Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

Global Health (Medanta) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/global-health-medanta" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34649:1" rel="noopener">Global Health (Medanta) (MEDANTA IN)</a> reported double-digit growth in revenue in Q1FY25, while sluggish developing hospitals was a drag on the margins.</li>
<li>The company plans to add 1,000–1,500 beds in next 2–3 years, with most of the planned bed addition being at greenfield projects entailing higher capex per bed.</li>
<li>Medanta does offer synergy as a possible takeover candidate for a leading hospital operator.</li>
</ul>



Global Health (Medanta) (MEDANTA IN) reported double-digit growth in revenue in Q1FY25, while sluggish developing hospitals was a drag on the margins.
The company plans to add 1,000–1,500 beds in next 2–3 years, with most of the planned bed addition being at greenfield projects entailing higher capex per bed.
Medanta does offer synergy as a possible takeover candidate for a leading hospital operator.


Global Health (MEDANTA IN): Margins Pressure To Continue; Possible Takeover Bid In Future

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Despite ongoing recovery and fading effect of the COVID-19, 2023 was not a smooth sailing for the healthcare companies. All the countries and sub-sectors did not perform equally.</li>
<li>As we are heading into 2024, let us look back on the performance of some of our global healthcare stocks recommended throughout 2023.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lianbio" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34478:1" rel="noopener">LianBio (LIAN US)</a> remained the best performer with 93% return in nearly eight months. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/global-health-medanta" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34649:1" rel="noopener">Global Health (Medanta) (MEDANTA IN)</a>, top pick for March 2023, generated 79% return in nine months.     </li>
</ul>


Despite ongoing recovery and fading effect of the COVID-19, 2023 was not a smooth sailing for the healthcare companies. All the countries and sub-sectors did not perform equally.
As we are heading into 2024, let us look back on the performance of some of our global healthcare stocks recommended throughout 2023.

LianBio (LIAN US) remained the best performer with 93% return in nearly eight months. Global Health (Medanta) (MEDANTA IN), top pick for March 2023, generated 79% return in nine months.     


2023 in Rear Mirror View: Top Performers From My Global Healthcare Coverage Universe

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>2022 marked our seventh year covering Equity Capital Markets (ECM) in Asia Pacific. 2022 was rather quiet ending with us covering one of the lowest number of IPOs and placements.</li>
<li>We ended 2022 with an accuracy rate of 74.6% across 55 IPOs that we covered and 70.5% across 78 placements. </li>
<li>For those not familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific, including China ADRs.</li>
</ul>


2022 marked our seventh year covering Equity Capital Markets (ECM) in Asia Pacific. 2022 was rather quiet ending with us covering one of the lowest number of IPOs and placements.
We ended 2022 with an accuracy rate of 74.6% across 55 IPOs that we covered and 70.5% across 78 placements. 
For those not familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific, including China ADRs.


Aequitas 2022 IPOs and Placements Performance Review - From the Busiest Year to the Slowest Year

Aster DM Healthcare Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aster-dm-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23662:1" rel="noopener">Aster DM Healthcare Ltd (ASTERDM IN)</a> plans to add ~1,800 beds by FY27, aligning with its strategic roadmap to expand its footprint and become a top-three healthcare player in India.</li>
<li>Operating EBITDA margin has improved to 21.4% in Q2FY25 as compared to 16.8% in Q2FY24. The company expects continuous margin expansion over the next two-three years.</li>
<li>The company is expected to report high teens revenue growth through FY27, with bottomline growth outpacing topline. Aster DM shares are trading at NTM EV/EBITDA of 24.9x, lower than peers.</li>
</ul>



Aster DM Healthcare Ltd (ASTERDM IN) plans to add ~1,800 beds by FY27, aligning with its strategic roadmap to expand its footprint and become a top-three healthcare player in India.
Operating EBITDA margin has improved to 21.4% in Q2FY25 as compared to 16.8% in Q2FY24. The company expects continuous margin expansion over the next two-three years.
The company is expected to report high teens revenue growth through FY27, with bottomline growth outpacing topline. Aster DM shares are trading at NTM EV/EBITDA of 24.9x, lower than peers.


2025 High Conviction: Aster DM Healthcare Ltd (ASTERDM IN)- Focus on India Augurs Well

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Bank Index</a>, CNXIT Index, Nifty Midcap 150 Index, Nifty100 Low Volatility30 Index and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpse-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28191:1" rel="noopener">CPSE ETF</a> rebalance at the close tomorrow.</li>
<li>The round-trip trade across the indices is US$3.3bn and there are 13 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade from passive trackers.</li>
<li>Stocks with the largest inflows are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trent-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8410:1" rel="noopener">Trent</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-electronics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6636:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Electronics</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canara-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:543:1" rel="noopener">Canara Bank</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-heavy-electricals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:460:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Heavy Electricals</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oil-natural-gas-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3456:1" rel="noopener">Oil &amp; Natural Gas Corp</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coal-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9117:1" rel="noopener">Coal India</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hindustan-aeronautics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26747:1" rel="noopener">Hindustan Aeronautics</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/interglobe-aviation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24877:1" rel="noopener">InterGlobe Aviation</a>.</li>
</ul>


The NIFTY Index, Nifty Next 50 Index, NSE Nifty Bank Index, CNXIT Index, Nifty Midcap 150 Index, Nifty100 Low Volatility30 Index and the CPSE ETF rebalance at the close tomorrow.
The round-trip trade across the indices is US$3.3bn and there are 13 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade from passive trackers.
Stocks with the largest inflows are Trent, Bharat Electronics, Canara Bank, Bharat Heavy Electricals, Oil &amp; Natural Gas Corp, Coal India, Hindustan Aeronautics and InterGlobe Aviation.


NIFTY Indices: Flows (Post Capping) At the Close Tomorrow; Round-Trip US$3.3bn

India

Global Health Limited of India, doing business as Medanta, provides health care services. The Hospital offers diagnostics, emergency and trauma care, patient support, air ambulance, medical, laboratory testing, and other health care services. Medanta serves patients worldwide.

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Global Health (Medanta) (MEDANTA IN)

Global Health (MEDANTA IN): Margins Pressure To Continue; Possible Takeover Bid In Future

Medanta reported double-digit revenue growth in Q1FY25, but sluggish developing hospitals was a drag on the margins. The company can be a potential...

Tina Banerjee

2023 in Rear Mirror View: Top Performers From My Global Healthcare Coverage Universe

Despite ongoing recovery and fading effect of the COVID-19, healthcare companies had varying performances in 2023. From my coverage, the top...

Tina Banerjee

Aequitas 2022 IPOs and Placements Performance Review - From the Busiest Year to the Slowest Year

2022 marked our seventh year covering Equity Capital Markets (ECM) in Asia Pacific. 2022 was rather quiet ending with us covering one of the lowest...

Sumeet Singh

2025 High Conviction: Aster DM Healthcare Ltd (ASTERDM IN)- Focus on India Augurs Well

Aster DM Healthcare reported EBITDA margin of 21.4% in Q2FY25 vs. 6.8% in Q2FY24. Margin expansion is expected to continue over the next 2-3...

Tina Banerjee

NIFTY Indices: Flows (Post Capping) At the Close Tomorrow; Round-Trip US$3.3bn

The next rebalance of the Nifty family of indices takes place at the close on 27 Sep. The round-trip trade is US$3.3bn and there are 13 stocks with...

Brian Freitas

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Market Cap (USDm)

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Global Health (MEDANTA IN): Margins Pressure To Continue; Possible Takeover Bid In Future

Medanta reported double-digit revenue growth in Q1FY25, but sluggish developing hospitals was a drag on the margins. The company can be a potential...

Tina Banerjee

2023 in Rear Mirror View: Top Performers From My Global Healthcare Coverage Universe

​Despite ongoing recovery and fading effect of the COVID-19, healthcare companies had varying performances in 2023. From my coverage, the top...

Tina Banerjee

Aequitas 2022 IPOs and Placements Performance Review - From the Busiest Year to the Slowest Year

2022 marked our seventh year covering Equity Capital Markets (ECM) in Asia Pacific. 2022 was rather quiet ending with us covering one of the lowest...

Sumeet Singh

2025 High Conviction: Aster DM Healthcare Ltd (ASTERDM IN)- Focus on India Augurs Well

​Aster DM Healthcare reported EBITDA margin of 21.4% in Q2FY25 vs. 6.8% in Q2FY24. Margin expansion is expected to continue over the next 2-3...

Tina Banerjee

NIFTY Indices: Flows (Post Capping) At the Close Tomorrow; Round-Trip US$3.3bn

The next rebalance of the Nifty family of indices takes place at the close on 27 Sep. The round-trip trade is US$3.3bn and there are 13 stocks with...

Brian Freitas

Despite ongoing recovery and fading effect of the COVID-19, healthcare companies had varying performances in 2023. From my coverage, the top...

Aster DM Healthcare reported EBITDA margin of 21.4% in Q2FY25 vs. 6.8% in Q2FY24. Margin expansion is expected to continue over the next 2-3...