Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>A record 80.7% of China managers have exposure to the Semiconductor sector at an average weight of 3.68%, or +2.58% overweight the MSCI China benchmark.</li>
<li>Over the last 6-months, Semiconductor allocations have remained largely unchanged, whilst rebalancing occurs among other key industry groups.</li>
<li>With record overweights and stalling ownership growth, active China managers should consider whether overweight is the right stance, at this juncture.</li>
</ul>


A record 80.7% of China managers have exposure to the Semiconductor sector at an average weight of 3.68%, or +2.58% overweight the MSCI China benchmark.
Over the last 6-months, Semiconductor allocations have remained largely unchanged, whilst rebalancing occurs among other key industry groups.
With record overweights and stalling ownership growth, active China managers should consider whether overweight is the right stance, at this juncture.


MSCI China Funds: Semiconductor Growth Stalls

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Risk-on signals continue to pile up, which continues to support our constructive outlook. Building off of last week's report, growth Sectors such as Technology and Communications continue to improve and we recommend adding exposure (e.g., Bilibili BILI-US/9626-HK).

Risk-on signals continue to pile up, which continues to support our constructive outlook. Building off of last week's report, growth Sectors such as Technology and Communications continue to improve and we recommend adding exposure (e.g., Bilibili BILI-US/9626-HK).

Global Equity Strategy: Growth Sectors Continue To Improve -- Add Exposure

GigaDevice Semiconductor  / Technical Analysis

Market dynamics remain largely positive which continues to support our constructive outlook, and we view recent weakness as a buying opportunity. Below we highlight notable recent developments and actionable stocks within the Technology, Financials, and Materials Sectors.

Market dynamics remain largely positive which continues to support our constructive outlook, and we view recent weakness as a buying opportunity. Below we highlight notable recent developments and actionable stocks within the Technology, Financials, and Materials Sectors.

China Technology Sector Improving -- Add Exposure

Research on Tech Companies

Evelyn Zhang

MCU (microcontroller) is the basic control unit for a large number of electronic devices. Large international manufacturers occupied a major market share. Since 2021, the global MCU market has been suffering from a persistent shortage of stock, and prices have soared. Many downstream companies, especially car makers, are experiencing severe shortage of MUC chips. Chinese downstream customers have begun to accelerate the localization of MCU supply chains.I am optimistic about the performance of China MCU manufacturers this year, and I suggest paying attention to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gigadevice-semiconductor-beijing-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27253:1" rel="noopener">GigaDevice Semiconductor (Beijing)-A (603986 CH)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/espressif-systems-shanghai-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30311:1" rel="noopener">Espressif Systems Shanghai Co (688018 CH)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sino-wealth-electronic-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14697:1" rel="noopener">Sino Wealth Electronic (300327 CH)</a>

MCU (microcontroller) is the basic control unit for a large number of electronic devices. Large international manufacturers occupied a major market share. Since 2021, the global MCU market has been suffering from a persistent shortage of stock, and prices have soared. Many downstream companies, especially car makers, are experiencing severe shortage of MUC chips. Chinese downstream customers have begun to accelerate the localization of MCU supply chains.I am optimistic about the performance of China MCU manufacturers this year, and I suggest paying attention to GigaDevice Semiconductor (Beijing)-A (603986 CH) , Espressif Systems Shanghai Co (688018 CH) , Sino Wealth Electronic (300327 CH) 

