Founder and Strategist, Entext Economics & Strategy

Sean Maher

Founder and Strategist

Entext Economics & Strategy

Entext provides institutional investors with distinctive, actionable asset allocation and thematic research, which typically challenges the market consensus. Our clients range from credit, equity and multi-asset hedge and pension funds to family offices and sovereign funds. 
 
We focus on identifying key inflection points in macro data and relative asset performance amid the 'groupthink'  and confirmation bias that characterizes most investment bank analysis.

Macro Driven Investment Insight

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The global pharma and biotech sector has underperformed by about four points this year, and five over three years – the divergence with other R&amp;D intensive, knowledge based sectors is stark.</li>
<li>I went short US biotech in mid-2015, when the global sector saw a burst of euphoric optimism – ex Japan pharma, most sub-indices haven’t regained those levels since.</li>
<li>Despite the assumed demographic tailwind, a declining R&amp;D productivity trend has been an issue since the late 1990s - a major new drug launch…</li>
</ul>


The global pharma and biotech sector has underperformed by about four points this year, and five over three years – the divergence with other R&amp;D intensive, knowledge based sectors is stark.
I went short US biotech in mid-2015, when the global sector saw a burst of euphoric optimism – ex Japan pharma, most sub-indices haven’t regained those levels since.
Despite the assumed demographic tailwind, a declining R&amp;D productivity trend has been an issue since the late 1990s - a major new drug launch…


Drugs Evolving Into 'Biological Software' to Boost Moribund Pharma Sector?

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Key themes:<ul><li>Downgrading Financials. Given the Sector’s relative deterioration, we are downgrading Financials to market weight. Pockets of strength still exist (e.g. exchanges), but breadth is problematic... see page 3</li><li>Gold miners are bullishly inflecting. A Group we recommended last week, gold miners continue to bullishly inflect. This is a buying opportunity... see pages 3, 8-14</li><li>Buy biotechs, overweight Health Care. In today’s report we highlight actionable charts throughout Health Care, our top-ranked Sector, emphasizing widespread opportunities within biotechs ... see pages 3, 15-19</li></ul>

Key themes:Downgrading Financials. Given the Sector’s relative deterioration, we are downgrading Financials to market weight. Pockets of strength still exist (e.g. exchanges), but breadth is problematic... see page 3Gold miners are bullishly inflecting. A Group we recommended last week, gold miners continue to bullishly inflect. This is a buying opportunity... see pages 3, 8-14Buy biotechs, overweight Health Care. In today’s report we highlight actionable charts throughout Health Care, our top-ranked Sector, emphasizing widespread opportunities within biotechs ... see pages 3, 15-19

U.S. Equity Strategy: Reiterating Biotechs, Gold Miners; Downgrading Financials to Market Weight

<ul>
<li>The Republican replacement for ‘Obamacare’ has been announced and looks an incoherent mess – resurgent healthcare inflation will be a drag on discretionary spending.</li>
<li>The US yield curve is flattening, overall bank credit growth has been negative for two months and yesterday’s January consumer lending data was about half consensus expectations.</li>
<li>The global mining sector has been selling off as expected with iron ore/copper prices – I remain tactically short the FTSE 350 mining index.</li>
<li>Overall, the US…</li>
</ul>


The Republican replacement for ‘Obamacare’ has been announced and looks an incoherent mess – resurgent healthcare inflation will be a drag on discretionary spending.
The US yield curve is flattening, overall bank credit growth has been negative for two months and yesterday’s January consumer lending data was about half consensus expectations.
The global mining sector has been selling off as expected with iron ore/copper prices – I remain tactically short the FTSE 350 mining index.
Overall, the US…


US Healthcare Overhaul Stumbling, Singapore Cyclical Rally Looking Premature

Information Technology Consultant

Ishita Jain

In the omnipresence of machine learning, one of the most impacted segments is healthcare. Not only is AI in healthcare at the forefront of a transformation, it has attracted immense funding and attention in the past couple of years. With machines becoming intelligent, medical marvels will be like never before and plenty of medical opportunities will bloom. With the excitement afoot in the investor and research communities, this article highlights applications of machine learning that are worth observing.

In the omnipresence of machine learning, one of the most impacted segments is healthcare. Not only is AI in healthcare at the forefront of a transformation, it has attracted immense funding and attention in the past couple of years. With machines becoming intelligent, medical marvels will be like never before and plenty of medical opportunities will bloom. With the excitement afoot in the investor and research communities, this article highlights applications of machine learning that are worth observing.

AI & Machine Learning Disrupting The Healthcare Industry

Making sense of the Global Market, Euromonitor International Ltd.

Yu Mitsuhashi

Making sense of the Global Market

Euromonitor International Ltd.

We are a global market research company focused on industries, countries, economies and consumers worldwide. Our cross-country comparable research helps your organisation identify opportunities and develop growth strategies in countries and regions across the globe. With offices around the world, 1,200 analysts in 100 countries and market research on every key trend and driver, we give you powerful access to the real story behind consumer change.

While the US consumer health industry will remain a strong centre for investment, development and technology innovation in 2017 and is expected to reach US$77 billion by 2021, the election of Donald Trump has created uncertainty among the industry, government agencies and consumers, especially around regulations, local production incentives, and changes to the Affordable Care Act.

While the US consumer health industry will remain a strong centre for investment, development and technology innovation in 2017 and is expected to reach US$77 billion by 2021, the election of Donald Trump has created uncertainty among the industry, government agencies and consumers, especially around regulations, local production incentives, and changes to the Affordable Care Act.

Trump Health Effect: What Is Next for the Consumer Health Industry Under Trump's Leadership?

United States

Gilead Sciences, Inc. is a research-based biopharmaceutical company that discovers, develops, and commercializes therapeutics to advance the care of patients suffering from life-threatening diseases.  The Company's primary areas of focus include HIV/AIDS, liver disease and serious cardiovascular and respiratory conditions.

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Gilead Sciences (GILD US)

Drugs Evolving Into 'Biological Software' to Boost Moribund Pharma Sector?

The global pharma and biotech sector has underperformed by about four points this year, and five over three years – the divergence with other...

Sean Maher

U.S. Equity Strategy: Reiterating Biotechs, Gold Miners; Downgrading Financials to Market Weight

Key themes: Downgrading Financials. Given the Sector’s relative deterioration, we are downgrading Financials to market weight. Pockets of strength...

Vermilion Research

US Healthcare Overhaul Stumbling, Singapore Cyclical Rally Looking Premature

The Republican replacement for ‘Obamacare’ has been announced and looks an incoherent mess – resurgent healthcare inflation will be a drag on...

Sean Maher

AI & Machine Learning Disrupting The Healthcare Industry

In the omnipresence of machine learning, one of the most impacted segments is healthcare. Not only is AI in healthcare at the forefront of a...

Ishita Jain

Trump Health Effect: What Is Next for the Consumer Health Industry Under Trump's Leadership?

While the US consumer health industry will remain a strong centre for investment, development and technology innovation in 2017 and is expected to...

Euromonitor International Ltd.

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