Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Marginal float helped fuel the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinfast-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36550:1" rel="noopener">VinFast (VFS US)</a> bubble. Then it popped. </li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naspers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21085:1" rel="noopener">Naspers (NPN SJ)</a> Circularity Detour and subsequent unwind created the B-Share construct which means they can maintain the voting control in South Africa without maintaining economic control.</li>
<li>The backlash against <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/star-cm-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36658:1" rel="noopener">Star CM Holdings (6698 HK)</a> calls into question the broader Chinese entertainment industry, and how it strikes a balance between viewership/profitability and ethical boundaries.</li>
</ul>


Marginal float helped fuel the VinFast (VFS US) bubble. Then it popped. 
The Prosus (PRX NA)/Naspers (NPN SJ) Circularity Detour and subsequent unwind created the B-Share construct which means they can maintain the voting control in South Africa without maintaining economic control.
The backlash against Star CM Holdings (6698 HK) calls into question the broader Chinese entertainment industry, and how it strikes a balance between viewership/profitability and ethical boundaries.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Vingroup/VinFast, Prosus/Naspers, STAR CM

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinfast-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36550:1" rel="noopener">VinFast (VFS US)</a>, the EV arm of Vietnamese conglomerate <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vingroup-jsc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13213:1" rel="noopener">Vingroup Jsc (VIC VN)</a>, commenced trading on the 14 August. And promptly took off. </li>
<li>VinFast's current market cap is ~4x <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/general-motors-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18811:1" rel="noopener">General Motors (GM US)</a>'s, twice that of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mercedes-benz-group-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21602:1" rel="noopener">Mercedes-Benz (MBG GR)</a>'s, and the second-largest pure-play EV-maker after <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesla-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1" rel="noopener">Tesla  (TSLA US)</a>.</li>
<li>Vingroup's holding in VinFast is worth 13x its market cap. This is not sustainable. </li>
</ul>



VinFast (VFS US), the EV arm of Vietnamese conglomerate Vingroup Jsc (VIC VN), commenced trading on the 14 August. And promptly took off. 
VinFast's current market cap is ~4x General Motors (GM US)'s, twice that of Mercedes-Benz (MBG GR)'s, and the second-largest pure-play EV-maker after Tesla  (TSLA US).
Vingroup's holding in VinFast is worth 13x its market cap. This is not sustainable. 


Vingroup: VinFast's Valuation Makes No Sense

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>General Motors exceeded Wall Street expectations in terms of revenue and earnings.</li><li>With solid pricing and incentive discipline, they have now provided higher retail marketer results for four straight quarters in the United States.</li><li>We give General Motors a 'Hold' rating with a revised target price.</li></ul>

General Motors exceeded Wall Street expectations in terms of revenue and earnings.With solid pricing and incentive discipline, they have now provided higher retail marketer results for four straight quarters in the United States.We give General Motors a 'Hold' rating with a revised target price.

General Motors Company: A Story Of Sales in Premium Variants! – Key Drivers

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

<ul>
<li>US Mutual Fund exposure in Ford Motor Company hits all-time lows with just 11 out of 295 funds holding a position.</li>
<li>Ford Motor Company is now the 6th most widely held Auto stock after Tesla, General Motors, Rivian Automotive, Harley Davidson and Oshkosh Corp.</li>
<li>Ford tops the list of unloved companies in the US, with the vast majority of active managers expecting Ford to underperform.</li>
</ul>


US Mutual Fund exposure in Ford Motor Company hits all-time lows with just 11 out of 295 funds holding a position.
Ford Motor Company is now the 6th most widely held Auto stock after Tesla, General Motors, Rivian Automotive, Harley Davidson and Oshkosh Corp.
Ford tops the list of unloved companies in the US, with the vast majority of active managers expecting Ford to underperform.


US Mutual Funds: Is Ford Motor Company Uninvestible?

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Robosense Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-robosense-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39903:1" rel="noopener">Robosense Technology (ROBO HK)</a> (RT) is looking to raise around US$400m (estimated) in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. </li>
<li>As of Mar 23, it had earned design wins for mass production of LiDAR for 52 vehicles with 21OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers, ranking No. 1 globally, according to CIC.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Robosense Technology (ROBO HK) (RT) is looking to raise around US$400m (estimated) in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. 
As of Mar 23, it had earned design wins for mass production of LiDAR for 52 vehicles with 21OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers, ranking No. 1 globally, according to CIC.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Robosense Technology Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Not a Whole Lot of Earnings

United States

General Motors Co. manufactures and markets new cars and trucks. The Company offers features for special needs drivers, OnStar vehicle protection, service, parts, accessories, maintenance, XM satellite radio, features for commercial owners, and more. General Motors offers its vehicles and services worldwide.

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General Motors (GM US)

Last Week In Event SPACE: Vingroup/VinFast, Prosus/Naspers, STAR CM

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Vingroup: VinFast's Valuation Makes No Sense

Vingroup has undeniable scale advantages to maintain its property sector leadership. Yet a property recovery in what has been a largely unregulated...

David Blennerhassett

General Motors Company: A Story Of Sales in Premium Variants! – Key Drivers

General Motors exceeded Wall Street expectations in terms of revenue and earnings. With solid pricing and incentive discipline, they have now...

Baptista Research

US Mutual Funds: Is Ford Motor Company Uninvestible?

US active mutual fund exposure in Ford Motor Company hits all-time lows with just 11 out of 295 funds holding a position.

Steven Holden

Robosense Technology Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Not a Whole Lot of Earnings

Robosense Technology is looking to raise around US$400m (estimated) in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive...

Sumeet Singh

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