APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In Mar 2022, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a> raised around US$1bn from what was essentially a domestic Indonesian IPO. </li>
<li>GoTo has already burnt through the cash it raised from the listing and cash burn still remains high, while its cash balance is amongst the lowest in its peer set.</li>
<li>At its current cash burn pace, the company will have to come to the markets again soon.</li>
</ul>


In Mar 2022, GoTo (GOTO IJ) raised around US$1bn from what was essentially a domestic Indonesian IPO. 
GoTo has already burnt through the cash it raised from the listing and cash burn still remains high, while its cash balance is amongst the lowest in its peer set.
At its current cash burn pace, the company will have to come to the markets again soon.


2023 High Conviction - GoTo - Burnt Through All Cash From the IPO, Weakest Cash Position Among Peers

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd</a> 3Q2022 results should be seen as the poster child for the rest of the space given a crystal clear focus on profitability and pragmatic approach to future growth.</li>
<li>The fact that the company is now contribution margin positive in ASEAN and even Adjusted EBITDA positive in Malaysia and Taiwan is a testament to its success in controlling costs. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd (SE US)</a> has seen a significant compression in valuations and now looks attractive on 2.1x FY2023V EV/Sales and 1.7x FY2024E EV/Sales.</li>
</ul>



Sea Ltd 3Q2022 results should be seen as the poster child for the rest of the space given a crystal clear focus on profitability and pragmatic approach to future growth.
The fact that the company is now contribution margin positive in ASEAN and even Adjusted EBITDA positive in Malaysia and Taiwan is a testament to its success in controlling costs. 

Sea Ltd (SE US) has seen a significant compression in valuations and now looks attractive on 2.1x FY2023V EV/Sales and 1.7x FY2024E EV/Sales.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab</a>'s recent results reflect a change of pace in terms of moving along the path to profitability with a more disciplined approach to incentives and a focus on cost controls. </li>
<li>Deliveries segment adjusted EBITDA turned positive for the first time, 3Qs ahead of previous guidance, and food 2Qs ahead of guidance both of which are positives.</li>
<li>A continuing drag will likely continue to come from expenses related to the buildout of its three digibanks. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab</a>'s headline EBITDA is not forecast to be positive until 2025. </li>
</ul>



Grab's recent results reflect a change of pace in terms of moving along the path to profitability with a more disciplined approach to incentives and a focus on cost controls. 
Deliveries segment adjusted EBITDA turned positive for the first time, 3Qs ahead of previous guidance, and food 2Qs ahead of guidance both of which are positives.
A continuing drag will likely continue to come from expenses related to the buildout of its three digibanks. Grab's headline EBITDA is not forecast to be positive until 2025. 


Grab (GRAB US) - Shifting Down a Gear for A Steep Ascent

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Event-Driven

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In Mar 2022, GoTo raised around US$1bn from what was essentially a domestic Indonesian IPO. Its pre-IPO shareholders will be released from their lockup soon.</li>
<li>GoTo was formed in May 2021 as a result of a merger between two of Indonesia’s largest unicorns Gojek, leading player in ride hailing, and Tokopedia, leading e-commerce player.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the upcoming lockup expiry.</li>
</ul>


In Mar 2022, GoTo raised around US$1bn from what was essentially a domestic Indonesian IPO. Its pre-IPO shareholders will be released from their lockup soon.
GoTo was formed in May 2021 as a result of a merger between two of Indonesia’s largest unicorns Gojek, leading player in ride hailing, and Tokopedia, leading e-commerce player.
In this note, we will talk about the upcoming lockup expiry.


GoTo IPO Lockup Expiry - US$13bn Lockup Release or in Other Words, the Real IPO

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a> reported 3Q2022 results on Monday. Gross revenue increased 30.4% YoY to IDR5.9trn while adjusted EBITDA (losses) dropped to 81.3% of net revenues vs 289% in 3Q2021.</li>
<li>There has been notable improvement in the company’s earnings (decline in losses in particular) driven by huge cost cuts on promotions which helped reduce losses.</li>
<li>However, cutting down promotions/marketing costs could lead to drop in top line growth and market share.</li>
</ul>



GoTo (GOTO IJ) reported 3Q2022 results on Monday. Gross revenue increased 30.4% YoY to IDR5.9trn while adjusted EBITDA (losses) dropped to 81.3% of net revenues vs 289% in 3Q2021.
There has been notable improvement in the company’s earnings (decline in losses in particular) driven by huge cost cuts on promotions which helped reduce losses.
However, cutting down promotions/marketing costs could lead to drop in top line growth and market share.


GoTo: Long-Term Profitability Is Worrying

Singapore

Grab Holdings Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, develops delivery management, mobility, financial services, and enterprise software solutions. Grab Holdings serves customers worldwide.

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Grab Holdings (GRAB US)

2023 High Conviction - GoTo - Burnt Through All Cash From the IPO, Weakest Cash Position Among Peers

In Mar 2022, GoTo (GOTO IJ) raised around US$1bn from what was essentially a domestic Indonesian IPO. At its current cash burn pace, the company...

Clarence Chu

Sea Ltd (SE US) - Wind Back in the Sails

Sea Ltd 3Q2022 results should be seen as the poster child for the rest of the space given a crystal clear focus on profitability and a more...

Angus Mackintosh

Grab (GRAB US) - Shifting Down a Gear for A Steep Ascent

Grab's recent results reflect a quickening pace moving along the path to profitability with a more disciplined approach to incentives and cost...

Angus Mackintosh

GoTo IPO Lockup Expiry - US$13bn Lockup Release or in Other Words, the Real IPO

In Mar 2022, GoTo raised around US$1bn from what was essentially a domestic Indonesian IPO. Its pre-IPO shareholders will be released from their...

Sumeet Singh

GoTo: Long-Term Profitability Is Worrying

GoTo reported 3Q2022 results. There has been notable improvement in profitability but we are not certain that this is sustainable as reduced...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

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