Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) / Event-Driven

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC)

<ul>
<li>There are 5 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50 Index (SSE50 INDEX)</a> that will be implemented at the close on 8 December. There is over 1x ADV to trade on some stocks.</li>
<li>We estimate a one-way turnover of 5.4% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 4.85bn. Index arb activity could add to the impact on the stocks.</li>
<li>The adds, deletes and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50 Index (SSE50 INDEX)</a> have moved nearly in lockstep since May and the passive flows could move things around a bit.</li>
</ul>


There are 5 changes for the SSE50 Index (SSE50 INDEX) that will be implemented at the close on 8 December. There is over 1x ADV to trade on some stocks.
We estimate a one-way turnover of 5.4% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 4.85bn. Index arb activity could add to the impact on the stocks.
The adds, deletes and SSE50 Index (SSE50 INDEX) have moved nearly in lockstep since May and the passive flows could move things around a bit.


SSE50 Index Rebalance: Five Changes; Adds & Deletes Moving in Lockstep

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>This is the somewhat-brand-spanking-new Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor.</li>
<li>The same five names continue at the top of the gross flows list - Kweichow Moutai, Contemporary Amperex, Zhongji Innolight, Foxconn, and this week Longi Green Energy. Nets are smaller.</li>
<li>Last week, NORTHBOUND was again net sellers, showing three weeks ago (the only weekly net buy in months) may have been a fluke.</li>
</ul>


This is the somewhat-brand-spanking-new Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor.
The same five names continue at the top of the gross flows list - Kweichow Moutai, Contemporary Amperex, Zhongji Innolight, Foxconn, and this week Longi Green Energy. Nets are smaller.
Last week, NORTHBOUND was again net sellers, showing three weeks ago (the only weekly net buy in months) may have been a fluke.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 17 Nov 23): Net Sales Again, Dominated by Financials

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 17th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$652.6 million, led by financials, industrials, and offset by information technology, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Luxshare Precision, Mindray, Ping An Insurance.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 17th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$652.6 million, led by financials, industrials, and offset by information technology, utilities.
We highlight flows for Luxshare Precision, Mindray, Ping An Insurance.


Northbound Flows (Nov 17th): Luxshare Precision, Mindray, Ping An Insurance

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pasona-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15778:1" rel="noopener">Pasona Group (2168 JP)</a> is massively net cash. And it's ofloading <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/benefit-one-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14502:1" rel="noopener">Benefit One Inc (2412 JP)</a>. Though we don't know what the future holds, Pasona is the wrong price.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enn-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:316:1" rel="noopener">ENN Energy (2688 HK)</a> controlling shreholder announced it intends to increase it stake. And it's been in the market almost everry day since the interims. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-expressway-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2178:1" rel="noopener">Zhejiang Expressway (576 HK)</a> announced its rights offering. It's at a long-term low price, and about to earn a long-term high net income, and have a long-term high payout ratio</li>
</ul>



Pasona Group (2168 JP) is massively net cash. And it's ofloading Benefit One Inc (2412 JP). Though we don't know what the future holds, Pasona is the wrong price.

ENN Energy (2688 HK) controlling shreholder announced it intends to increase it stake. And it's been in the market almost everry day since the interims. 

Zhejiang Expressway (576 HK) announced its rights offering. It's at a long-term low price, and about to earn a long-term high net income, and have a long-term high payout ratio


Last Week in Event SPACE: Zhejiang, Pasona, ENN Energy, Asahi Group, Azure Minerals

<ul>
<li>The New and Better (10 weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>HUGE underperformance of Hs vs As across the board. A horrible week and it is not clear why. I doubt it was the short-selling warning or increase in haircuts.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND was a net buy and NORTHBOUND a net sell and the largest net SB flows on H/A pairs were the high-div SOEs.</li>
</ul>


The New and Better (10 weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
HUGE underperformance of Hs vs As across the board. A horrible week and it is not clear why. I doubt it was the short-selling warning or increase in haircuts.
SOUTHBOUND was a net buy and NORTHBOUND a net sell and the largest net SB flows on H/A pairs were the high-div SOEs.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 10 Nov): Bad Week for H | A Across the Board Despite SB/NB Going "Right Way"

Taiwan

Hon Hai Precision Industry Co., Ltd. provides electronic manufacturing services for computers, communications, and consumer electronic products.  The Company's business operations include desktop and notebook PC assembly, connector production, cable assembly, PCB assembly, handset manufacturing, networking equipment, and other consumer electronic devices manufacturing.

Delta Electronics Inc. manufactures power supplies and video display products. The Company's products include switching power supplies, telecom power systems, uninterrupted power supply (UPS), variable speed alternating current (AC) monitor drives, high resolution color monitors, and projectors.  Delta also manufactures magnetic and networking components.

Largan Precision Company Limited manufactures and markets optical lens modules and optoelectronic components. The Company offers lenses for liquid crystal display (LCD) projectors, scanners, optical mice, digital still cameras (DSCs), digital versatile discs (DVDs), light emitting diodes (LEDs), and photography mobile phones.

