External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Equity Bottom-Up

FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We recently met Nykaa’s management (Mar-23) to primarily track our core thesis and what it holds</li><li>Hence, our REDUCE rating on Nykaa stands with a DCF-based TP of INR110/sh (implying 157x FY25 P/E)</li><li>Our three-point thesis was (1) TAM seemed oversold (2) ad revenue will be closely contended for and (3) Nykaa seems more like an efficient pipe business than a platform</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We recently met Nykaa’s management (Mar-23) to primarily track our core thesis and what it holdsHence, our REDUCE rating on Nykaa stands with a DCF-based TP of INR110/sh (implying 157x FY25 P/E)Our three-point thesis was (1) TAM seemed oversold (2) ad revenue will be closely contended for and (3) Nykaa seems more like an efficient pipe business than a platformContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Fsn E-commerce Ventures: The going seems to be getting tougher! Maintain REDUCE

Fsn E-Commerce Ventures - The Going Seems to Be Getting Tougher! Maintain REDUCE

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Demand peak in discretionary categories seems to be behind us: Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~19% YoY (revenue) in Q4FY23 (four-year revenue CAGR: 16%)</li><li>Elevated ticket sizes and store expansion coupled with normalizing footfalls aided growth</li><li>However, in retail, many of these variables are now mean-reverting</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Demand peak in discretionary categories seems to be behind us: Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~19% YoY (revenue) in Q4FY23 (four-year revenue CAGR: 16%)Elevated ticket sizes and store expansion coupled with normalizing footfalls aided growthHowever, in retail, many of these variables are now mean-revertingContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Discretionary - Discretionary Peak Most Certainly Behind Us

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Nearly halfway through the review period, we see 10 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and vice versa, and 9 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and vice versa.</li>
<li>Financials are poised to be the biggest gainers in the reshuffle with 6 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and 5 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap.</li>
<li>Over the last 6 months, stocks expected to migrate upward have outperformed stocks that are expected to migrate downward., though there has been a downward drift this year.</li>
</ul>


Nearly halfway through the review period, we see 10 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and vice versa, and 9 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and vice versa.
Financials are poised to be the biggest gainers in the reshuffle with 6 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and 5 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap.
Over the last 6 months, stocks expected to migrate upward have outperformed stocks that are expected to migrate downward., though there has been a downward drift this year.


India: AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2023)

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Honasa Consumer  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Honasa Consumer (HC) is looking to raise about US$350m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>HC’s product portfolio includes products in the baby care, face care, body care, hair care, color cosmetics and fragrances segments.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


Honasa Consumer (HC) is looking to raise about US$350m in its upcoming India IPO.
HC’s product portfolio includes products in the baby care, face care, body care, hair care, color cosmetics and fragrances segments.
In this note, we will talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Honasa Consumer Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Ad Spending Keeping Profits Low

India

FSN E-Commerce Ventures Private Limited providese-retailing beauty and personal care solutions. The Company offers comprehensive selection of makeup, skin and hair care, bath body, fragrance, grooming appliances, personal care, and health and welness categories. FSN E-Commerce Ventures serves customers worldwide.

FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa) (NYKAA IN)

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FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa) (NYKAA IN)

Fsn E-commerce Ventures: The going seems to be getting tougher! Maintain REDUCE

We recently met Nykaa’s management (Mar-23) to primarily track our core thesis and what it holds. Hence, our REDUCE rating on Nykaa stands with a...

HDFC Securities

Fsn E-Commerce Ventures - The Going Seems to Be Getting Tougher! Maintain REDUCE

We recently met Nykaa’s management (Mar-23) to primarily track our core thesis and what it holds. Hence, our REDUCE rating on Nykaa stands with a...

HDFC Securities

Consumer Discretionary - Discretionary Peak Most Certainly Behind Us

Demand peak in discretionary categories seems to be behind us: Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~19% YoY (revenue) in Q4FY23 (four...

HDFC Securities

India: AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2023)

Nearly halfway through the review period, we see 10 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and vice versa, 9 from SmallCap to MidCap and vice versa....

Brian Freitas

Honasa Consumer Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Ad Spending Keeping Profits Low

Honasa Consumer (HC) is looking to raise about US$350m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

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