Analyst

Steve Zhou, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

Foshan Haitian Flavouring & Food / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/foshan-haitian-flavouring-food-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15577:1" rel="noopener">Foshan Haitian Flavouring &amp; Food (603288 CH)</a>, the largest condiment player in China is facing structural weakening of moat from a changed operating environment post-COVID.  </li>
<li>Both catering and home consumption segments are faced with structural growth pressures that are difficult to solve for the company.  </li>
<li>Expect further earnings weakness and derating in valuation multiple in the near term.  </li>
</ul>



Foshan Haitian Flavouring &amp; Food (603288 CH), the largest condiment player in China is facing structural weakening of moat from a changed operating environment post-COVID.  
Both catering and home consumption segments are faced with structural growth pressures that are difficult to solve for the company.  
Expect further earnings weakness and derating in valuation multiple in the near term.  


Haitian Flavouring (603288 CH):  Weakening Moat With Further Derating Likely

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Cambricon Technologies  Lt / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With 70% of the review period complete, 4 non-constituents are in inclusion zone and 5 constituents are in deletion zone.</li>
<li>We estimate one-way turnover of 6.5% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 8.8bn (US$1.2bn). Index arb balances could increase the impact on the stocks.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes. With multiple days ADV to trade on the changes and the recent short selling clampdown, there could be further outperformance.</li>
</ul>


With 70% of the review period complete, 4 non-constituents are in inclusion zone and 5 constituents are in deletion zone.
We estimate one-way turnover of 6.5% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 8.8bn (US$1.2bn). Index arb balances could increase the impact on the stocks.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes. With multiple days ADV to trade on the changes and the recent short selling clampdown, there could be further outperformance.


SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Inclusions Outperforming (And How!)

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Beijing-Shanghai High Speed Ra / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>SSE 50 and SSE 180, respectively, aim to represent the performance of the 50 and 180 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs and DELs during the December 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>There have been some changes to the SSE 180 expected ADDs/DELs lists since our last insight.</li>
</ul>


SSE 50 and SSE 180, respectively, aim to represent the performance of the 50 and 180 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs and DELs during the December 2024 index rebal event.
There have been some changes to the SSE 180 expected ADDs/DELs lists since our last insight.


Quiddity Leaderboard SSE50/180 Dec 24: US$1.6bn+ One-Way; Some Changes to Expectations.

<ul>
<li>SSE 50 and SSE 180, respectively, aim to represent the performance of the 50 and 180 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs and DELs during the December 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We currently estimate one-way flows to be US$1.4bn and US$235mn for the SSE 50 and 180, respectively.</li>
</ul>


SSE 50 and SSE 180, respectively, aim to represent the performance of the 50 and 180 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs and DELs during the December 2024 index rebal event.
We currently estimate one-way flows to be US$1.4bn and US$235mn for the SSE 50 and 180, respectively.


Quiddity Leaderboard SSE50/180 Dec 24: Some Expected DELs Could Underperform Peers

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 24th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$654.7 million, led by utilities, financials, industrials sectors, and offset by health care, consumer discretionary, communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CATL, China Yangtze Power, Bank Of Ningbo, Nari Technology, Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine, Weichai Power.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 24th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$654.7 million, led by utilities, financials, industrials sectors, and offset by health care, consumer discretionary, communication services.
We highlight flows for CATL, China Yangtze Power, Bank Of Ningbo, Nari Technology, Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine, Weichai Power.


Northbound Flows (May 24th): CATL, China Yangtze Power, Bank Of Ningbo, Nari Technology, Hengrui

China

Foshan Haitian Flavouring & Food Company Ltd. manufactures food seasonings. The Company develops, produces, and distributes condiments including soy sauce, oyster sauce, vinegar, flavoring sauce, chicken stock, monosodium glutamate, and oil.

Foshan Haitian Flavouring & Food (603288 CH)

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Foshan Haitian Flavouring & Food (603288 CH)

Haitian Flavouring (603288 CH): Weakening Moat With Further Derating Likely

Foshan Haitian Flavouring & Food, the largest condiment player in China, likes sees further derating in valuation multiple due to a weakening moat.

Steve Zhou, CFA

SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Inclusions Outperforming (And How!)

There could be 4-5 changes in Dec. Estimate one-way turnover is 6.5% leading to a one-way trade of CNY 8.8bn (US$1.2bn). The potential adds have...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard SSE50/180 Dec 24: US$1.6bn+ One-Way; Some Changes to Expectations.

There could be US$1.4bn and US$240mn one-way flows, respectively, for the SSE 50 and SSE 180 December 2024 rebalances. Around 70% of the reference...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard SSE50/180 Dec 24: Some Expected DELs Could Underperform Peers

We see 5 changes for the SSE 50 index and 18 changes for the SSE 180 index. There are four more months for the reference period to end and our...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Northbound Flows (May 24th): CATL, China Yangtze Power, Bank Of Ningbo, Nari Technology, Hengrui

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for CATL, China Yangtze Power, Bank Of Ningbo, Nari...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Haitian Flavouring (603288 CH): Weakening Moat With Further Derating Likely

​Foshan Haitian Flavouring & Food, the largest condiment player in China, likes sees further derating in valuation multiple due to a weakening moat.

Steve Zhou, CFA

SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Inclusions Outperforming (And How!)

There could be 4-5 changes in Dec. Estimate one-way turnover is 6.5% leading to a one-way trade of CNY 8.8bn (US$1.2bn). The potential adds have...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard SSE50/180 Dec 24: US$1.6bn+ One-Way; Some Changes to Expectations.

There could be US$1.4bn and US$240mn one-way flows, respectively, for the SSE 50 and SSE 180 December 2024 rebalances. Around 70% of the reference...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard SSE50/180 Dec 24: Some Expected DELs Could Underperform Peers

We see 5 changes for the SSE 50 index and 18 changes for the SSE 180 index. There are four more months for the reference period to end and our...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Northbound Flows (May 24th): CATL, China Yangtze Power, Bank Of Ningbo, Nari Technology, Hengrui

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for CATL, China Yangtze Power, Bank Of Ningbo, Nari...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Foshan Haitian Flavouring & Food, the largest condiment player in China, likes sees further derating in valuation multiple due to a weakening moat.