Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Global equities are under some pressure after Fitch downgraded the United States' credit rating to AA+ from AAA.</li>
<li>We expect that this is a normal 3%-6% pullback to the 50-day MA or major $93 support level on the MSCI ACWI <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-acwi-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24402:1" rel="noopener">iShares MSCI ACWI ETF (ACWI US)</a> .</li>
<li>$TNX is below 4.1%-4.3% and DXY remains in an 8-month downtrend; as long as this remains true, we'd buy on a pullback to the 50-day MA and/or $93 on ACWI-US</li>
</ul>


Global equities are under some pressure after Fitch downgraded the United States' credit rating to AA+ from AAA.
We expect that this is a normal 3%-6% pullback to the 50-day MA or major $93 support level on the MSCI ACWI iShares MSCI ACWI ETF (ACWI US) .
$TNX is below 4.1%-4.3% and DXY remains in an 8-month downtrend; as long as this remains true, we'd buy on a pullback to the 50-day MA and/or $93 on ACWI-US


Normal Pullback, or Something More?; Watching Resistance on DXY and 10-Yr Treasury Yield; Value Buys

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

Taishin Financial Holding / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The monthly profit figures at Taishin are rising substantially, suggesting a strong 2Q23</li>
<li>Taishin's LDR had declined dramatically in 1Q23, monthly figures may suggest expansion</li>
<li>With declining credit costs, to match lower NPLs, the outlook for Taishin's profit is strong</li>
</ul>


The monthly profit figures at Taishin are rising substantially, suggesting a strong 2Q23
Taishin's LDR had declined dramatically in 1Q23, monthly figures may suggest expansion
With declining credit costs, to match lower NPLs, the outlook for Taishin's profit is strong


Taishin - Monthly Profit Surge at +253% in May Suggests Strong Quarterly Numbers

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Mar 3rd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD11.8bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Silergy, Via Tech, Evergreen Marine, Wiwynn.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Mar 3rd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD11.8bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Silergy, Via Tech, Evergreen Marine, Wiwynn.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 3rd): Silergy, Via Tech, Evergreen Marine, Wiwynn

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 16th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD14.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>Overall short interests decreased by 1.5% WOW. We highlight short interest changes in Wiwynn Corp.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 16th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD14.0bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
Overall short interests decreased by 1.5% WOW. We highlight short interest changes in Wiwynn Corp.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Dec 16th): Wiwynn Corp

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 9th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD14.2bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Yageo, Walsin Lihwa, Evergreen Marine.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 9th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD14.2bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Yageo, Walsin Lihwa, Evergreen Marine.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Dec 9th): Yageo, Walsin Lihwa, Evergreen Marine

Taiwan

Chailease Holding Co Ltd provides financing services such as leasing, installment sale, import/export factoring and direct financing.

Yuanta Financial Holding Co., Ltd. is a holding company. Its main businesses include brokerage, margin financing, domestic and overseas issuance, financial and M&A advisory, primary listings, corporate financial, securities underwriting and placements, etc. The company also holds the leading position in the derivatives business.

Taiwan Acceptance Corp. provides car financing and leasing services.

Capital Securities Corp. conducts a securities firm business.  The Company acts as a broker, underwriter, and dealer for financial securities.  Capital also provides loans for margin transactions and transfer agent services for financial securities.

IBF Financial Holdings Co., Ltd. is a holding company.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company acts as a broker and dealer of short term bills, certifier, underwriter and guarantor of commercial papers, and broker for inter-bank call loans.  The Company also trades government bonds and provides financial consulting services.

President Securities Corp. is a securities firm which acts as a broker, dealer, and underwriter for financial securities.  The Company provides loans for margin trading and short selling.

CTBC Financial Holding Company Ltd. is a holding company.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company provides a variety of banking and financial services, including deposit, loan, guarantee, international banking, trust banking, credit card, investment banking, safety deposit box, and Internet banking services.

Cathay Financial Holding Co., Ltd. is a holding company.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company provides traditional life, health care, and accident insurances, as well as banking, security underwriting, and brokerage services.

Yuanta Futures Co Ltd works in the brokerage and proprietary trading businesses, as well as the provision of futures consultancy services. The Company's brokerage business includes domestic futures brokerage, domestic options brokerage and overseas futures brokerage services. Polaris proprietary trading business offers securities and futures trading and market maker

E.Sun Financial Holding Company Ltd. is a holding company.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company provides banking, brokerage and dealer services.

Bajaj Finserv Ltd. is currently engaged in life insurance; general insurance and consumer finance businesses and has plans to expand its business by offering a wide array of financial products and services in India. The Company is also active in wind-energy generation.

ORIX Corporation provides comprehensive financial services throughout the world. The Company's business lines include leasing, real estate loans, life insurance, banking, and consumer finance.  The Company also operates Environment related business and Private equity investment business. ORIX has a professional baseball team, the ORIX Buffalos.

Block, Inc. operates as a financial services and digital payments company. The Company develops a payments platform aimed at small and medium businesses that allows them to accept credit card payments and use tablet computers as payment registers for a point-of-sale system. Block also provides financial and marketing services.

FirstRand Limited is a portfolio of separately branded, integrated financial services businesses offering a universal set of transactional, lending, investment and insurance products and services in South Africa, certain markets in sub-Saharan Africa and the UK.

Indian Railway Finance Corporation Limited (IRFC) provides financial services. The Company raises money from the market through bonds and off-shores borrowings to finance the plan outlay of railways and other various developmental programs. IRFC serves customers in India. 

Indian Railway Finance Corporation (IRFC IN)

Adyen N.V. provides payment solutions. The Company offers a platform that enable merchants and businesses to process payments online, mobile, and point-of-sale systems with payment methods including card schemes, mobile wallets, and other local methods. Adyen serves customers worldwide.

Rural Electrification Corporation Limited engages in the financing and promotion of transmission, distribution and generation projects in India. The Company provides funding to clients to assist them in formulating and implementing various types of power project-related schemes.

Power Finance Corporation funds power projects in India.  The Company serves state power utilities, central power sector utilities, power departments, private power sector utilities, joint sector power utilities, power equipment manufacturers, and municipal power utilities.

EXOR N.V. is a diversified holding company. The Company brings in finance for the development of its companies, to improve their competitive position and profitability, and maintains a constant dialogue with the top management of the companies in which it invests, while fully respecting their operating autonomy.

Fubon Financial Holding Co., Ltd. is a financial holding company, formed through the merger of Fubon Insurance, Fubon Securities, Fubon Commercial Bank, and Fubon Life Assurance.

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Fubon Financial Holding Co (2881 TT)

Normal Pullback, or Something More?; Watching Resistance on DXY and 10-Yr Treasury Yield; Value Buys

Normal Pullback, or Something More for global equities?; Watch Resistance on $DXY and 10-Yr Treasury Yield; Value Buys in Consumer Discretionary...

Vermilion Research

Taishin - Monthly Profit Surge at +253% in May Suggests Strong Quarterly Numbers

Monthly profit figures are provided by Taiwan's banks, and the growth for Taishin in April and May has been incredibly strong, suggesting a very...

Daniel Tabbush

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Mar 3rd): Silergy, Via Tech, Evergreen Marine, Wiwynn

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Silergy, Via Tech, Evergreen Marine, Wiwynn.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Dec 16th): Wiwynn Corp

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week (as of Dec 16th) and highlight short interest changes in Wiwynn Corp.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Dec 9th): Yageo, Walsin Lihwa, Evergreen Marine

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Yageo, Walsin Lihwa, Evergreen Marine.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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