Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In April, reportedly <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/renault-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21536:1" rel="noopener">Renault (RNO FP)</a> might sell <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nissan-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:72:1" rel="noopener">Nissan (7201 JP)</a> shares to support EV investments. We have news talks are coming to a head. The results won't be pretty.</li>
<li>The Nikkei says the JIP consortium is the "Preferred Bidder" for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>. That is a stalking horse. The proposed price of ¥2.5trn is also a stalking horse</li>
<li>Reportedly the Widjaja Family may be looking to take Indonesian/Australian energy/met coal play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-fiber-system-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20826:1" rel="noopener">Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP)</a> private.</li>
</ul>


In April, reportedly Renault (RNO FP) might sell Nissan (7201 JP) shares to support EV investments. We have news talks are coming to a head. The results won't be pretty.
The Nikkei says the JIP consortium is the "Preferred Bidder" for Toshiba Corp (6502 JP). That is a stalking horse. The proposed price of ¥2.5trn is also a stalking horse
Reportedly the Widjaja Family may be looking to take Indonesian/Australian energy/met coal play Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP) private.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Renault/Nissan, Toshiba, Golden Energy, Bilibili, Shinsei, Macau Casinos

Melco International Development / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Reportedly Macau authorities are not satisfied with some concessionaire proposals from gaming firms and require them to increase investment into non-gaming facilities under a concession retendering process</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on some of the gaming plays such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/melco-international-development-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:809:1" rel="noopener">Melco International Development (200 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genting-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14210:1" rel="noopener">Genting Bhd (GENT MK)</a> are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. </li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>


Reportedly Macau authorities are not satisfied with some concessionaire proposals from gaming firms and require them to increase investment into non-gaming facilities under a concession retendering process
Preceding my comments on some of the gaming plays such as Melco International Development (200 HK) and Genting Bhd (GENT MK) are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. 
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Macau Plays Need To Up Non-Gaming Game

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-telegraph-telephone-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:623:1" rel="noopener">NTT (9432 JP)</a> results were better than Softbank Corp's and KDDI's. The good "drift trade" may still be to be long NTT vs a basket of KDDI and Softbank Corp. </li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-hospitality-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:913:1" rel="noopener">Frasers Hospitality (FHT SP)</a> Scheme failed.  The non-vocal minority simply didn't show up. Maybe apathy. Maybe a holiday season. Maybe lack of premium paid encouraged people to not vote.</li>
<li>In a surprise move, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genting-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14210:1" rel="noopener">Genting Bhd (GENT MK)</a>- or <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genting-malaysia-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3141:1" rel="noopener">Genting Malaysia (GENM MK)</a> - has joined the six incumbents in bidding for new casino licences in Macau.</li>
</ul>



NTT (9432 JP) results were better than Softbank Corp's and KDDI's. The good "drift trade" may still be to be long NTT vs a basket of KDDI and Softbank Corp. 
The Frasers Hospitality (FHT SP) Scheme failed.  The non-vocal minority simply didn't show up. Maybe apathy. Maybe a holiday season. Maybe lack of premium paid encouraged people to not vote.
In a surprise move, Genting Bhd (GENT MK)- or Genting Malaysia (GENM MK) - has joined the six incumbents in bidding for new casino licences in Macau.


Last Week in Event SPACE: NTT, Frasers Hospitality, Genting/Macau, United Tractor, Arb Shockers

<ul>
<li>In a surprise move, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genting-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14210:1" rel="noopener">Genting Bhd (GENT MK)</a> - or <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genting-malaysia-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3141:1" rel="noopener">Genting Malaysia (GENM MK)</a> - has joined the six incumbents in bidding for new casino licences in Macau.</li>
<li>The bidding process follows Macau's record low monthly gaming revenue in July after casinos were closed for 12 days in response to a Covid outbreak.</li>
<li>Casinos have re-opened, yet there is little to cheer about as business remains muted. The six winners are expected to be announced by the end of November or early December.</li>
</ul>


In a surprise move, Genting Bhd (GENT MK) - or Genting Malaysia (GENM MK) - has joined the six incumbents in bidding for new casino licences in Macau.
The bidding process follows Macau's record low monthly gaming revenue in July after casinos were closed for 12 days in response to a Covid outbreak.
Casinos have re-opened, yet there is little to cheer about as business remains muted. The six winners are expected to be announced by the end of November or early December.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>'s bidder list is out. It is Bain, Brookfield, JIP-JIC, and CVC. Overall, the impression of this pool of candidates is negative</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK)</a> is trading cheap at a look-through forward P/B of 0.26x compared to its five-year average of 0.38x, and the two-year average pre-Covid of 0.48x. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/soho-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4123:1" rel="noopener">Soho China (410 HK)</a>'s name was toxic after SAMR dinged Blackstone's deal. It is no less toxic now. Arguably the upside is greater than the downside. But on what timeframe?</li>
</ul>



Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)'s bidder list is out. It is Bain, Brookfield, JIP-JIC, and CVC. Overall, the impression of this pool of candidates is negative

Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK) is trading cheap at a look-through forward P/B of 0.26x compared to its five-year average of 0.38x, and the two-year average pre-Covid of 0.48x. 

