Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

Shanghai Junshi Biosciences  / Event-Driven

Post market close on 26 February, the Shanghai Stock Exchange and China Securities Index Company <a href="http://www.csindex.com.cn/en/indices/notices-and-announcements-detail/1606" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> the changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR 50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a>. The changes will be effective after the close of trading on 12 March.The inclusions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-junshi-bioscience-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31070:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Junshi Bioscience (688180 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cambricon-technologies-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31068:1" rel="noopener">Cambricon Technologies Corp (688256 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qi-an-xin-technology-group-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31069:1" rel="noopener">Qi An Xin Technology Group (688561 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/farasis-energy-gan-zhou-co-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28385:1" rel="noopener">Farasis Energy Gan Zhou Co-A (688567 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trina-solar-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30404:1" rel="noopener">Trina Solar Co Ltd (688599 CH)</a>.The exclusions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suzhou-tztek-technology-co-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28232:1" rel="noopener">Suzhou Tztek Technology Co-A (688003 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fujian-forecam-optics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30306:1" rel="noopener">Fujian Forecam Optics Co Ltd (688010 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/longyan-zhuoyue-new-energy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30364:1" rel="noopener">Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy Co (688196 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tianjin-jiuri-new-material-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30366:1" rel="noopener">Tianjin Jiuri New Material-A (688199 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-seeyon-internet-so-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30393:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Seeyon Internet So-A (688369 CH)</a>.The launch of new ETFs on the index has kept the assets tracking the index steady even with the market dropping.All inclusions have at least 1 day of ADV to buy and the deletions have at least 2.4 days of ADV to sell. Estimated one-way turnover is 8.93% and there is quite a large impact as part of the funding trade.There is no excess volume on most of the stocks and similar to the December rebalance, the inclusions could outperform the exclusions from now till implementation date.

Post market close on 26 February, the Shanghai Stock Exchange and China Securities Index Company announced the changes to the SSE STAR 50 (STAR50 INDEX). The changes will be effective after the close of trading on 12 March.The inclusions are Shanghai Junshi Bioscience (688180 CH), Cambricon Technologies Corp (688256 CH), Qi An Xin Technology Group (688561 CH), Farasis Energy Gan Zhou Co-A (688567 CH) and Trina Solar Co Ltd (688599 CH).The exclusions are Suzhou Tztek Technology Co-A (688003 CH), Fujian Forecam Optics Co Ltd (688010 CH), Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy Co (688196 CH), Tianjin Jiuri New Material-A (688199 CH) and Beijing Seeyon Internet So-A (688369 CH).The launch of new ETFs on the index has kept the assets tracking the index steady even with the market dropping.All inclusions have at least 1 day of ADV to buy and the deletions have at least 2.4 days of ADV to sell. Estimated one-way turnover is 8.93% and there is quite a large impact as part of the funding trade.There is no excess volume on most of the stocks and similar to the December rebalance, the inclusions could outperform the exclusions from now till implementation date.

