Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We once called Uniqlo the Toyota of clothing. And this remains apposite. Its consistent, reliable quality, focus on supply chain efficiency, and increasingly global renown make it a solid bet.</li>
<li>The majority of the growth last year came from overseas markets, including even the US and Europe and the appointment of Daisuke Tsukagoshi as president will boost overseas performance further.</li>
<li>Fast Retailing is talking up the potential of GU, which should make up for lower domestic growth from Uniqlo but also now thinks it can make it a global brand.</li>
</ul>


We once called Uniqlo the Toyota of clothing. And this remains apposite. Its consistent, reliable quality, focus on supply chain efficiency, and increasingly global renown make it a solid bet.
The majority of the growth last year came from overseas markets, including even the US and Europe and the appointment of Daisuke Tsukagoshi as president will boost overseas performance further.
Fast Retailing is talking up the potential of GU, which should make up for lower domestic growth from Uniqlo but also now thinks it can make it a global brand.


Fast Retailing: On to the Next (Bigger) Stage

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

<ul>
<li>
Fast Retail Full-Year Expectations: Anticipate strong FY results, but potential FY8/24 guidance headwinds include weather impacts and yen weakness.</li>
<li>
Management Guidance Risks: The key risk would seem to be China outlook; Japan/Europe's heatwave impact on fall season; potential for gross margin pressures.</li>
<li>
Valuation: Despite growth prospects, concerns over cyclicality and valuation relative to peers persist.</li>
</ul>



Fast Retail Full-Year Expectations: Anticipate strong FY results, but potential FY8/24 guidance headwinds include weather impacts and yen weakness.

Management Guidance Risks: The key risk would seem to be China outlook; Japan/Europe's heatwave impact on fall season; potential for gross margin pressures.

Valuation: Despite growth prospects, concerns over cyclicality and valuation relative to peers persist.


FAST RETAIL (9983) | 3 Reasons Why Guidance Could Miss

<ul>
<li>Another blow out quarter for Fast Retailing - beat and raise</li>
<li>Fears (well, mine) of a miss in China were unfounded</li>
<li>Still, Q3 results do nothing to change the view that this is one expensive stock</li>
</ul>


Another blow out quarter for Fast Retailing - beat and raise
Fears (well, mine) of a miss in China were unfounded
Still, Q3 results do nothing to change the view that this is one expensive stock


Fast Retailing (9983) | Exceptional Quarter

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Following up on our earlier cross-shareholding work, in this note we look to summarize our work so far by looking at where most of the selling will likely come.</li>
<li>Of the seven companies that we have looked at so far, collectively they have around US$102bn worth of shares to sell in 118 companies. </li>
<li>Of these, they have a combined stake of over US$1bn in 23 companies.</li>
</ul>


Following up on our earlier cross-shareholding work, in this note we look to summarize our work so far by looking at where most of the selling will likely come.
Of the seven companies that we have looked at so far, collectively they have around US$102bn worth of shares to sell in 118 companies. 
Of these, they have a combined stake of over US$1bn in 23 companies.


Japan Cross-Shareholding - Summary Matrix - Over US$100bn of Selling in 118 Companies

<ul>
<li>Following up on our earlier cross-shareholding notes, in this note we look at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mizuho-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:219:1" rel="noopener">Mizuho Financial Group (8411 JP)</a>'s cross-shareholding.</li>
<li>Mizuho had a stake over US$100m in at least 34 listed Japanese stocks, amounting to a total of around US$7bn.</li>
<li>In this note, we take a look at its stakes in various companies to see which ones could possibly be candidates for further selldowns.</li>
</ul>


Following up on our earlier cross-shareholding notes, in this note we look at Mizuho Financial Group (8411 JP)'s cross-shareholding.
Mizuho had a stake over US$100m in at least 34 listed Japanese stocks, amounting to a total of around US$7bn.
In this note, we take a look at its stakes in various companies to see which ones could possibly be candidates for further selldowns.


Mizuho Cross-Shareholding - US$11bn of Cross-Shareholding, with at Least US$2bn to Sell over FY24-26

Japan

Nitori Holdings Co., Ltd., is based in Hokkaido and operates a furniture retail chain.  The Company sells living room furniture, storage furniture, dining furniture, office furniture, beds, and interior goods.  Nitori Holdings also sells original brand merchandise and imported merchandise.

ABC-MART, INC. plans, develops, wholesales, and retails shoes.  The Company also plans and develops brand name shoes such as VANS and G.T. HAWKINS.  ABC-Mart imports and wholesales shoes, apparel, bags, and sundries as well.

HIKARI TSUSHIN, INC. is a mobile telecommunication service subscription agency. The Company also operates telecommunication services stores, HIT SHOP, which sell cellular telephones, and related goods.  Hikari Tsushin also sells office automation equipment and insurance.

Sanrio Company, Ltd. manufactures and sells character goods including gift merchandise, greeting cards, and stationery products.  The Company also produces books, magazines, and movies, and though its subsidiary, operates restaurants and amusement parks.

USS CO LTD manages used car auction facilities throughout  Japan. The Company al so conducts auto auctions through satellites, and provides used car information through internet.

SHIMAMURA CO., Ltd. operates chain stores selling mainly clothing for men, women, children, and also bedding and furnishing goods.  The Company has stores in mainly suburb areas throughout Japan.

YAMADA DENKI CO., LTD. operates consumer electronic mass sales stores throughout Japan.  The Company sells home appliances, audio & visual systems, office automation equipment, telecommunication equipment, software, and computers. The Company also provides repair services for its merchandises.

