" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> Friday five capital market cooperation measures with HK Connect. The goals are to increase cross-border investor flows.</li>
<li>They include: a broader range of ETFs in Connect, including REITs in both directions, include RMB counters in Southbound, improve mutual recognition of funds, increasing China IPOs in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>RMB Dual Counters Southbound-eligible will take time. They have some homework, but it is on the "To Do" list "as soon as possible and smoothly." Watch impact on H/A Pairs.</li>
</ul>


A week after the State Council issued "Several Opinions" (关于加强监管防范风险推动资本市场高质量发展的若干意见》), the CSRC announced Friday five capital market cooperation measures with HK Connect. The goals are to increase cross-border investor flows.
They include: a broader range of ETFs in Connect, including REITs in both directions, include RMB counters in Southbound, improve mutual recognition of funds, increasing China IPOs in Hong Kong.
RMB Dual Counters Southbound-eligible will take time. They have some homework, but it is on the "To Do" list "as soon as possible and smoothly." Watch impact on H/A Pairs.


RMB Dual Counter Trading Is Coming - This Changes AH Relationships

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>EV Adoption in ASEAN is low compared to developed markets, however, development of a robust EV ecosystem remains a primary goal for the respective nations.</li>
<li>Governments in the region continues to introduce new policy measures and offer incentives to promote the sector, while companies continue to attract large investment to develop the EV market.</li>
<li>The four companies we looked at have reported earnings and we have discussed their latest results and our investment thesis.</li>
</ul>


EV Adoption in ASEAN is low compared to developed markets, however, development of a robust EV ecosystem remains a primary goal for the respective nations.
Governments in the region continues to introduce new policy measures and offer incentives to promote the sector, while companies continue to attract large investment to develop the EV market.
The four companies we looked at have reported earnings and we have discussed their latest results and our investment thesis.


ASEAN EV Ecosystem Update: Progressing Towards a Robust EV Ecosystem

China

Great Wall Motor Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells pick-up trucks and sport-utility vehicles (SUVs) in China under branded names. The Company also researches and develops, and manufactures principal automotive parts and components for use in the assembly of pick-up trucks and SUVs.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Great Wall Motor (2333 HK)

China Consumption Weekly (18 Mar 2024): Great Wall, KE, Tuniu, Tuhu Car, Boss Zhipin, Weibo

The company denied that many employees have resigned recently. Many small companies grew strongly, such as Tuniu up by 140% and Kanzhun up by 46%....

Ming Lu

A/H Premium Tracker (To 1 Mar 2024): Liquid AH Premia Still Wide

The Quiddity AH Monitor shows A/H Pair discount/premia and their history, as well as the SB and NB flows and position/history, and a recommended...

Travis Lundy

A/H Premium Tracker (To 2 Feb 2024): Liquid AH Premia Near Multi-Yr Wides, Wide Spreads Narrowing

AH Premia remain near their wides on a trading-value-wtd basis. HK+China stocks shellacked last week. Limited National Team buying perhaps ahead of...

Travis Lundy

RMB Dual Counter Trading Is Coming - This Changes AH Relationships

The CSRC has in principle approved HK-listed RMB Dual Counter stocks for southbound eligibility. There are wrinkles to iron out but they should be...

Travis Lundy

ASEAN EV Ecosystem Update: Progressing Towards a Robust EV Ecosystem

Development of a robust EV ecosystem remains a primary goal and the governments in the ASEAN region continue to introduce new policy measures and...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China Consumption Weekly (18 Mar 2024): Great Wall, KE, Tuniu, Tuhu Car, Boss Zhipin, Weibo

The company denied that many employees have resigned recently. Many small companies grew strongly, such as Tuniu up by 140% and Kanzhun up by 46%....

Ming Lu

A/H Premium Tracker (To 1 Mar 2024): Liquid AH Premia Still Wide

The Quiddity AH Monitor shows A/H Pair discount/premia and their history, as well as the SB and NB flows and position/history, and a recommended...

Travis Lundy

A/H Premium Tracker (To 2 Feb 2024): Liquid AH Premia Near Multi-Yr Wides, Wide Spreads Narrowing

AH Premia remain near their wides on a trading-value-wtd basis. HK+China stocks shellacked last week. Limited National Team buying perhaps ahead of...

Travis Lundy

RMB Dual Counter Trading Is Coming - This Changes AH Relationships

The CSRC has in principle approved HK-listed RMB Dual Counter stocks for southbound eligibility. There are wrinkles to iron out but they should be...

Travis Lundy

ASEAN EV Ecosystem Update: Progressing Towards a Robust EV Ecosystem

​Development of a robust EV ecosystem remains a primary goal and the governments in the ASEAN region continue to introduce new policy measures and...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Development of a robust EV ecosystem remains a primary goal and the governments in the ASEAN region continue to introduce new policy measures and...