Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We believe there is significant evidence that global equities (MSCI ACWI) have bottomed, and a year-end rally has begun. Buys highlighted in global Technology, Discretionary, Real Estate, and Steel/Mining.</li>
<li>We discussed in our prior Int'l Compass (11/2/23) how the false breakdown in MSCI ACWI (local currency) was bullish, and a potent rally has ensued. We expect more upside ahead.</li>
<li>Now getting bullish 3+ month downtrend reversals and false breakdowns in the EURO STOXX 50, ACWI-US, MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), MSCI EM (EEM-US), and EAFE (EFA-US). Major risk-on signals everywhere.</li>
</ul>


We believe there is significant evidence that global equities (MSCI ACWI) have bottomed, and a year-end rally has begun. Buys highlighted in global Technology, Discretionary, Real Estate, and Steel/Mining.
We discussed in our prior Int'l Compass (11/2/23) how the false breakdown in MSCI ACWI (local currency) was bullish, and a potent rally has ensued. We expect more upside ahead.
Now getting bullish 3+ month downtrend reversals and false breakdowns in the EURO STOXX 50, ACWI-US, MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), MSCI EM (EEM-US), and EAFE (EFA-US). Major risk-on signals everywhere.


Year-End Rally Underway; Many Bullish Reversals/False Breakdowns; Buys: Tech, Cons. Disc., RE, Steel

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Oct 27th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD16.8bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Newcrest Mining, Rio Tinto, Liontown, Bluescope Steel, Endeavour, Suncorp.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Oct 27th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD16.8bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Newcrest Mining, Rio Tinto, Liontown, Bluescope Steel, Endeavour, Suncorp.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 27th): Newcrest Mining, Rio Tinto, Liontown, Bluescope Steel

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Sep 29th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD16.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Liontown, BHP, Macquarie, NAB, Santos, Fortescue Metals, Woodside Energy, Evolution Mining.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Sep 29th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD16.0bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Liontown, BHP, Macquarie, NAB, Santos, Fortescue Metals, Woodside Energy, Evolution Mining.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 29th): Liontown, BHP, Macquarie, NAB, Santos, Fortescue Metals

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Sep 22nd (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD15.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Wesfarmers, Macquarie, Bluescope Steel, Woodside Energy, BHP.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Sep 22nd (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD15.5bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Wesfarmers, Macquarie, Bluescope Steel, Woodside Energy, BHP.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 22nd): Wesfarmers, Macquarie, Bluescope Steel, Woodside Energy, BHP

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Sep 8th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD15.8bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in BHP, Woodside Energy, Rio Tinto, Igo, NAB, Insurance Austra, Qbe Insurance, Ventia Services.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Sep 8th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD15.8bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in BHP, Woodside Energy, Rio Tinto, Igo, NAB, Insurance Austra, Qbe Insurance, Ventia Services.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 8th): BHP, Woodside Energy, Rio Tinto, Igo, NAB, Insurance Austra

Australia

Fortescue Metals Group Ltd. explores for and produces iron ore. The Company conducts business worldwide.

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Fortescue Metals (FMG AU)

Year-End Rally Underway; Many Bullish Reversals/False Breakdowns; Buys: Tech, Cons. Disc., RE, Steel

There is significant evidence that global equities $ACWI have bottomed, and a year-end rally has begun. It all started when we discussed that the...

Vermilion Research

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 27th): Newcrest Mining, Rio Tinto, Liontown, Bluescope Steel

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Newcrest Mining, Rio Tinto, Liontown, Bluescope...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 29th): Liontown, BHP, Macquarie, NAB, Santos, Fortescue Metals

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Liontown, BHP, Macquarie, NAB, Santos, Fortescue...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 22nd): Wesfarmers, Macquarie, Bluescope Steel, Woodside Energy, BHP

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Wesfarmers, Macquarie, Bluescope Steel, Woodside...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 8th): BHP, Woodside Energy, Rio Tinto, Igo, NAB, Insurance Austra

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in BHP, Woodside Energy, Rio Tinto, Igo, NAB,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)