Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 8 changes a side for the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index in December. The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919TW) has an AUM of US$9.3bn.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 17.2% and that will result in a round-trip trade of US$3.2bn. All adds and deletes have over 5x ADV to trade from passive trackers.</li>
<li>The rebalance will be implemented over 8 trading days and the ETF started trading some stocks late last week and the rest from 17 December.</li>
</ul>


There are 8 changes a side for the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index in December. The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919TW) has an AUM of US$9.3bn.
Estimated one-way turnover is 17.2% and that will result in a round-trip trade of US$3.2bn. All adds and deletes have over 5x ADV to trade from passive trackers.
The rebalance will be implemented over 8 trading days and the ETF started trading some stocks late last week and the rest from 17 December.


TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebalance: US$3.2bn Trade with BIG Impact

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Hua Nan Financial Holdings Co Ltd. / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The index changes for the T50/100 index family and the TDIV index were confirmed after market close on Friday 6th December 2024.</li>
<li>There will be one ADD/DEL for T50, five ADDs/DELs for T100, and 8 ADDs/7 DELs for TDIV. All of these are perfectly in line with our final expectations. </li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity's final flow expectations for the December 2024 index rebal event and potential trade ideas based on the flow dynamics.</li>
</ul>


The index changes for the T50/100 index family and the TDIV index were confirmed after market close on Friday 6th December 2024.
There will be one ADD/DEL for T50, five ADDs/DELs for T100, and 8 ADDs/7 DELs for TDIV. All of these are perfectly in line with our final expectations. 
In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity's final flow expectations for the December 2024 index rebal event and potential trade ideas based on the flow dynamics.


Quiddity TDIV/50/100 Dec 24 Results: 100% Hit Rate; 20x+ ADV for Many Names; US$2.3bn One-Way

<ul>
<li>The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919 TW) tracks the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index and has an AUM of TWD 285bn (US$8.75bn).</li>
<li>We forecast 8 changes a side at the December rebalance with an estimated one-way turnover of around 16% and a round-trip trade of around US$2.8bn.</li>
<li>An equal weighted basket of potential inclusions has outperformed an equal weighted basket of potential deletions since the start of July with most of the outperformance coming from September.</li>
</ul>


The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919 TW) tracks the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index and has an AUM of TWD 285bn (US$8.75bn).
We forecast 8 changes a side at the December rebalance with an estimated one-way turnover of around 16% and a round-trip trade of around US$2.8bn.
An equal weighted basket of potential inclusions has outperformed an equal weighted basket of potential deletions since the start of July with most of the outperformance coming from September.


TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Div Index Rebalance Preview: US$2.8bn Trade as Adds Outperform

<ul>
<li>There are 8 adds and 7 deletes for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in December. We had a 100% hit rate on our forecasts.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 22.1% resulting in a one-way trade of TWD 78.8bn (US$2.4bn). There are 16 stocks with over 5 days of ADV to trade.</li>
<li>There has been a big increase in short interest on some of the deletions and there could be some short covering the stocks closer to implementation date.</li>
</ul>


There are 8 adds and 7 deletes for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in December. We had a 100% hit rate on our forecasts.
Estimated one-way turnover is 22.1% resulting in a one-way trade of TWD 78.8bn (US$2.4bn). There are 16 stocks with over 5 days of ADV to trade.
There has been a big increase in short interest on some of the deletions and there could be some short covering the stocks closer to implementation date.


Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: 15 Changes, 44% Turnover, US$4.8bn Trade, BIG Impact

Yang Ming Marine Transport / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the December 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>The base date for the December 2024 review was 25th November 2024. <em><strong>However, after the base date, the index selection methodology has been changed.</strong></em>
</li>
<li>As a result, we are revising our expectations for index changes and flow expectations.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the December 2024 index rebal event.
The base date for the December 2024 review was 25th November 2024. However, after the base date, the index selection methodology has been changed.

As a result, we are revising our expectations for index changes and flow expectations.


Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec 24: Late Changes to Methodology; New Flow Expectations

Taiwan

Farglory Land Development Co., Ltd. develops and sells residential and commercial buildings which are constructed by independent contractors.

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Farglory Land Development (5522 TT)

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebalance: US$3.2bn Trade with BIG Impact

There are 8 changes for the index. Estimated one-way turnover is 17.2% and round-trip trade is US$3.2bn. All add/deletes have over 5x ADV to trade...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity TDIV/50/100 Dec 24 Results: 100% Hit Rate; 20x+ ADV for Many Names; US$2.3bn One-Way

The TDIV Inclusions/Exclusions will be equally-distributed over five trading days from 20th December 2024 to 26th December 2024. It is a good time...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Div Index Rebalance Preview: US$2.8bn Trade as Adds Outperform

Announcement of the changes will made post market close today. The potential adds and deletes have performed in line since the end of the review...

Brian Freitas

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: 15 Changes, 44% Turnover, US$4.8bn Trade, BIG Impact

There are 8 adds/7 deletes for the Yuanta Taiwan Divi+ ETF. Estimated one-way turnover is 22.1% and one-way trade is TWD 78.8bn (US$2.4bn). There...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec 24: Late Changes to Methodology; New Flow Expectations

Our one-way flow expectations have increased from US$1.7bn to US$2.3bn for the TDIV Dec 24 index rebal event. Our expected number of index changes...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebalance: US$3.2bn Trade with BIG Impact

There are 8 changes for the index. Estimated one-way turnover is 17.2% and round-trip trade is US$3.2bn. All add/deletes have over 5x ADV to trade...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity TDIV/50/100 Dec 24 Results: 100% Hit Rate; 20x+ ADV for Many Names; US$2.3bn One-Way

The TDIV Inclusions/Exclusions will be equally-distributed over five trading days from 20th December 2024 to 26th December 2024. It is a good time...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Div Index Rebalance Preview: US$2.8bn Trade as Adds Outperform

Announcement of the changes will made post market close today. The potential adds and deletes have performed in line since the end of the review...

Brian Freitas

Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: 15 Changes, 44% Turnover, US$4.8bn Trade, BIG Impact

There are 8 adds/7 deletes for the Yuanta Taiwan Divi+ ETF. Estimated one-way turnover is 22.1% and one-way trade is TWD 78.8bn (US$2.4bn). There...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec 24: Late Changes to Methodology; New Flow Expectations

Our one-way flow expectations have increased from US$1.7bn to US$2.3bn for the TDIV Dec 24 index rebal event. Our expected number of index changes...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: 15 Changes, 44% Turnover, US$4.8bn Trade, BIG Impact