Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>During 2022, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bnc-korea-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34785:1" rel="noopener">BNC Korea (256840 KS)</a> reported gross profit margin of 48.3%, lower than 51.9% reported in 2021, as increasing competition is leading to price erosion of botulinum toxin products.</li>
<li>In March 2023, prosecutors have indicted BNC Korea for allegedly selling botulinum toxin injections to exporters without the approval of the MFDS from December 2015 to December 2021.</li>
<li>With the pandemic on a downward trend for more than a year now, we are skeptical about BNC Korea’s in-licensed COVID-19 drug candidate for a milestone payment of $15M.</li>
</ul>


During 2022, BNC Korea (256840 KS) reported gross profit margin of 48.3%, lower than 51.9% reported in 2021, as increasing competition is leading to price erosion of botulinum toxin products.
In March 2023, prosecutors have indicted BNC Korea for allegedly selling botulinum toxin injections to exporters without the approval of the MFDS from December 2015 to December 2021.
With the pandemic on a downward trend for more than a year now, we are skeptical about BNC Korea’s in-licensed COVID-19 drug candidate for a milestone payment of $15M.


BNC Korea (256840 KS): Margin Pressure; Base Business Faces Regulatory Risk; COVID Drug in Doldrum

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bnc-korea-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34785:1" rel="noopener">BNC Korea (256840 KS)</a> has been found guilty for the violation of the Pharmaceutical Affairs Act. Consequently, production of its Bienox injection has temporarily been halted till May 30, 2023.</li>
<li>The company’s in-licensed COVID-19 drug candidate could not secure emergency use approval from the FDA, which has asked for further clinical trial demonstrating efficacy and safety.</li>
<li>BNC Korea is not a bottom fishing idea, due to lack of any strong growth engine in near-term. Despite attractive valuation, we still like to avoid the stock.     </li>
</ul>



BNC Korea (256840 KS) has been found guilty for the violation of the Pharmaceutical Affairs Act. Consequently, production of its Bienox injection has temporarily been halted till May 30, 2023.
The company’s in-licensed COVID-19 drug candidate could not secure emergency use approval from the FDA, which has asked for further clinical trial demonstrating efficacy and safety.
BNC Korea is not a bottom fishing idea, due to lack of any strong growth engine in near-term. Despite attractive valuation, we still like to avoid the stock.     


BNC Korea (256840 KS): Base Business Faces Regulatory Headwind; Delay in COVID Drugs Approval

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bnc-korea-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34785:1" rel="noopener">BNC Korea (256840 KS),</a> with its partnered COVID-19 pill will be a late entrant in the space, as two more COVID-19 pills are already approved in South Korea.</li>
<li>The company reported operating loss of KRW11 billion in 2021 and 99% of its export comes from Russia and CIS countries.</li>
<li>Since my bearish note published on the company in October 2021, shares have declined 50%. I am still not upbeat on the growth prospect of the company.</li>
</ul>



BNC Korea (256840 KS), with its partnered COVID-19 pill will be a late entrant in the space, as two more COVID-19 pills are already approved in South Korea.
The company reported operating loss of KRW11 billion in 2021 and 99% of its export comes from Russia and CIS countries.
Since my bearish note published on the company in October 2021, shares have declined 50%. I am still not upbeat on the growth prospect of the company.


BNC Korea (256840 KS): Late Mover in COVID Pill; 2021 Operating Loss and Russia Exposure Add to Woe

<p>During July–September <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bnc-korea-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34785:1" rel="noopener">BNC Korea (256840 KS) </a>shares jumped more than 8x to a touch a peak of approximately KRW 70,000 on a published media report that states its partner in Taiwan received emergency approval for a COVID-19 oral drug. With competitor Merck (MRK) reporting positive clinical trial results and seeking emergency use approval for its oral antiviral medicine for COVID-19, BNC Korea shares have been declining and corrected nearly 60% from its peak.</p>

During July–September BNC Korea (256840 KS) shares jumped more than 8x to a touch a peak of approximately KRW 70,000 on a published media report that states its partner in Taiwan received emergency approval for a COVID-19 oral drug. With competitor Merck (MRK) reporting positive clinical trial results and seeking emergency use approval for its oral antiviral medicine for COVID-19, BNC Korea shares have been declining and corrected nearly 60% from its peak.

BNC Korea (256840 KS): Oral COVID-19 Treatment No More Remains a Catalyst

Taiwan

Golden Biotechnology Corporation specializes in the development of bio-medicines based on its research in the fields of modern biotechnology and molecular medicine.

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Golden Biotechnology (4132 TT)

BNC Korea (256840 KS): Margin Pressure; Base Business Faces Regulatory Risk; COVID Drug in Doldrum

We remain bearish on BNC Korea due to regulatory overhang on its base business, competitive pressure in BTX industry, and exposure to Russia & CIS...

Tina Banerjee

BNC Korea (256840 KS): Base Business Faces Regulatory Headwind; Delay in COVID Drugs Approval

BNC Korea is barred from producing and exporting botulinum toxin for 6 months. Its in-licensed oral COVID drug could not secure FDA approval....

Tina Banerjee

BNC Korea (256840 KS): Late Mover in COVID Pill; 2021 Operating Loss and Russia Exposure Add to Woe

I am still bearish on the company as its partnered COVID-19 pill will be a late entrant in the market. Moreover, its huge dependence on Russia for...

Tina Banerjee

BNC Korea (256840 KS): Oral COVID-19 Treatment No More Remains a Catalyst

In-licensed oral COVID-19 treatment no longer remains a catalyst after competitor's encouraging clinical trial results. Other oral treatments are...

Tina Banerjee

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