STAR Board - STAR50 Index Rebalance: Another BIG One

Cambricon Technologies  Lt / Event-Driven

The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> is made up of 50 stocks with the largest full market cap and good liquidity listed on the SSE Science and Technology Innovation Board (the STAR Market). The index is free float market cap weighted and the weight of each stock is capped at 10%. In addition, the total weight of the top 5 constituents should not exceed 40%.The data cut-off for the March review ends on 31 January. The results of the review will be announced towards the end of February and the review will be effective after the close of trading on 12 March.Having gone through over 97% of the review period, we see 13 stocks eligible for index inclusion and 16 stocks in the deletion zone. With only 5 changes permitted in a single review, that is what we will have to settle for. What that also means is that there will be more changes at the June review.For the March review, we see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cambricon-technologies-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31068:1" rel="noopener">Cambricon Technologies Corp (688256 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qi-an-xin-technology-group-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31069:1" rel="noopener">Qi An Xin Technology Group (688561 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-junshi-bioscience-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31070:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Junshi Bioscience (688180 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trina-solar-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30404:1" rel="noopener">Trina Solar Co Ltd (688599 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/farasis-energy-gan-zhou-co-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28385:1" rel="noopener">Farasis Energy Gan Zhou (688567 CH)</a> being included in the index.<div>
We expect <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/longyan-zhuoyue-new-energy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30364:1" rel="noopener">Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy Co (688196 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suzhou-tztek-technology-co-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28232:1" rel="noopener">Suzhou Tztek Technology Co-A (688003 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-seeyon-internet-so-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30393:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Seeyon Internet So-A (688369 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tianjin-jiuri-new-material-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30366:1" rel="noopener">Tianjin Jiuri New Material-A (688199 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fujian-forecam-optics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30306:1" rel="noopener">Fujian Forecam Optics Co Ltd (688010 CH)</a> to be deleted from the index to make way for the inclusions. One-way turnover is around 10%.
There has been a small outflow from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> ETFs since our last Insight, but that will have minimal impact on the rebalance.
The expected adds and deletes are the same from our earlier <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/star50-index-rebalance-preview-march21-rising-aum-and-a-new-index-make-an-exciting-combination" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Insight</a>. Since then, a trade of buying the expected adds and selling the expected deletes has returned 24%. There could be further moves as we near the near the end of the review period, and then once the announcement is made.
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The SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) is made up of 50 stocks with the largest full market cap and good liquidity listed on the SSE Science and Technology Innovation Board (the STAR Market). The index is free float market cap weighted and the weight of each stock is capped at 10%. In addition, the total weight of the top 5 constituents should not exceed 40%.The data cut-off for the March review ends on 31 January. The results of the review will be announced towards the end of February and the review will be effective after the close of trading on 12 March.Having gone through over 97% of the review period, we see 13 stocks eligible for index inclusion and 16 stocks in the deletion zone. With only 5 changes permitted in a single review, that is what we will have to settle for. What that also means is that there will be more changes at the June review.For the March review, we see Cambricon Technologies Corp (688256 CH), Qi An Xin Technology Group (688561 CH), Shanghai Junshi Bioscience (688180 CH), Trina Solar Co Ltd (688599 CH) and Farasis Energy Gan Zhou (688567 CH) being included in the index.
We expect Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy Co (688196 CH), Suzhou Tztek Technology Co-A (688003 CH), Beijing Seeyon Internet So-A (688369 CH), Tianjin Jiuri New Material-A (688199 CH) and Fujian Forecam Optics Co Ltd (688010 CH) to be deleted from the index to make way for the inclusions. One-way turnover is around 10%.
There has been a small outflow from the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) ETFs since our last Insight, but that will have minimal impact on the rebalance.
The expected adds and deletes are the same from our earlier Insight. Since then, a trade of buying the expected adds and selling the expected deletes has returned 24%. There could be further moves as we near the near the end of the review period, and then once the announcement is made.


STAR Board - STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: +Adds/-Deletes = +24%

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Tianneng Power International / Event-Driven

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After first <a href="http://www3.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/SEHK/2018/1109/LTN201811091011.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announcing</a> the possible spin-off and separate listing of Tianneng Battery Group ("TBG") on the 9 November 2018, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tianneng-power-intl-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18978:1" rel="noopener">Tianneng Power Intl (819 HK)</a> ("TPI") announced on the 15 December that the proposed A-share listing on the Star Board had been <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2020/1215/2020121501202.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">approved</a> by the CSRC.
An Offer Price of RMB41.79/share has now been <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2021/0103/2021010300069.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a>. That is 36% higher than the Indicative Offer Price of RMB30.65 flagged in the <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2019/0624/ltn201906241058.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">June 2019 prospectus</a>. Listing is expected to take place between mid-late Jan, according to my conversation with TPI's IR. 
TPI is up 204% in the past year and 35% since the CSRC approval. Today's relatively lacklustre share price response to TBG's pricing would indicate TPI's pricing is full. 
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More below the fold.
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After first announcing the possible spin-off and separate listing of Tianneng Battery Group ("TBG") on the 9 November 2018, Tianneng Power Intl (819 HK) ("TPI") announced on the 15 December that the proposed A-share listing on the Star Board had been approved by the CSRC.
An Offer Price of RMB41.79/share has now been announced. That is 36% higher than the Indicative Offer Price of RMB30.65 flagged in the June 2019 prospectus. Listing is expected to take place between mid-late Jan, according to my conversation with TPI's IR. 
TPI is up 204% in the past year and 35% since the CSRC approval. Today's relatively lacklustre share price response to TBG's pricing would indicate TPI's pricing is full. 