Yageo Corporation manufactures resistors and related equipment.  The Company also produces thick-film resistors which are used in downstream electronics products, and high power thin-film resistors and chip resistors which are used in aerospace, automobile, and precision electronics industries.  Through its subsidiaries, Yageo also operates a consumer goods importing business.

E Ink Holdings Inc. develops, manufactures, and markets thin film transistor liquid crystal displays (TFT-LCDs).  The Company's products are mainly used in mobile video systems, car navigation systems, camcorders, digitalcameras, industrial instruments, etc.

Unimicron Technology Corp. manufactures and markets double-sided and multi-layer printed circuit boards.  The Company also provides integrated circuits (IC) burning and testing services.

Jentech Precision Industrial Company Ltd. provides tooling, precision metal stamping, custom insert molding, injection molding, and assembly solutions for medical, consumer electronics, semiconductor, automotive, appliance, and micro electronic markets to a wide variety of industries.

Nan Ya Printed Circuit Board Corporation manufactures and markets printed circuit boards (PCBs) and integrated circuit (IC) substrates.

Innolux Corporation manufactures TFT-LCD, LCD models and LCD monitors. The company also provides research, development, manufacturing and retails business.

LOTES Co., Ltd specialize in design and manufacture of connectors, CPU Socket, Coolers and Antenna for Notebook Computer, Personal Computer, Mobile electronic device and Ditial Video.

Samsung SDI Co., Ltd. specializes in developing Lithium Ion Battery (LIB) technology.  The Company also manufactures cathode ray tubes (CRTs) for televisions and computer monitors.  Samsung SDI also produces liquid crystal display (LCD) components and rechargeable batteries for cellular phones , personal digital assistants (PDAs), Energy Storage Systems and solar panels.

Kyocera Corporation manufacturers electronic equipment and components. The Company's products include telecommunication equipment, information equipment, optical equipment, ceramic products, semiconductor parts, chips, hybrid integrated circuits, thermal printheads, image sensors, liquid crystal displays, and connectors. Kyocera operates worldwide.

Keysight Technologies, Inc. offers electronic measurement services using wireless, modular, and software solutions.

CDW Corporation of Delaware provides information technology products and services. The Company offers hardware, software, computer peripherals, cloud computing, mobile devices, network communication, and security solutions. CDW serves business, government, education, and healthcare customers throughout North America.

NAURA Technology Group Co., Ltd. is an integrated high-tech company, which manufactures electronics equipments and components, including IC equipments, hybrid integrated circuits and combines with R&D, sales, and services.

KEYENCE CORPORATION develops, manufactures, and sells sensors and measuring instruments used for factory automation (FA) and high technology hobby products. The Company's products include fiber optic sensors, photoelectric sensors, programmable logic controllers (PLC), laser scan micrometers, bar code readers, and radio-controlled model cars.

Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co., Ltd develops, manufactures and sells video surveillance products.  The Company manufactures video and audio compression card, network hard disk video recorders, video servers, cameras, network storage, and other digital products.

Hitachi, Ltd. manufactures communications and electronic equipment, heavy electrical and industrial machinery, and consumer electronics.  The Company's diverse product line ranges from nuclear power systems to kitchen appliances. Hitachi also operates subsidiaries in the wire and cable, metal, and chemical industries.

Zebra Technologies Corporation designs and manufactures enterprise mobile computers, advanced data capture devices, such as laser, 2D and RFID scanners and readers, and specialty printers for barcode labeling and personal identification. The Company also produces WLAN products, real-time location systems, related supplies and application software.

Trimble Navigation Ltd is a leading provider of advanced location-based solutions that maximize productivity and enhance profitability. The Company integrates its positioning expertise in GPS, laser, optical and inertial technologies with application software, wireless communications, and services to provide complete commercial solutions.

Foxconn Industrial Internet Co., Ltd. operates as a communication network equipment development company. The Company develops and sells network switches, routers, wireless devices, web servers, set top boxes, smart home gateways, and other products. Foxconn Industrial Internet also manufactures storage equipment.

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Foxconn Industrial Internet (601138 CH)

SSE50 Index Rebalance: Five Changes; Adds & Deletes Moving in Lockstep

There are 5 changes in Dec resulting in 1-way turnover of 5.4% and 1-way trade of CNY 4.85bn. The adds and deletes have moved in lockstep over the...

Brian Freitas

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 17 Nov 23): Net Sales Again, Dominated by Financials

Mainland Connect (NORTHBOUND) flows were negative again. Nearly RMB 5bn and net sells across both exchanges four days out of five. Financials were...

Travis Lundy

Northbound Flows (Nov 17th): Luxshare Precision, Mindray, Ping An Insurance

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Luxshare Precision, Mindray, Ping An Insurance.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Last Week in Event SPACE: Zhejiang, Pasona, ENN Energy, Asahi Group, Azure Minerals

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

A/H Premium Tracker (To 10 Nov): Bad Week for H | A Across the Board Despite SB/NB Going "Right Way"

H/A Pairs were again volatile this week. Hs underperformed their As by more than 150bp. The portfolio did better carried over from last week, but...

Travis Lundy

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