Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Foosung announced a rights offering worth 101 billion won. The estimated rights offering price is 7,850 won which is 22% discount to closing price on 25 January (10,070 won). </li>
<li>The rights offering will involve 12.9 million shares (13.7% of outstanding shares). Of the 101 billion won in rights offering, the company will use 88.3 billion won in facility investments.</li>
<li>We are negative on Foosung overall and on the rights offering. Despite the company's turnaround this year, there are concerns about share dilution plus valuations are not particularly attractive. </li>
</ul>


Foosung announced a rights offering worth 101 billion won. The estimated rights offering price is 7,850 won which is 22% discount to closing price on 25 January (10,070 won). 
The rights offering will involve 12.9 million shares (13.7% of outstanding shares). Of the 101 billion won in rights offering, the company will use 88.3 billion won in facility investments.
We are negative on Foosung overall and on the rights offering. Despite the company's turnaround this year, there are concerns about share dilution plus valuations are not particularly attractive. 


Foosung: Announces a Rights Offering of 101 Billion Won

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Korea banned all short selling in March 2020 and resumed short selling only on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150</a> index constituents in May 2021.</li>
<li>News reports indicate that there could be another short sell ban as soon as the coming week. Indications are that the ban could last 6 months.</li>
<li>There are many implications of a total short sell ban including futures backwardation, market manipulation, and no emerging to developed market promotion.</li>
</ul>


Korea banned all short selling in March 2020 and resumed short selling only on KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 index constituents in May 2021.
News reports indicate that there could be another short sell ban as soon as the coming week. Indications are that the ban could last 6 months.
There are many implications of a total short sell ban including futures backwardation, market manipulation, and no emerging to developed market promotion.


Korea Short Sell Ban: Background, Manipulation, Holdings, Flows, Short Interest, Implications

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>S&amp;P500 is up 27.7% YTD, outperforming KOSPI which is down 6.9% YTD. Global fund flow continues to pour into top quality US stocks such as Palantir, Tesla, and NVIDIA.</li>
<li>The top 20 best performing stocks in KOSPI 200 are up on average 106.8% YTD. However, the remaining 180 stocks in KOSPI 200 are down on average 9.2% YTD. </li>
<li>There is no large Palantir-like company that deals with AI/data analytics in Korea. However, large cap IT services and telcos in Korea are increasingly expanding their AI/data analytics related business.</li>
</ul>


S&amp;P500 is up 27.7% YTD, outperforming KOSPI which is down 6.9% YTD. Global fund flow continues to pour into top quality US stocks such as Palantir, Tesla, and NVIDIA.
The top 20 best performing stocks in KOSPI 200 are up on average 106.8% YTD. However, the remaining 180 stocks in KOSPI 200 are down on average 9.2% YTD. 
There is no large Palantir-like company that deals with AI/data analytics in Korea. However, large cap IT services and telcos in Korea are increasingly expanding their AI/data analytics related business.


A Comparison of KOSPI 200 and S&P 500 Companies Performances in 2024

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>The December 2024 index review results for the KOSPI Indices were announced after the close on Thursday 21st November 2024.</li>
<li>There will be four ADDs and five DELs for KOSPI 200 during the December 2024 index rebal event. </li>
<li>We predicted 8 out of 9 changes correctly. We missed one of the DELs and we expected a couple extra changes which did not materialize.</li>
</ul>


The December 2024 index review results for the KOSPI Indices were announced after the close on Thursday 21st November 2024.
There will be four ADDs and five DELs for KOSPI 200 during the December 2024 index rebal event. 
We predicted 8 out of 9 changes correctly. We missed one of the DELs and we expected a couple extra changes which did not materialize.


KOSPI200 Dec24 Rebal: 4 ADDs, 5 DELs, Big ADV on Small Stocks

<ul>
<li>We look at Korea's leading KOSPI200 Index every month and publish ADDs and DELETEs expected for the next rebalance.</li>
<li>Our final rankings are now set (assuming no strange disasters in the data). We see 5 ADDs and 6 DELETEs in the upcoming December rebalance. </li>
<li>For the third insight in a row, I am sticking with the same single trade. So far in 5 weeks it is +11.6% vs KOSPI200. There are others. </li>
</ul>


We look at Korea's leading KOSPI200 Index every month and publish ADDs and DELETEs expected for the next rebalance.
Our final rankings are now set (assuming no strange disasters in the data). We see 5 ADDs and 6 DELETEs in the upcoming December rebalance. 
For the third insight in a row, I am sticking with the same single trade. So far in 5 weeks it is +11.6% vs KOSPI200. There are others. 


Quiddity Leaderboard KOSPI 200 Dec 24 Rebal: Final Rankings - Multiple Trades To Do

South Korea

Foosung Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells chemical compounds and also car accessories such as car mats.

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Foosung Co Ltd (093370 KS)

Foosung: Announces a Rights Offering of 101 Billion Won

Foosung announced a rights offering worth 101 billion won. The estimated rights offering price is 7,850 won which is 22% discount to closing price...

Douglas Kim

Korea Short Sell Ban: Background, Manipulation, Holdings, Flows, Short Interest, Implications

Media reports indicate that there could be a temporary short sell ban in Korea. This could lead to futures backwardation, market manipulation and a...

Brian Freitas

A Comparison of KOSPI 200 and S&P 500 Companies Performances in 2024

There is no large Palantir-like company that deals with AI/data analytics in Korea. However, large cap IT services and telcos in Korea are...

Douglas Kim

KOSPI200 Dec24 Rebal: 4 ADDs, 5 DELs, Big ADV on Small Stocks

The KOSPI 200 December 2024 rebal has been announced. We got 8/9 right. One was borderline. One false positive is an issue we are checking, but the...

Travis Lundy

Quiddity Leaderboard KOSPI 200 Dec 24 Rebal: Final Rankings - Multiple Trades To Do

The KOSPI200 December 2024 rebal has its reference data. Unless there are dramatic changes, the rebal should be set. We expect 5 ADDs 6 DELETEs. I...

Travis Lundy

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