SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Schedule of S-Reits earnings or business update Lendlease Global Commercial REIT 1-Feb  Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT) will kick off the current financial reporting season for S-Reits with the release of its first quarter (ended Dec 31, 2023) business update after the close of trading on Jan 22, 2024.</li></ul>

Schedule of S-Reits earnings or business update Lendlease Global Commercial REIT 1-Feb  Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT) will kick off the current financial reporting season for S-Reits with the release of its first quarter (ended Dec 31, 2023) business update after the close of trading on Jan 22, 2024.

REIT Watch - 26 S-Reits confirm schedule for upcoming earnings season

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for a global index commenced last week and will run through this week as well.</li>
<li>The announcement of the changes for the LQ45 Index should be announced in the coming week and will be implemented at the close on 31 January.</li>
<li>Huge inflows to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a> trackers during the week while there was a big outflow from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The review period for a global index commenced last week and will run through this week as well.
The announcement of the changes for the LQ45 Index should be announced in the coming week and will be implemented at the close on 31 January.
Huge inflows to CSI 300 Index trackers during the week while there was a big outflow from Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (2800 HK). 


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, KS200, KQ150, HSIII, STTF, L&F, Costa Group, Japan, Bud APAC

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emperador-inc-1be53f2f-f106-4f4f-b9be-5cf1341e76ae" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36111:1" rel="noopener">Emperador (EMI SP)</a> currently fails the liquidity test and could be removed from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/spdr-straits-times-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35880:1" rel="noopener">SPDR Straits Times Index ETF (STTF SP)</a> in March.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-centrepoint-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2870:1" rel="noopener">Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT SP)</a> is currently the highest ranked non-constituent and could be added to the ETF. FCT has a 6% higher market cap compared to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/olam-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:765:1" rel="noopener">Olam (OLG SP)</a>.</li>
<li>We estimate trackers will need to buy 5 days of ADV in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-centrepoint-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2870:1" rel="noopener">Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT SP)</a> and sell over 37 days of ADV in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emperador-inc-1be53f2f-f106-4f4f-b9be-5cf1341e76ae" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36111:1" rel="noopener">Emperador (EMI SP)</a>. </li>
</ul>



Emperador (EMI SP) currently fails the liquidity test and could be removed from the SPDR Straits Times Index ETF (STTF SP) in March.

Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT SP) is currently the highest ranked non-constituent and could be added to the ETF. FCT has a 6% higher market cap compared to Olam (OLG SP).
We estimate trackers will need to buy 5 days of ADV in Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT SP) and sell over 37 days of ADV in Emperador (EMI SP). 


STTF Rebalance Preview: One Potential Change in March

Sabana Industrial REIT / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Schedule of S-REITs & Property Trusts’ Earnings or Business Updates Mapletree Logistics Trust 25-Jul 26-Jul  This coming week, another 17 S-Reits and property trusts will be releasing their earnings or business updates for the period ended Jun 30, 2023.</li></ul>

Schedule of S-REITs & Property Trusts’ Earnings or Business Updates Mapletree Logistics Trust 25-Jul 26-Jul  This coming week, another 17 S-Reits and property trusts will be releasing their earnings or business updates for the period ended Jun 30, 2023.

REIT Watch - 17 S-Reits reporting earnings during the week

<ul><li>SINGAPORE-LISTED real estate investment trusts (S-Reits) continue to hold up despite decelerating global growth, with the iEdge S-Reit Index generating 2.1 per cent in total returns in the first half of 2023, outperforming the Straits Times Index’s 1.2 per cent and the FTSE EPRA Nareit Asia ex Japan Index’s -1.7 per cent.</li><li>The 10 S-Reits were Keppel DC Reit, Cromwell European Reit (Cromwell E-Reit), Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust, Frasers Hospitality Trust, Paragon Reit, Frasers Centrepoint Trust, Aims Apac Reit, ParkwayLife Reit, CapitaLand India Trust, and CapitaLand Ascott Trust.</li><li>Outperformance was driven across specialised, healthcare and hospitality sub-sectors at 7.5 per cent, 5.2 per cent, and 4.1 per cent total returns respectively.</li></ul>

SINGAPORE-LISTED real estate investment trusts (S-Reits) continue to hold up despite decelerating global growth, with the iEdge S-Reit Index generating 2.1 per cent in total returns in the first half of 2023, outperforming the Straits Times Index’s 1.2 per cent and the FTSE EPRA Nareit Asia ex Japan Index’s -1.7 per cent.The 10 S-Reits were Keppel DC Reit, Cromwell European Reit (Cromwell E-Reit), Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust, Frasers Hospitality Trust, Paragon Reit, Frasers Centrepoint Trust, Aims Apac Reit, ParkwayLife Reit, CapitaLand India Trust, and CapitaLand Ascott Trust.Outperformance was driven across specialised, healthcare and hospitality sub-sectors at 7.5 per cent, 5.2 per cent, and 4.1 per cent total returns respectively.

REIT Watch - 10 S-Reits which outperformed in H1

Singapore

Frasers Centrepoint Trust is a retail real estate investment trust focused on growing unitholder value through asset management, financial management and strategic investments.  The trust invests in retail properties in Singapore and overseas.

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Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT SP)

REIT Watch - 26 S-Reits confirm schedule for upcoming earnings season

Schedule of S-Reits earnings or business update Lendlease Global Commercial REIT 1-Feb Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT) will kick off the current...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, KS200, KQ150, HSIII, STTF, L&F, Costa Group, Japan, Bud APAC

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

STTF Rebalance Preview: One Potential Change in March

Emperador currently fails liquidity and could be deleted from the STTF in March. Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT) is a potential inclusion. There is...

Brian Freitas

REIT Watch - 17 S-Reits reporting earnings during the week

Schedule of S-REITs & Property Trusts’ Earnings or Business Updates Mapletree Logistics Trust 25-Jul 26-Jul This coming week, another 17...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

REIT Watch - 10 S-Reits which outperformed in H1

SINGAPORE-LISTED real estate investment trusts (S-Reits) continue to hold up despite decelerating global growth, with the iEdge S-Reit Index...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

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