More below the fold.


Tianneng (819 HK): Star Market Battery Spin-Off Priced

Equity Bottom-Up

Tianneng Power International / Equity Bottom-Up

On the 9 November 2018, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tianneng-power-intl-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18978:1" rel="noopener">Tianneng Power Intl (819 HK)</a> ("TPI") <a href="http://www3.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/SEHK/2018/1109/LTN201811091011.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> the possible spin-off and separate listing of Tianneng Battery Group ("TBG"). This is the same entity TPI attempted to list back in <a href="http://www3.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/SEHK/2015/1123/LTN20151123195.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">November 2015</a>. 
Further announcements followed, culminating in a circular to shareholders on the <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2019/0624/ltn201906241058.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">24 June 2019</a> seeking shareholder approval to list TBG on the Science and Technology Innovation Board of the Shanghai Stock Exchange - better known as the Star Market. That approval was received at an EGM on the <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2019/0712/ltn20190712674.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">12 July 2019</a>. 
A <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2019/1230/2019123001609.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">December 2019</a> announcement discussed the potential to raise RMB3.6bn from the listing. 
Finally, on the <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2020/0706/2020070602268.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">6 July</a>, the Star Market listing committee approved the listing. This week, TPI announced that proposed A-share listing on the Star Board has been <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2020/1215/2020121501202.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">approved</a> by the CSRC.
The majority of TPI's assets and earnings are sourced from TBG. Shares gained 17% on the CSRC approval news and are now up 180% in the past 12 months. Is there more left in the tank?
More below the fold.

On the 9 November 2018, Tianneng Power Intl (819 HK) ("TPI") announced the possible spin-off and separate listing of Tianneng Battery Group ("TBG"). This is the same entity TPI attempted to list back in November 2015. 
Further announcements followed, culminating in a circular to shareholders on the 24 June 2019 seeking shareholder approval to list TBG on the Science and Technology Innovation Board of the Shanghai Stock Exchange - better known as the Star Market. That approval was received at an EGM on the 12 July 2019. 
A December 2019 announcement discussed the potential to raise RMB3.6bn from the listing. 
Finally, on the 6 July, the Star Market listing committee approved the listing. This week, TPI announced that proposed A-share listing on the Star Board has been approved by the CSRC.
The majority of TPI's assets and earnings are sourced from TBG. Shares gained 17% on the CSRC approval news and are now up 180% in the past 12 months. Is there more left in the tank?
More below the fold.

