Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Bloomberg reported on Friday that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a> is planning to cut more than 1k jobs across all its divisions to cutdown its costs and improve its financials.</li>
<li>Though GoTo’s top line has continued to expand, the company continues to burn cash and the losses have further widened during the recent quarters.</li>
<li>GoTo’s shares rose 11.7% during Friday's trade, however, share price is still down by about 45%  from the company’s IPO price.</li>
</ul>


Bloomberg reported on Friday that GoTo (GOTO IJ) is planning to cut more than 1k jobs across all its divisions to cutdown its costs and improve its financials.
Though GoTo’s top line has continued to expand, the company continues to burn cash and the losses have further widened during the recent quarters.
GoTo’s shares rose 11.7% during Friday's trade, however, share price is still down by about 45%  from the company’s IPO price.


GoTo: Large Job Cuts to Improve Financials?

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa) / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In Nov 2021, Nykaa raised around US$720m in its India IPO, via mostly selling secondary shares.</li>
<li>Nykaa is a lifestyle focussed e-commerce platform and consumer brand offering a portfolio of beauty, personal care and fashion products, including its own branded products.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the upcoming lockup expiry.</li>
</ul>


In Nov 2021, Nykaa raised around US$720m in its India IPO, via mostly selling secondary shares.
Nykaa is a lifestyle focussed e-commerce platform and consumer brand offering a portfolio of beauty, personal care and fashion products, including its own branded products.
In this note, we will talk about the upcoming lockup expiry.


FSN E-Commerce (Nykaa) Lockup Expiry - US$2.5bn Unlock with a Very Scattered Shareholding

Equity Capital Markets

Global Digital Niaga Tbk PT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>PT Global Digital (BliBli) raised around US$517m in its Indonesian IPO, after using the upsize option and pricing its deal just below the top-end.</li>
<li>BliBli provides e-commerce services across Indonesia to both retail consumers and institutions.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>


PT Global Digital (BliBli) raised around US$517m in its Indonesian IPO, after using the upsize option and pricing its deal just below the top-end.
BliBli provides e-commerce services across Indonesia to both retail consumers and institutions.
In our previous notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.


BliBli IPO Trading - Upsized, Priced near Top-End but Should Be Trading at Least 50% Lower

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International (ASII IJ)</a>'s recent 9M2022 numbers confirmed its position as a well-rounded way to play Indonesia's economic recovery through autos and commodities through its controlling stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-tractors-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:698:1" rel="noopener">United Tractors</a>.</li>
<li>The company has continued to deploy its war chest of funds from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-permata-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:728:1" rel="noopener">Bank Permata</a> sale, investing in commercial vehicle leasing, hydro-power, and digital banking in 3Q2022 alone.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International (ASII IJ</a> trades on 9.0x FY2023 PER and 8.5x FY2024E PER versus its 5-year average forward PER of 14x, making it attractive at current levels. </li>
</ul>



Astra International (ASII IJ)'s recent 9M2022 numbers confirmed its position as a well-rounded way to play Indonesia's economic recovery through autos and commodities through its controlling stake in United Tractors.
The company has continued to deploy its war chest of funds from the Bank Permata sale, investing in commercial vehicle leasing, hydro-power, and digital banking in 3Q2022 alone.

Astra International (ASII IJ trades on 9.0x FY2023 PER and 8.5x FY2024E PER versus its 5-year average forward PER of 14x, making it attractive at current levels. 


Astra International (ASII IJ) - Driving into Indonesia's Growth Areas

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front,  a number of companies in India have launched thier IPOs recently, even as HK and rest of Asia remains dormant.</li>
<li>The only notable placement this week was the selldown in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/axis-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:768:1" rel="noopener">Axis Bank Ltd (AXSB IN)</a> by Bain Capital.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front,  a number of companies in India have launched thier IPOs recently, even as HK and rest of Asia remains dormant.
The only notable placement this week was the selldown in Axis Bank Ltd (AXSB IN) by Bain Capital.


ECM Weekly (6th Nov 2022) - Giant Biogene, Blibli, Betagro, Bionote, Fusion, Medanta, Bikaji, Axis

Indonesia

PT GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk operates as an e-commerce platform. The Company offers mobility, food delivery, logistics, e-commerce, and financial technology solutions. GoTo Gojek Tokopedia serves customers in Indonesia.

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GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT (GOTO IJ)

GoTo: Large Job Cuts to Improve Financials?

Bloomberg report that GoTo is planning to cutdown about 1k jobs to improve financials. We think cutting down employee costs alone won't help,...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

FSN E-Commerce (Nykaa) Lockup Expiry - US$2.5bn Unlock with a Very Scattered Shareholding

In Nov 2021, Nykaa raised around US$720m in its India IPO, via mostly selling secondary shares. Stock worth US$2.5bn will soon come free from the...

Sumeet Singh

BliBli IPO Trading - Upsized, Priced near Top-End but Should Be Trading at Least 50% Lower

PT Global Digital (BliBli) raised around US$517m in its Indonesian IPO, after using the upsize option and pricing its deal just below the top-end....

Sumeet Singh

Astra International (ASII IJ) - Driving into Indonesia's Growth Areas

Astra's recent 9M2022 numbers confirmed its position as a well-rounded way to play Indonesia's economic recovery through autos and commodities...

Angus Mackintosh

ECM Weekly (6th Nov 2022) - Giant Biogene, Blibli, Betagro, Bionote, Fusion, Medanta, Bikaji, Axis

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

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52-week Range

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