ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ)</a> has announced that it will sell a controlling 75.01% stake in Tokopedia to TikTok in order to create Indonesia's leading e-commerce platform.</li>
<li>There had been earlier indications that a deal was in the offing but the size of TikTok's stake was surprising plus it has committed to invest US$1.5bn in Tokopedia. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo</a> will retain a 24.99% non-dilutive stake and will receive an ongoing revenue stream from Tokopedia in line with its scale and growth contributing directly to its EBITDA. </li>
</ul>



GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ) has announced that it will sell a controlling 75.01% stake in Tokopedia to TikTok in order to create Indonesia's leading e-commerce platform.
There had been earlier indications that a deal was in the offing but the size of TikTok's stake was surprising plus it has committed to invest US$1.5bn in Tokopedia. 

GoTo will retain a 24.99% non-dilutive stake and will receive an ongoing revenue stream from Tokopedia in line with its scale and growth contributing directly to its EBITDA. 


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Amman Mineral Internasional / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There is 1 constituent change for the LQ45 Index and 2 constituent changes for the IDX80 Index at the rebalance to be implemented at the close on 31 July.</li>
<li>The largest passive inflows are expected in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amman-mineral-internasional-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39838:1" rel="noopener">Amman Mineral Internasional (AMMN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-rakyat-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:484:1" rel="noopener">Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia (BBCA)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-mandiri-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:441:1" rel="noopener">Bank Mandiri Persero (BMRI)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jasa-marga-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12747:1" rel="noopener">Jasa Marga (Persero) (JSMR)</a>. </li>
<li>The adds have moved higher over the recent past and are near their highs while the deletes have dropped over the last few years and are trading near their lows.</li>
</ul>


There is 1 constituent change for the LQ45 Index and 2 constituent changes for the IDX80 Index at the rebalance to be implemented at the close on 31 July.
The largest passive inflows are expected in Amman Mineral Internasional (AMMN), Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI), Bank Central Asia (BBCA), Bank Mandiri Persero (BMRI) and Jasa Marga (Persero) (JSMR). 
The adds have moved higher over the recent past and are near their highs while the deletes have dropped over the last few years and are trading near their lows.


IDX30/​​LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: Constituent, Float & Capping Changes

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

<ul><li>Following the delivery of GTV recovery in 3Q23, we view positively GOTO’s strategic pivot away from a stringent EBITDA breakeven by YE-2023 and a shift in focus towards GTV growth &amp; profitability of its e-commerce operations.</li><li>We reaffirm our BUY rating but with a lower TP of Rp98 (from Rp150 previously), incorporating a lower premium on valuation.</li><li>3Q23 takeaways: GTV growth recovery. The new Gojek &amp; Gopay initiatives (i.e. Hemat, Logistics, BNPL, loans, Gopay app) successfully spurred transactions growth in 3Q23 (+5% qoq) through increasing users’ buying frequency. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Following the delivery of GTV recovery in 3Q23, we view positively GOTO’s strategic pivot away from a stringent EBITDA breakeven by YE-2023 and a shift in focus towards GTV growth &amp; profitability of its e-commerce operations.We reaffirm our BUY rating but with a lower TP of Rp98 (from Rp150 previously), incorporating a lower premium on valuation.3Q23 takeaways: GTV growth recovery. The new Gojek &amp; Gopay initiatives (i.e. Hemat, Logistics, BNPL, loans, Gopay app) successfully spurred transactions growth in 3Q23 (+5% qoq) through increasing users’ buying frequency. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

GoTo (GOTO.IJ IDR 62 BUY.TP IDR 98) Strategic pivot reinforces positive outlook

<ul>
<li>Following the delivery of GTV recovery in 3Q23, we view positively GOTO’s strategic pivot away from a stringent EBITDA breakeven by YE-2023 and a shift in focus towards GTV growth &amp; profitability of its e-commerce operations</li>
<li>We reaffirm our BUY rating but with a lower TP of Rp98 (from Rp150 previously), incorporating a lower premium on valuation.3Q23 takeaways: GTV growth recovery.Thenew Gojek &amp; Gopay initiatives (i.e</li>
<li>Hemat, Logistics, BNPL, loans, Gopay app) successfully spurred transactions growth in 3Q23 (+5% qoq) through increasing users’ buying frequency</li>
</ul>
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