Soho China (410 HK)'s name was toxic after SAMR dinged Blackstone's deal. It is no less toxic now. Arguably the upside is greater than the downside. But on what timeframe?


Last Week in Event SPACE: Toshiba, Swire, SOHO, Link Admin, DIDI Global, 51job

Singapore

Mandarin Oriental International Limited is an owner and operator of luxury hotels, resorts, and residences. The Group now operates, or has under development, hotels in the Americas, Europe, Middle East, and North Africa. Mandarin Oriental International also operates, or has under development, residences at Mandarin Oriental.

Mandarin Oriental International (MAND SP)

Hotel Properties Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates and manages hotels. The Company also operates restaurants and retails and distributes food and fashion merchandise.  In addition, Hotel Properties trades shares, develops and invests in properties, hotels, and resorts.

OUE Limited operates as a diversified real estate owner, developer, and operator with a portfolio of assets in prime locations in Singapore. The company focuses its business in the commercial, hospitality, retail, residential and healthcare sectors.

Hotel Grand Central Limited owns, operates, and manages hotels. The Company also collects rent, develops properties, and provides marketing and support services.

Stamford Land Corporation Limited is an investment holding company.  The Company owns and manages hotels and travel agencies.  Stamford Land Corporation also develops and invests in properties.

Centurion Corporation Limited owns, develops and manages quality, purpose-built workers accommodation assets in Singapore and Malaysia, and purpose-built student accommodation assets in Singapore, Australia, the United Kingdom (“UK”), the United States (“US”) and South Korea.

Straco Corporation Limited develops and operates aquatic related facilities and tourism related activities.  The Group also operates cable car facilities and provides management and consulting services.

Kimly Limited operates and manages coffee shops and food courts. The Company offers prepared foods and drinks for on-premise consumption. Kimly serves customers in Singapore.

Amara Holdings Limited operates hotels and restaurants, provides food and beverage catering services as well as develops and invests in properties.  The Company owns and operates Amara Hotel and invests in shares.

Banyan Tree Holdings Limited owns and manages hotels. The Company also operates spas, galleries and golf courses, and invests in property. Banyan Tree offers design and project management services as well.

MGM China Holdings Ltd. owns a luxury resort, hotel, and casino located in Macau. The Company is also exploring other casino gaming development opportunities in Macau.

Wynn Resorts, Limited owns and operates luxury hotels and destination casino resorts in Las Vegas, Nevada, Macau, and China. The Company offers amenities such as guest rooms and suites, restaurants, golf course, and an on-site luxury automotive dealership.

McDonald's Holdings Company (Japan), Ltd. operates a hamburger fast food restaurant chain throughout Japan.  The Company operates its own stores and franchise stores.

Jubilant Foodworks Ltd. owns and operates fast food chains. The Company offers donuts, baked goods, coffee, bagels, muffin, fruit milkshakes, smoothies, tea, sandwiches, pizza, and beverages. Jubilant Foodworks serves its products to customers throughout India.

Jollibee Foods Corporation owns, franchises and manages a network of fast food restaurants under the trade name Jollibee. The Company was incorporated in 1978.

Minor International PCL is a global company focused on three primary businesses including restaurants, hotels and lifestyle brands distribution.

ZENSHO Holdings CO., LTD. operates a fast food chain specialized in GYUDON which serves bowls of rice topped with seasoned beef based in Kanto.      The Company operates also diversifying into other types of food chains such as "Coco's" and "Big Boy" in Japan.

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. operates a fleet of passenger cruise ships. The Company offers an array of cruise itineraries as well as theme cruises, while markets its services through various distribution channels including retail and travel agents, consumer direct, international sales, as well as incentive sales. Norwegian Cruise extends its services worldwide.

Wingstop Inc. owns and operates restaurants. The Company specializes in cooked-to-order, hand-sauced, and tossed chicken wings. Wingstop serves customers worldwide.

Indian Hotels Company Limited operates The Taj Group of hotels.  The Company owns or maintains long term leases/licenses for hotels in India, in addition to International hotels.  The Group's hotels are divided into three groups: Luxury, Business, and, Leisure.

Genting Singapore Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops resort properties as well as operates casinos. The Company has casinos and integrated resorts in different parts of the world, including Australia, the Americas, Malaysia, the Philippines and the United Kingdom.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Genting Singapore (GENS SP)

Last Week In Event SPACE: Renault/Nissan, Toshiba, Golden Energy, Bilibili, Shinsei, Macau Casinos

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: Macau Plays Need To Up Non-Gaming Game

Reportedly Macau authorities are not satisfied with some concessionaire proposals and now require them to increase investment into non-gambling...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: NTT, Frasers Hospitality, Genting/Macau, United Tractor, Arb Shockers

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Genting Fancies A Flutter In Macau

Macau's China-like, zero-Covid policy affords limited visibility. In contrast, Singapore reported its highest gaming revenue quarter - April-June -...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: Toshiba, Swire, SOHO, Link Admin, DIDI Global, 51job

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)