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

Post market close on 28 May, the Shanghai Stock Exchange and China Securities Index Company announced the changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR 50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a>. The changes will be effective after the close of trading on 11 June.Just as we forecast, the inclusions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ninebot-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32180:1" rel="noopener">Ninebot Ltd (689009 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sansure-biotech-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32182:1" rel="noopener">Sansure Biotech Inc (688289 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cansino-biologics-inc-cc0c90b7-e854-4ba3-929b-914be1bd0d89" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32181:1" rel="noopener">CanSino Biologics Inc (688185 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/verisilicon-microelectronics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32183:1" rel="noopener">VeriSilicon Microelectronics (688521 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cathay-biotech-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32184:1" rel="noopener">Cathay Biotech Inc (688065 CH)</a>, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suntar-environmental-techn-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30342:1" rel="noopener">Suntar Environmental Techn-A (688101 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-qingyi-photomask-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30351:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen Qingyi Photomask Ltd (688138 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/traffic-control-technology-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30309:1" rel="noopener">Traffic Control Technology Co (688015 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hillstone-networks-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30321:1" rel="noopener">Hillstone Networks Co Ltd (688030 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ningbo-solartron-technolog-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30380:1" rel="noopener">Ningbo Solartron Technolog-A (688299 CH)</a> have been deleted from the index.The changes imply that a 6 month minimum listing was used. Given the increase in number of stocks that are listed for more than 1 year, this could be last review where a 6 month minimum listing history is used.Inflows into the ETFs have continued and the impact on the inclusions and exclusions will be a few days of ADV with estimated one-way turnover at 5.3%.The inclusions have outperformed the deletions over the last couple of months and there has been an increase in excess volume over the last couple of weeks. We would use any sharp moves in the stock to pare down existing positions in the trade.

Post market close on 28 May, the Shanghai Stock Exchange and China Securities Index Company announced the changes to the SSE STAR 50 (STAR50 INDEX). The changes will be effective after the close of trading on 11 June.Just as we forecast, the inclusions are Ninebot Ltd (689009 CH), Sansure Biotech Inc (688289 CH), CanSino Biologics Inc (688185 CH), VeriSilicon Microelectronics (688521 CH) and Cathay Biotech Inc (688065 CH), while Suntar Environmental Techn-A (688101 CH), Shenzhen Qingyi Photomask Ltd (688138 CH), Traffic Control Technology Co (688015 CH), Hillstone Networks Co Ltd (688030 CH) and Ningbo Solartron Technolog-A (688299 CH) have been deleted from the index.The changes imply that a 6 month minimum listing was used. Given the increase in number of stocks that are listed for more than 1 year, this could be last review where a 6 month minimum listing history is used.Inflows into the ETFs have continued and the impact on the inclusions and exclusions will be a few days of ADV with estimated one-way turnover at 5.3%.The inclusions have outperformed the deletions over the last couple of months and there has been an increase in excess volume over the last couple of weeks. We would use any sharp moves in the stock to pare down existing positions in the trade.

STAR Board - STAR50 Index Rebalance: Inclusions Outperform Exclusions as Positioning Jumps

China

GigaDevice Semiconductor Inc. manufactures and distributes non volatile memory devices. The Company produces and sells memory cards, controllers, flash chips, integrated circuits, and other products. GigaDevice Semiconductor also operates goods and technology import and export, import and export agency, and other businesses.

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GigaDevice Semiconductor (603986 CH)

MSCI China Funds: Semiconductor Growth Stalls

With near record overweights and stalling ownership growth, active China managers should consider whether overweight Semiconductors is the right...

Steven Holden

Global Equity Strategy: Growth Sectors Continue To Improve -- Add Exposure

Building off of last week's report, growth Sectors such as Technology and Communications continue to improve and we recommend adding exposure...

Vermilion Research

China Technology Sector Improving -- Add Exposure

Market dynamics remain largely positive which continues to support our constructive outlook, and we view recent weakness as a buying opportunity....

Vermilion Research

Cashing in the Chips

The Pandemic, buyer hording and supply chain issues all contributed to a perfect storm that's causing a global shortage of computer chips. I take a...

Evelyn Zhang

STAR Board - STAR50 Index Rebalance: Inclusions Outperform Exclusions as Positioning Jumps

There are 5 changes to the STAR50 Index at the June review. The inclusions have outperformed the deletions and positioning has jumped sharply in...

Brian Freitas

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