Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares Russell 2000 ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The market continues to send mixed signals - some neutral or healthy signals but some risk-off signals as well.</li>
<li>As long as the Russell 2000 index (IWM) is above $208, Russell Micro Cap index (IWC) is above $134-$135, and the S&amp;P 500 is above 4495, we cannot be bearish.</li>
<li>Treasury yields are not breaking down below 1.40%-1.45% support on the 10-year Treasury yield and 1.76% support on the 30-year Treasury yield.</li>
</ul>


The market continues to send mixed signals - some neutral or healthy signals but some risk-off signals as well.
As long as the Russell 2000 index (IWM) is above $208, Russell Micro Cap index (IWC) is above $134-$135, and the S&amp;P 500 is above 4495, we cannot be bearish.
Treasury yields are not breaking down below 1.40%-1.45% support on the 10-year Treasury yield and 1.76% support on the 30-year Treasury yield.


Continued Absence Of Breakdowns Is A Positive Sign; Many Bottoms-Up Stock Recommendations

<p>Our outlook remains bullish, and this is not based solely on new highs in the S&amp;P 500 or Russell 2000. While we like to have those boxes checked, more important to us are the trends at the Sector and Group levels. And right now what we see confirms a risk-on environment confirmed by technical strength in manufacturing, biotechs, banks, energy, miners, semis, and foreign markets -- all buys.</p>

Our outlook remains bullish, and this is not based solely on new highs in the S&amp;P 500 or Russell 2000. While we like to have those boxes checked, more important to us are the trends at the Sector and Group levels. And right now what we see confirms a risk-on environment confirmed by technical strength in manufacturing, biotechs, banks, energy, miners, semis, and foreign markets -- all buys.

U.S. Equities: Sector & Group-Level Trends Confirm Risk-On Environment

United States

Dana Incorporated engineers, manufactures, and distributes components and systems for worldwide automotive, heavy truck, off-highway, engine, and industrial markets. The Company also provides leasing services in selected markets.

Gentherm Inc. designs, develops, and manufactures heating, cooling, and ventilating devices for diverse global markets.  The Company offers heated seating, climate seating, electronics, and cables. for the automotive markets.

Adient plc is a automotive seating supplier that designs, develops, manufactures, and distributes complete seat systems and their various components. The Company provides its products to the global auto industry for use in vans, pick-up trucks and SUV vehicles.

LCI Industries manufactures recreational vehicles and equipment. The Company offers toolboxes, truck caps, running boards, side-outs, mattresses, alignment systems, shock absorber, power stabilizer jacks, baggage doors, and sliders. LCI Industries markets its products worldwide.

Nexteer Automotive Group Ltd produces automotive components. The Company engineers, designs, manufactures, and distributes steering and driveline systems. Nexteer Automotive markets its products  to automobile manufacturers and suppliers around the world.

Visteon Corporation supplies automotive systems, modules, and components to vehicle manufacturers and the aftermarket on a worldwide basis.  The Company manufactures products such as climate control systems, electronics, interiors, and lighting.

Dorman Products, Inc. supplies automotive products and home hardware.  The Company supplies its products to the automotive aftermarket and mass merchandise markets.

American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. is a global Tier-One automotive supplier of driveline and drivetrain systems and related components for light trucks, SUVs, passenger cars, crossover vehicles and commercial vehicles. In addition to locations in the North America, AAM also has offices or facilities in Europe, Asia and South America.

American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. (AXL US)

American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings, Inc.

Standard Motor Products, Inc. manufactures replacement parts and automotive related items for the automotive industry. The Company's products include ignition and electrical parts, emission and engine controls, sensors, battery cables, clutches, blower motors, condensers, and hoses, among others. Standard Motor sells its products primarily throughout the United States and Canada.

Stoneridge, Inc. designs and manufactures engineered electrical and electronic components, modules, and systems.  The Company's customers include the automotive, medium and heavy duty truck, and agricultural vehicle markets. Stoneridge markets its products under a variety of brand names including Alphabet, Berifors, Hi-Stat, Pollak, and PST.

NIFCO INC. manufactures synthetic resinous fasteners and plastic components for automobiles and home electronic appliances.  The Company has its subsidiaries in Korea, Hong Kong, Australia, Malaysia, Singapore, and the US.

NOK CORPORATION manufactures oil seals and industrial rubber products for automobiles.  The Company also produces electronic equipment used for cellular phones and PCs.  NOK has production facilities in Taiwan and Thailand.

Zhejiang Yinlun Machinery Co.,Ltd. develops, manufactures and markets steel plate oil cooler, concentric oil cooler, shell and tube oil cooler. The company's products are used in automobile engine systems and automatic transmission systems.

Zhejiang Yinlun Machinery Co,Ltd. (002126 CH)

TS TECH CO., LTD. manufactures seats for two-wheeled and four-wheeled vehicles. The Company also produces other automobile accessories.

Minth Group Ltd. manufactures exterior automobile body parts.  The Company produces structural body parts, decorative parts, and trim.  Minth supplies multinational automobile manufacturers operating in China.

Hanon Systems manufactures a variety of automotive air control equipment.  The Company's products include air conditioners, heaters, cooling modules, compressors, radiators, fans, evaporators, and condensers. Hanon Systems distributes its products on an original equipment manufacturing (OEM) basis.

Wanxiang Qianchao Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets a variety of auto parts. The Company's products include universal joints, car vibration absorbers, transmission systems, bearings, and other related parts.  Wanxiang also trades merchandises.

Asahi India Glass Limited manufactures automotive safety glass and float glass. The Company's product range includes laminated windshields, tempered glass, silver printed defogger glass, black ceramic printed flush fitting glass and PVC-encapsulated fixed glass.

Tong Yang Industry Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets automobile and motorcycle parts such as bumpers, windshields, grilles, fenders, hoods, and light frames. The Company exports its products to North America, Europe, Central and South Americas, Southeast Asia, and the Middle East.

Toyo Tire Corporation manufactures and markets rubber and chemical goods.  The Company's products include motor vehicle tires, aluminum alloy wheels, office equipment parts, heat resistant board, and automobile parts such as bumpers and air bag systems.  Toyo Tire & Rubber has its  subsidiaries in the  US, Australia, Canada, Germany, and China.

Fox Factory Holding Corp is a designer, manufacturer and marketer of high-performance suspension products used primarily on mountain bikes, side-by-side vehicles, or Side-by-Sides, on-road vehicles with off-road capabilities, off-road vehicles and trucks, all-terrain vehicles, or ATVs, snowmobiles, specialty vehicles and applications, and motorcycles.

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Fox Factory Holding (FOXF US)

Continued Absence Of Breakdowns Is A Positive Sign; Many Bottoms-Up Stock Recommendations

As long as the Russell 2000 index (IWM) is above $208, the Russell Micro Caps index (IWC) is above $134-$135, and the S&P 500 is above 4495, we...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equities: Sector & Group-Level Trends Confirm Risk-On Environment

Our outlook remains bullish, and this is not based solely on new highs in the S&P 500 or Russell 2000. While we like to have those boxes...

Vermilion Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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