Following the delivery of GTV recovery in 3Q23, we view positively GOTO’s strategic pivot away from a stringent EBITDA breakeven by YE-2023 and a shift in focus towards GTV growth &amp; profitability of its e-commerce operations
We reaffirm our BUY rating but with a lower TP of Rp98 (from Rp150 previously), incorporating a lower premium on valuation.3Q23 takeaways: GTV growth recovery.Thenew Gojek &amp; Gopay initiatives (i.e
Hemat, Logistics, BNPL, loans, Gopay app) successfully spurred transactions growth in 3Q23 (+5% qoq) through increasing users’ buying frequency

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

GoTo (GOTO.IJ): Strategic Pivot Reinforces Positive Outlook

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo Gojek Tokopedia's</a> 3Q2023 results were far more illuminating and encouraging than the last 2Qs, with more progress towards adjusted EBITDA breakeven, with much more colour on its new initiatives.</li>
<li>The company's focus on budget consumers and more affordable product offerings are already expanding its TAM and improving product density and productivity, speeding progress towards productivity. </li>
<li>GoTo will continue to invest in growth, which may mean it misses its 4Q adjusted EBITDA breakeven target but it has reduced cash burn significantly giving it more breathing space.</li>
</ul>



GoTo Gojek Tokopedia's 3Q2023 results were far more illuminating and encouraging than the last 2Qs, with more progress towards adjusted EBITDA breakeven, with much more colour on its new initiatives.
The company's focus on budget consumers and more affordable product offerings are already expanding its TAM and improving product density and productivity, speeding progress towards productivity. 
GoTo will continue to invest in growth, which may mean it misses its 4Q adjusted EBITDA breakeven target but it has reduced cash burn significantly giving it more breathing space.


GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ) - New Initiatives Gaining Traction and Increasing Productivity

Indonesia

PT GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk operates as an e-commerce platform. The Company offers mobility, food delivery, logistics, e-commerce, and financial technology solutions. GoTo Gojek Tokopedia serves customers in Indonesia.

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GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT (GOTO IJ)

GoTo (GOTO IJ) - TikTok Taking Tokopedia

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia has announced that it will sell a controlling 75.01% stake in Tokopedia to TikTok to create Indonesia's leading e-commerce...

Angus Mackintosh

IDX30/LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: Constituent, Float & Capping Changes

There is 1 change for the LQ45 index and 2 changes for the IDX80 index. Plus there are float and capping changes. The adds have traded higher while...

Brian Freitas

GoTo (GOTO.IJ IDR 62 BUY.TP IDR 98) Strategic pivot reinforces positive outlook

We reaffirm our BUY rating but with a lower TP of Rp98 (from Rp150 previously), incorporating a lower premium on valuation.

BRI Danareksa Research

GoTo (GOTO.IJ): Strategic Pivot Reinforces Positive Outlook

Following the delivery of GTV recovery in 3Q23, we view positively GOTO’s strategic pivot away from a stringent EBITDA breakeven by YE-2023 and a...

BRI Danareksa Research

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ) - New Initiatives Gaining Traction and Increasing Productivity

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia's 3Q2023 results were far more illuminating and encouraging than the last 2Qs, with more progress towards adjusted EBITDA...

Angus Mackintosh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

GoTo (GOTO IJ) - TikTok Taking Tokopedia

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia has announced that it will sell a controlling 75.01% stake in Tokopedia to TikTok to create Indonesia's leading e-commerce...

Angus Mackintosh

IDX30/​​LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: Constituent, Float & Capping Changes

There is 1 change for the LQ45 index and 2 changes for the IDX80 index. Plus there are float and capping changes. The adds have traded higher while...

Brian Freitas

GoTo (GOTO.IJ IDR 62 BUY.TP IDR 98) Strategic pivot reinforces positive outlook

We reaffirm our BUY rating but with a lower TP of Rp98 (from Rp150 previously), incorporating a lower premium on valuation.

BRI Danareksa Research

GoTo (GOTO.IJ): Strategic Pivot Reinforces Positive Outlook

Following the delivery of GTV recovery in 3Q23, we view positively GOTO’s strategic pivot away from a stringent EBITDA breakeven by YE-2023 and a...

BRI Danareksa Research

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia (GOTO IJ) - New Initiatives Gaining Traction and Increasing Productivity

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia's 3Q2023 results were far more illuminating and encouraging than the last 2Qs, with more progress towards adjusted EBITDA...

Angus Mackintosh

IDX30/LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: Constituent, Float & Capping Changes