WORKMAN CO., LTD. designs, produces, and retails work uniforms and related goods including work gloves and safety shoes.  The Company operates its own stores and franchise stores located throughout eastern Japan.

BIC CAMERA INC. operates electronic retail stores throughout Japan focusing on the Tokyo metropolitan area.  The Company sells audio and video equipments, electrical home appliances and telecommunication equipments.  Bic Camera also runs an Internet shopping site.

K'S HOLDINGS CORPORATION, based in Ibaraki prefecture, operates large scale electrical appliance store chain.  Franchise stores operates throughout Japan. The Company sells a variety of electrical appliances including refrigerators, washing machines, cooking appliances, computers, audio & visual systems, and air conditioners.

Dick's Sporting Goods, Inc. operates as a sporting goods retailer that manages stores primarily in the eastern and central United States. The Company owns stores that offers a broad selection of brand name sporting goods equipment, apparel, and footwear.

Burlington Stores, Inc. owns and operates clothing retail stores. The Company offers, through its stores and internet sites, men's, women's, and children's apparel. Burlington Holding operates within the United States and Puerto Rico.

Tractor Supply Company operates a retail farm store chain in the United States. The Company provides farm maintenance products, animal products, general maintenance products, lawn and garden products, light truck equipment, work clothing, and other products.  Customers include hobby, part-time, and full-time farmers and ranchers, as well as rural customers, contractors, and tradesman.

Lowe's Companies, Inc. is a home improvement retailer that distributes building materials and supplies through stores in the United States. The Company offers a complete line of products and services for home decorating, maintenance, repair, remodeling, and property maintenance.

Murphy USA Inc. produces and distributes petroleum products. The Company engages in refining, marketing, and transportation of oil and gas products. Murphy USA provides products and services worldwide.

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. retails and supplies automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, equipment, and accessories.  The Company sells its products to do-it-yourself customers and professional mechanics or service technicians. O'Reilly operates stores throughout the United States.

Ulta Beauty, Inc. operates a chain of beauty stores. The Company offers cosmetics, fragrance, skin, and hair care products, as well as salon services. Ulta Beauty serves customers throughout the United States.

Williams-Sonoma, Inc. retails cooking and serving equipment, home furnishings, and home accessories through retail stores, mail order catalogs and e-commerce. The Company offers its merchandise under the Williams-Sonoma, Pottery Barn, Pottery Barn Kids, Pottery Barn Teen, and West Elm.

Hotai Motor Company Ltd. operates as an automobile dealership. The Company sells and services new and used cars and trucks in Taiwan.

GameStop Corporation operates specialty electronic game and PC entertainment software stores throughout the United States, Australia, Canada and Europe. The Company stores sell new and used video game hardware, video game software and accessories, as well as PC entertainment software, and related accessories and other merchandise.

FAST RETAILING CO., LTD. operates a chain of clothing stores, UNIQLO, throughout Japan and in other markets overseas including UK, China, Hong Kong, South Korea, US, France, Singapore and Russia.  The Company designs, manufactures, and retails its own line of casual clothing.

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Fast Retailing (9983 JP)

Fast Retailing: On to the Next (Bigger) Stage

Uniqlo's reliable quality, efficient supply chain, and global recognition make it a solid choice. Fast Retailing now sees GU compensating for...

Michael Causton

FAST RETAIL (9983) | 3 Reasons Why Guidance Could Miss

Anticipate strong FY results for Fast Retail, but potential FY8/24 guidance headwinds include weather impacts and yen weakness. Concerns over...

Mark Chadwick

Fast Retailing (9983) | Exceptional Quarter

Q4 results due on 12 October - should be no surprise. HOWEVER, FY8/24 guidance risk? Q1 (Sep-Nov) is the most important quarter AND Sept sales...

Mark Chadwick

Japan Cross-Shareholding - Summary Matrix - Over US$100bn of Selling in 118 Companies

In this note we summarize our work by looking at where most of the selling will likely come. Of the companies that we have looked, collectively...

Sumeet Singh

Mizuho Cross-Shareholding - US$11bn of Cross-Shareholding, with at Least US$2bn to Sell over FY24-26

Following up on our earlier cross-shareholding notes, in this note we look at Mizuho Financial Group (8411 JP)'s cross-shareholding.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Fast Retailing: On to the Next (Bigger) Stage

​Uniqlo's reliable quality, efficient supply chain, and global recognition make it a solid choice. Fast Retailing now sees GU compensating for...

Michael Causton

FAST RETAIL (9983) | 3 Reasons Why Guidance Could Miss

​Anticipate strong FY results for Fast Retail, but potential FY8/24 guidance headwinds include weather impacts and yen weakness. Concerns over...

Mark Chadwick

Fast Retailing (9983) | Exceptional Quarter

Q4 results due on 12 October - should be no surprise. HOWEVER, FY8/24 guidance risk? Q1 (Sep-Nov) is the most important quarter AND Sept sales...

Mark Chadwick

Japan Cross-Shareholding - Summary Matrix - Over US$100bn of Selling in 118 Companies

In this note we summarize our work by looking at where most of the selling will likely come. Of the companies that we have looked, collectively...

Sumeet Singh

Mizuho Cross-Shareholding - US$11bn of Cross-Shareholding, with at Least US$2bn to Sell over FY24-26

Following up on our earlier cross-shareholding notes, in this note we look at Mizuho Financial Group (8411 JP)'s cross-shareholding.

Sumeet Singh

Uniqlo's reliable quality, efficient supply chain, and global recognition make it a solid choice. Fast Retailing now sees GU compensating for...

Anticipate strong FY results for Fast Retail, but potential FY8/24 guidance headwinds include weather impacts and yen weakness. Concerns over...