Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The latest figures show that Japanese incomes fell for the first time in five years in 2021. </li>
<li>But despite this, average monthly household expenditure recovered and then accelerated at the end of the year. Online spending grew significantly, and much of this was new growth</li>
<li>We detail below which retailers are likely to benefit from these shifts in consumption behaviour over the next few years.</li>
</ul>


The latest figures show that Japanese incomes fell for the first time in five years in 2021. 
But despite this, average monthly household expenditure recovered and then accelerated at the end of the year. Online spending grew significantly, and much of this was new growth
We detail below which retailers are likely to benefit from these shifts in consumption behaviour over the next few years.


Japanese Household Expenditure in 2021 and Beyond: Which Retailers Will Benefit?

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Fabindia is a consumer lifestyle platform with a 62-year legacy focused on authentic, sustainable and Indian traditional lifestyle products. It is looking to raise around US$500m in its India IPO.</li>
<li>Fabindia offers a diverse portfolio of lifestyle products to its customers across Apparel and Accessories, Home and Lifestyle, Personal Care and Organic Food categories. </li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


Fabindia is a consumer lifestyle platform with a 62-year legacy focused on authentic, sustainable and Indian traditional lifestyle products. It is looking to raise around US$500m in its India IPO.
Fabindia offers a diverse portfolio of lifestyle products to its customers across Apparel and Accessories, Home and Lifestyle, Personal Care and Organic Food categories. 
In this note, we talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.


Fabindia Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Past Financial Performance Trends Remain Unclear

Cosmo Energy Holdings   / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Mubadala aims to raise around US$287m via selling its 15.8% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosmo-energy-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26565:1" rel="noopener">Cosmo Energy Holdings (5021 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>The stock has been doing well owing to the rise in crude prices and Mubadala has sold some stock before and hence, the deal might not be wholly unexpected. </li>
<li>However, its an accelerated bookbuild in Japan, which don’t have a great track record.</li>
</ul>


Mubadala aims to raise around US$287m via selling its 15.8% stake in Cosmo Energy Holdings (5021 JP).
The stock has been doing well owing to the rise in crude prices and Mubadala has sold some stock before and hence, the deal might not be wholly unexpected. 
However, its an accelerated bookbuild in Japan, which don’t have a great track record.


Cosmo Energy Holdings Placement - Stock Has Done Well, Deal Might Be Expected but It's Accelerated

<ul>
<li>Fabindia is a consumer lifestyle platform with a 62-year legacy focused on authentic, sustainable and Indian traditional lifestyle products. It is looking to raise around US$500m in its India IPO.</li>
<li>Fabindia offers a diverse portfolio of lifestyle products to its customers across Apparel and Accessories, Home and Lifestyle, Personal Care and Organic Food categories. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


Fabindia is a consumer lifestyle platform with a 62-year legacy focused on authentic, sustainable and Indian traditional lifestyle products. It is looking to raise around US$500m in its India IPO.
Fabindia offers a diverse portfolio of lifestyle products to its customers across Apparel and Accessories, Home and Lifestyle, Personal Care and Organic Food categories. 
In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Fabindia Pre-IPO - The Positives - Strong Urban Brand

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Nikkei is now down 9.57% vs. when we first recommended our skew trade (now up 0.40%). </li>
<li>Despite some frustrating idiosyncratic moves which have prevented the skew trade from outperforming more it has mostly held up. </li>
<li>Looking forward, we believe it is worthwhile assessing upside and downside macro risks for the components of the trade.</li>
</ul>


The Nikkei is now down 9.57% vs. when we first recommended our skew trade (now up 0.40%). 
Despite some frustrating idiosyncratic moves which have prevented the skew trade from outperforming more it has mostly held up. 
Looking forward, we believe it is worthwhile assessing upside and downside macro risks for the components of the trade.


TOPIX-Nikkei Skew Trade – Updates Factoring in Ukraine

Japan

FAST RETAILING CO., LTD. operates a chain of clothing stores, UNIQLO, throughout Japan and in other markets overseas including UK, China, Hong Kong, South Korea, US, France, Singapore and Russia.  The Company designs, manufactures, and retails its own line of casual clothing.

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Fast Retailing (9983 JP)

Japanese Household Expenditure in 2021 and Beyond: Which Retailers Will Benefit?

Japanese spent more on homes and less on clothes in the last two years but they also added to their savings. This insight analyses the key...

Michael Causton

Fabindia Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Past Financial Performance Trends Remain Unclear

Fabindia is a consumer lifestyle platform with a 62-year legacy focused on authentic, sustainable and Indian traditional lifestyle products. It is...

Sumeet Singh

Cosmo Energy Holdings Placement - Stock Has Done Well, Deal Might Be Expected but It's Accelerated

Mubadala aims to raise around US$287m via selling its 15.8% stake in Cosmo Energy Holdings (5021 JP). It will mark a complete exit for Mubadala.

Sumeet Singh

Fabindia Pre-IPO - The Positives - Strong Urban Brand

Fabindia is a consumer lifestyle platform with a 62-year legacy focused on authentic, sustainable and Indian traditional lifestyle products. It is...

Sumeet Singh

TOPIX-Nikkei Skew Trade – Updates Factoring in Ukraine

The Nikkei is down 9.57% vs. when we initiated our skew trade (now up 0.40%). Despite some frustrating idiosyncratic moves the trade has mostly...

Mio Kato

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)