False Dawn: The Bulk Commodity Mining Rally Will Prove Short-Lived
Bulk commodity miners are overvalued. Shares of iron ore and met coal miners have rallied to levels notseen since 2014, when Chinese steel demand...
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Fortescue Makes Hay While Sun Shines, but Excess Returns Unlikely to Sustain
Our fair value estimate for Fortescue remains AUD 2.80 per share, with the first-half fiscal 2017 result as expected. Excluding a USD 49 million...
181 Views
Solid Second Quarter for Fortescue; AUD 2.80 Fair Value Maintained
Fortescue’s fiscal 2017 second-quarter iron ore shipments of 42.2 million tonnes were broadly in line with recent periods and our expectation. We...
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Shares Overcook Potential for a Mining Services Turnaround
We think the market, on balance, is too optimistic on the outlook for the mining services sector, with an average 34% overvaluation for the nine...
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What's Priced In? Sensitivity of the Major Iron Ore Miners to Higher Prices
The iron ore price has remained resilient at around USD 55 per tonne, higher than many anticipated. While we still hold to our long-term target of...
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