Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 9 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 9 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 10 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>Following a strong listing, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mankind-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36389:1" rel="noopener">Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN)</a> should be added to the Large Cap segment of the market in July.</li>
<li>The expected migrations from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed the other migrations by a huge margin over the last couple of months and there could be profit taking ahead.</li>
</ul>


We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 9 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 9 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 10 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.
Following a strong listing, Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN) should be added to the Large Cap segment of the market in July.
The expected migrations from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed the other migrations by a huge margin over the last couple of months and there could be profit taking ahead.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2023): Significant Outperformance

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Cummins: Cummins India Ltd (CIL) delivered a positive surprise with quarterly revenue/EBITDA/PAT at INR 19.2/3.3/3.2bn, beating our estimates by 7/15/33%</li><li>On a full-year basis, these were the highest ever</li><li>CIL is seeing strong pre-buy for its below 800kW power gensets as the CPCB 4+ norm will become effective from 1 July 2023</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cummins: Cummins India Ltd (CIL) delivered a positive surprise with quarterly revenue/EBITDA/PAT at INR 19.2/3.3/3.2bn, beating our estimates by 7/15/33%On a full-year basis, these were the highest everCIL is seeing strong pre-buy for its below 800kW power gensets as the CPCB 4+ norm will become effective from 1 July 2023Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Cummins, Oil India, Phoenix Mills, Emami

<ul><li>Our chemical universe is expected to report a muted sequential growth, owing to subdued demand, courtesy the global recessionary headwinds faced by various end-user industries</li><li>Revenue for our coverage universe is likely to improve by ~6/5% YoY/QoQ.</li><li>EBITDA margin could deteriorate by 188bps YoY and remain flattish sequentially at 21%, owing to the elevated raw material cost and lower absorption of fixed cost.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Our chemical universe is expected to report a muted sequential growth, owing to subdued demand, courtesy the global recessionary headwinds faced by various end-user industriesRevenue for our coverage universe is likely to improve by ~6/5% YoY/QoQ.EBITDA margin could deteriorate by 188bps YoY and remain flattish sequentially at 21%, owing to the elevated raw material cost and lower absorption of fixed cost.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul>
<li>Nearly halfway through the review period, we see 10 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and vice versa, and 9 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and vice versa.</li>
<li>Financials are poised to be the biggest gainers in the reshuffle with 6 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and 5 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap.</li>
<li>Over the last 6 months, stocks expected to migrate upward have outperformed stocks that are expected to migrate downward., though there has been a downward drift this year.</li>
</ul>


Nearly halfway through the review period, we see 10 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and vice versa, and 9 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and vice versa.
Financials are poised to be the biggest gainers in the reshuffle with 6 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and 5 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap.
Over the last 6 months, stocks expected to migrate upward have outperformed stocks that are expected to migrate downward., though there has been a downward drift this year.


India: AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2023)

<ul><li>Siemens: Siemens India Ltd (SIL) delivered robust Q1FY23 revenue/EBITDA/APAT of INR 36.5/5.5/4.4bn, beating our estimate by 0/32/43%</li><li>The EBITDA margin expanded both annually and sequentially by 482bps and 422bps resp</li><li>This expansion was on account of lower commodity inflation/better mix (+135bps YoY gross margin), improving supply chain and operating leverage advantage</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Siemens: Siemens India Ltd (SIL) delivered robust Q1FY23 revenue/EBITDA/APAT of INR 36.5/5.5/4.4bn, beating our estimate by 0/32/43%The EBITDA margin expanded both annually and sequentially by 482bps and 422bps respThis expansion was on account of lower commodity inflation/better mix (+135bps YoY gross margin), improving supply chain and operating leverage advantageContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Siemens, Eicher Motors, Bharat Forge, Torrent Power

India

Fine Organic Industries Limited manufactures specialty chemicals. The Company offers additives for foods, plastics, rubbers, paints, inks, cosmetics, coatings, textile auxiliaries, and other applications. Fine Organic Industries serves customers worldwide.

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Fine Organic Industries Ltd (FINEORG IN)

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2023): Significant Outperformance

With the review period nearing completion, there are a lot of migrations between size segments. SmallCap to MidCap migrations have outperformed....

Brian Freitas

HSIE Results Daily: Cummins, Oil India, Phoenix Mills, Emami

Cummins: Cummins India Ltd (CIL) delivered a positive surprise with quarterly revenue/EBITDA/PAT at INR 19.2/3.3/3.2bn, beating our estimates by 7...

HDFC Securities

Chemicals: Recovery and stability ahead!

Our chemical universe is expected to report a muted sequential growth, owing to subdued demand, courtesy the global recessionary headwinds faced by...

HDFC Securities

India: AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2023)

Nearly halfway through the review period, we see 10 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and vice versa, 9 from SmallCap to MidCap and vice versa....

Brian Freitas

HSIE Results Daily: Siemens, Eicher Motors, Bharat Forge, Torrent Power

Siemens: Siemens India Ltd (SIL) delivered robust Q1FY23 revenue/EBITDA/APAT of INR 36.5/5.5/4.4bn, beating our estimate by 0/32/43%

HDFC Securities

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