Research on International Stock Ideas, Value Punks

Value Punks

Research on International Stock Ideas

Value Punks’ mission is to deliver institutional-grade research on international stock ideas in a digestible, reader-friendly format.

At Value Punks, we blend our background in traditional value-investing with an openness to embrace a constantly and rapidly evolving investment and business landscape.

Institutional-Grade Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Grab is Southeast Asia’s dominant on-demand platform for ride-hailing and deliveries. It is also one of the top mobile wallet/fintech player in the region.
</li>
<li>
Amidst the dramatic turn in macro and capital markets conditions, incentives spending in the industry seems to be coming down fast and across the board as management teams’ focus shifts to profitability.
</li>
<li>
While share prices of tech companies have been severely punished, the downturn may also be a positive turning point to catalyze more rational industry behavior moving forward.
</li>
</ul>



Grab is Southeast Asia’s dominant on-demand platform for ride-hailing and deliveries. It is also one of the top mobile wallet/fintech player in the region.


Amidst the dramatic turn in macro and capital markets conditions, incentives spending in the industry seems to be coming down fast and across the board as management teams’ focus shifts to profitability.


While share prices of tech companies have been severely punished, the downturn may also be a positive turning point to catalyze more rational industry behavior moving forward.



Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Grab raised around US$4.5bn in its de-SPAC listing in Dec 2021. The shares are now trading around 68% below the listing price.</li>
<li>At the time of listing, all of its top investors were locked up for six months. The lock-up expires on 30th May 2022.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>


Grab raised around US$4.5bn in its de-SPAC listing in Dec 2021. The shares are now trading around 68% below the listing price.
At the time of listing, all of its top investors were locked up for six months. The lock-up expires on 30th May 2022.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


Grab IPO Lock-Up - Over 60% of the Stock Worth Nearly US$8bn Comes Free

Equity Capital Markets

Bukalapak.com PT Tbk / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Bukalapak (Buka) raised US$1.5bn in Aug 2021 when it priced its IPO at the top end of its pricing range.</li>
<li>Buka is an Indonesian e-commerce company. The company operates an online consumer-to-consumer (C2C) marketplace. It also operates Mitra Bukalapak (Mitra) which provides online-to-offline (O2O) services to MSMEs.</li>
<li>The pre-IPO shareholders will be released from the lockup on 6th April 2022.</li>
</ul>


Bukalapak (Buka) raised US$1.5bn in Aug 2021 when it priced its IPO at the top end of its pricing range.
Buka is an Indonesian e-commerce company. The company operates an online consumer-to-consumer (C2C) marketplace. It also operates Mitra Bukalapak (Mitra) which provides online-to-offline (O2O) services to MSMEs.
The pre-IPO shareholders will be released from the lockup on 6th April 2022.


Bukalapak IPO Lock-Up - Scattered Shareholding Could Put Some Pressure on the Share Price

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>GoTo aims to raise around US$1.25bn from a local listing, which will mainly be targeted at domestic investors. </li>
<li>GoTo, is an Indonesian holding company, was formed in May 2021 as a result of a merger between Gojek, leading player in ride hailing, and Tokopedia, leading e-commerce player.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the company's valuation.</li>
</ul>


GoTo aims to raise around US$1.25bn from a local listing, which will mainly be targeted at domestic investors. 
GoTo, is an Indonesian holding company, was formed in May 2021 as a result of a merger between Gojek, leading player in ride hailing, and Tokopedia, leading e-commerce player.
In this note, we will talk about the company's valuation.


GoTo IPO - Valuation - Missed the Tide, Boat Won’t Rise

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab (GRAB US)</a> reported 4Q2021 results yesterday (before market). IFRS revenue decreased 44.29% YoY to $122m (vs consensus $219m) compared to $219m in the same quarter a year ago.</li>
<li>Adjusted EBITDA (loss) for the quarter was -$305m (vs consensus -$206m) compared to -$102m a year ago as the company heavily spent on incentives to attract and retain drivers.</li>
<li>Grab’s shares have lost almost 40.0% during intra-day trading as its growth story did not bode well with the investors.</li>
</ul>



Grab (GRAB US) reported 4Q2021 results yesterday (before market). IFRS revenue decreased 44.29% YoY to $122m (vs consensus $219m) compared to $219m in the same quarter a year ago.
Adjusted EBITDA (loss) for the quarter was -$305m (vs consensus -$206m) compared to -$102m a year ago as the company heavily spent on incentives to attract and retain drivers.
Grab’s shares have lost almost 40.0% during intra-day trading as its growth story did not bode well with the investors.


Grab 4Q2021: Heavy Spending on Customer and Driver Incentives Hurts Earnings

Singapore

Grab Holdings Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, develops delivery management, mobility, financial services, and enterprise software solutions. Grab Holdings serves customers worldwide.

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Grab Holdings (GRAB US)

Deep Dive: GRAB

Grab is Southeast Asia’s dominant on-demand platform for ride-hailing and deliveries. It is also one of the top mobile wallet/fintech player in the...

Value Punks

Grab IPO Lock-Up - Over 60% of the Stock Worth Nearly US$8bn Comes Free

Grab raised around US$4.5bn in its de-SPAC listing in Dec 2021. The shares are now trading around 68% below the listing price. The lockup release...

Sumeet Singh

GoTo IPO - Valuation - Missed the Tide, Boat Won’t Rise

GoTo aims to raise around US$1.25bn from a local listing, which will mainly be targeted at domestic investors. In this note, we talk about its...

Sumeet Singh

Grab 4Q2021: Heavy Spending on Customer and Driver Incentives Hurts Earnings

Grab's first post-IPO results was disappointing as both revenues and margins dropped due to heavy spending on customer/driver incentives. Share...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Deep Dive: GRAB

Grab is Southeast Asia’s dominant on-demand platform for ride-hailing and deliveries. It is also one of the top mobile wallet/fintech player in the...

Value Punks

Grab IPO Lock-Up - Over 60% of the Stock Worth Nearly US$8bn Comes Free

Grab raised around US$4.5bn in its de-SPAC listing in Dec 2021. The shares are now trading around 68% below the listing price. The lockup release...

Sumeet Singh

Bukalapak IPO Lock-Up - Scattered Shareholding Could Put Some Pressure on the Share Price

Bukalapak (Buka) raised US$1.5bn in Aug 2021 when it priced its IPO at the top end of its pricing range. The pre-IPO shareholders will be released...

Sumeet Singh

GoTo IPO - Valuation - Missed the Tide, Boat Won’t Rise

GoTo aims to raise around US$1.25bn from a local listing, which will mainly be targeted at domestic investors. In this note, we talk about its...

Sumeet Singh

Grab 4Q2021: Heavy Spending on Customer and Driver Incentives Hurts Earnings

Grab's first post-IPO results was disappointing as both revenues and margins dropped due to heavy spending on customer/driver incentives. Share...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA