Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day, Money of Mine

Money of Mine

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day

An ex-underground miner, an ex-investment banker, and an ex-equity research guy breaking down the mining news of the day. It's a bit of entertainment, information, and occasionally some alpha.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Rumors of a potential merger between Glencore and Rio Tinto, which would be the largest mining M&amp;A deal ever</li><li>Talks were reported to have occurred in the second half of last year but are not currently active</li><li>Both companies have London listings and did not comment on the rumors, indicating a potential window of no talking due to UK takeover rules</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

Rumors of a potential merger between Glencore and Rio Tinto, which would be the largest mining M&amp;A deal everTalks were reported to have occurred in the second half of last year but are not currently activeBoth companies have London listings and did not comment on the rumors, indicating a potential window of no talking due to UK takeover rulesThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Equities. Commodities. Metals & Mining

Rahul Jain

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Zinc market tone for 2025 is cautious, with most producers guiding flat to lower volumes as concentrate supply remains tight and benchmark TCs hit 50-year lows.</li>
<li>Glencore, Teck, and South32 are dialing back output, while Korea Zinc is facing margin compression. Boliden is raising output via acquisitions and restarts, but still faces integration and cost risks.</li>
<li>Hindustan Zinc stands apart—delivering growth, industry-best 53% EBITDA margins, and sub-$1,000/t cost targets, making it a margin fortress in a soft market. </li>
</ul>


Zinc market tone for 2025 is cautious, with most producers guiding flat to lower volumes as concentrate supply remains tight and benchmark TCs hit 50-year lows.
Glencore, Teck, and South32 are dialing back output, while Korea Zinc is facing margin compression. Boliden is raising output via acquisitions and restarts, but still faces integration and cost risks.
Hindustan Zinc stands apart—delivering growth, industry-best 53% EBITDA margins, and sub-$1,000/t cost targets, making it a margin fortress in a soft market. 


Zinc’s Cycle Turns: Will Supply Outpace Demand?

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher, ORTEX

Dimitris Ioannidis

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Following the regulatory approval from the Government of Canada, Glencore's cash acquisition of 77% stake in Teck's Elk Valley Resources (EVR) is expected to close on 11 July 2024.</li>
<li>The cash acquisition is forecasted not to cause any passive fund flows based on the deal structure.</li>
<li>The potential demerger introduces the risk for Glencore approaching the exit threshold of STOXX Europe 50. This is yet undetermined due to the long time horizon.</li>
</ul>


Following the regulatory approval from the Government of Canada, Glencore's cash acquisition of 77% stake in Teck's Elk Valley Resources (EVR) is expected to close on 11 July 2024.
The cash acquisition is forecasted not to cause any passive fund flows based on the deal structure.
The potential demerger introduces the risk for Glencore approaching the exit threshold of STOXX Europe 50. This is yet undetermined due to the long time horizon.


Glencore (GLEN): Green Light from Canada for $6.9bn Acquisition of EVR. Demerger on the Table.

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

<ul>
<li>Low-Cost producer of copper and zinc with two of the biggest  ten mines in the world.</li>
<li>Recent mine acquisition and increased production at existing mines will grow earnings.</li>
<li>The supply and demand imbalance in copper will lead to higher prices.</li>
</ul>


Low-Cost producer of copper and zinc with two of the biggest  ten mines in the world.
Recent mine acquisition and increased production at existing mines will grow earnings.
The supply and demand imbalance in copper will lead to higher prices.


Mmg Limited 1208.HK - It's Got It All - Copper, EV's, and AI!

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Commodities

<ul>
<li>After selling its coking coal business to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/glencore-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:764:1" rel="noopener">Glencore Plc (GLEN LN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/teck-resources-ltd-36dbdad5-1430-4d7a-8578-31bc50086f72" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33343:1" rel="noopener">Teck Resources (TECK US)</a> has pivoted to copper as its primary growth driver. </li>
<li>The 7.3 bn CAD cash (20% of Mkt cap) received from the sale of the coal business stake is being used for buybacks, debt repayment, and growth opportunities.  </li>
<li>The stock is cheap on an EV-EBITDA basis at 7.5x, but we are not too fond of the business's low ROCE. </li>
</ul>


After selling its coking coal business to Glencore Plc (GLEN LN), Teck Resources (TECK US) has pivoted to copper as its primary growth driver. 
The 7.3 bn CAD cash (20% of Mkt cap) received from the sale of the coal business stake is being used for buybacks, debt repayment, and growth opportunities.  
The stock is cheap on an EV-EBITDA basis at 7.5x, but we are not too fond of the business's low ROCE. 


Teck Resources (TECK US): The New Purish Copper Play In Town

Switzerland

Glencore Plc is a diversified natural resources company. The Company operates in three groups: Metals and Minerals, Energy Products, and Agricultural Products. Glencore Plc offers its products and services around the world.

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Glencore Plc (GLEN LN)

We’re Back. And so are Mega Deals

: Rumors of a potential merger between mining giants Glencore and Rio Tinto have sparked interest in the industry, with potential implications for...

Money of Mine

Zinc’s Cycle Turns: Will Supply Outpace Demand?

2025 zinc market cautious as producers cut output due to tight supply and low benchmark TCs, Hindustan Zinc stands out with strong growth and...

Rahul Jain

Glencore (GLEN): Green Light from Canada for $6.9bn Acquisition of EVR. Demerger on the Table.

Glencore's $6.9bn cash acquisition of 77% stake in Teck's Elk Valley Resources is expected to be followed by a demerger which increases the risk...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Mmg Limited 1208.HK - It's Got It All - Copper, EV's, and AI!

Copper at 5-yr highs. Drivers: a) Tariff fear (25% on aluminium/steel) causing copper to be diverted to the US b) The inventory of copper in China...

Rikki Malik

Teck Resources (TECK US): The New Purish Copper Play In Town

Building on our coverage in copper equities, we initiate on Teck Resources (TECK US). We explore its future growth prospects after selling its coal...

Sameer Taneja

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

We’re Back. And so are Mega Deals

: Rumors of a potential merger between mining giants Glencore and Rio Tinto have sparked interest in the industry, with potential implications for...

Money of Mine

Zinc’s Cycle Turns: Will Supply Outpace Demand?

​2025 zinc market cautious as producers cut output due to tight supply and low benchmark TCs, Hindustan Zinc stands out with strong growth and...

Rahul Jain

Glencore (GLEN): Green Light from Canada for $6.9bn Acquisition of EVR. Demerger on the Table.

​Glencore's $6.9bn cash acquisition of 77% stake in Teck's Elk Valley Resources is expected to be followed by a demerger which increases the risk...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Mmg Limited 1208.HK - It's Got It All - Copper, EV's, and AI!

Copper at 5-yr highs. Drivers: a) Tariff fear (25% on aluminium/steel) causing copper to be diverted to the US b) The inventory of copper in China...

Rikki Malik

Teck Resources (TECK US): The New Purish Copper Play In Town

Building on our coverage in copper equities, we initiate on Teck Resources (TECK US). We explore its future growth prospects after selling its coal...

Sameer Taneja

2025 zinc market cautious as producers cut output due to tight supply and low benchmark TCs, Hindustan Zinc stands out with strong growth and...

Glencore's $6.9bn cash acquisition of 77% stake in Teck's Elk Valley Resources is expected to be followed by a demerger which increases the risk...