Tianneng (819 HK): Battery Spin-Off And The Tesla Effect

Qi An Xin Technology Group  / Event-Driven

The SSE Science and Technology Innovation Board 50 Index, also know as the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR 50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a>, is made up of 50 stocks with the largest full market cap and good liquidity listed on the SSE Science and Technology Innovation Board (the STAR Market). The index is free float market cap weighted and the weight of each stock is capped at 10%. In addition, the total weight of the top 5 constituents should not exceed 40%.
ETFs benchmarked to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR 50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> raised just over CNY 21bn at launch and assets have since swelled to CNY 28.2bn due to inflows. The large amount of assets benchmarked to stocks with low free float and trading volumes creates an ideal environment for index rebalance trades to work, as we have seen in the upcoming review which will be implemented at the close of trading on 11 December.
With a maximum of 5 changes permitted in a single review, that is what we will get in March. Potential inclusions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cambricon-technologies-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31068:1" rel="noopener">Cambricon Technologies Corp (688256 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qi-an-xin-technology-group-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31069:1" rel="noopener">Qi An Xin Technology Group (688561 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-junshi-bioscience-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31070:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Junshi Bioscience (688180 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trina-solar-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30404:1" rel="noopener">Trina Solar Co Ltd (688599 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/farasis-energy-gan-zhou-co-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28385:1" rel="noopener">Farasis Energy Gan Zhou (688567 CH)</a>.
The potential deletions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/longyan-zhuoyue-new-energy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30364:1" rel="noopener">Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy Co (688196 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suzhou-tztek-technology-co-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28232:1" rel="noopener">Suzhou Tztek Technology Co-A (688003 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-seeyon-internet-so-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30393:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Seeyon Internet So-A (688369 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tianjin-jiuri-new-material-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30366:1" rel="noopener">Tianjin Jiuri New Material-A (688199 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fujian-forecam-optics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30306:1" rel="noopener">Fujian Forecam Optics Co Ltd (688010 CH)</a>.
One-way turnover is around 13% and there is big impact expected on the stocks, especially on the deletes, and a trade of buying the expected inclusions and selling the expected exclusions could perform well.

The SSE Science and Technology Innovation Board 50 Index, also know as the SSE STAR 50 (STAR50 INDEX), is made up of 50 stocks with the largest full market cap and good liquidity listed on the SSE Science and Technology Innovation Board (the STAR Market). The index is free float market cap weighted and the weight of each stock is capped at 10%. In addition, the total weight of the top 5 constituents should not exceed 40%.
ETFs benchmarked to the SSE STAR 50 (STAR50 INDEX) raised just over CNY 21bn at launch and assets have since swelled to CNY 28.2bn due to inflows. The large amount of assets benchmarked to stocks with low free float and trading volumes creates an ideal environment for index rebalance trades to work, as we have seen in the upcoming review which will be implemented at the close of trading on 11 December.
With a maximum of 5 changes permitted in a single review, that is what we will get in March. Potential inclusions are Cambricon Technologies Corp (688256 CH), Qi An Xin Technology Group (688561 CH), Shanghai Junshi Bioscience (688180 CH), Trina Solar Co Ltd (688599 CH) and Farasis Energy Gan Zhou (688567 CH).
The potential deletions are Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy Co (688196 CH), Suzhou Tztek Technology Co-A (688003 CH), Beijing Seeyon Internet So-A (688369 CH), Tianjin Jiuri New Material-A (688199 CH) and Fujian Forecam Optics Co Ltd (688010 CH).
One-way turnover is around 13% and there is big impact expected on the stocks, especially on the deletes, and a trade of buying the expected inclusions and selling the expected exclusions could perform well.

STAR Board: STAR50 Index Rebalance March21: Rising AUM and a New Index Make an Exciting Combination

China

Farasis Energy (Gan Zhou) Co., Ltd. operates as a new energy vehicle power battery system solutions provider. The Company develops, manufactures, and distributes lithium-Ion battery cells, modules, and battery packs, and battery management systems. Farasis Energy (Gan Zhou) serves clients across worldwide.

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Farasis Energy Gan Zhou (688567 CH)

STAR Board - STAR50 Index Rebalance: Another BIG One

There are 5 changes to the STAR50 index as a part of the March review. Estimated one-way turnover is 8.93% and we expect the inclusions to...

Brian Freitas

STAR Board - STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: +Adds/-Deletes = +24%

There will be 5 changes for the STAR50 index in the March review. The lack of pre-positioning and large AUM tracking the index (plus active traders...

Brian Freitas

Tianneng (819 HK): Star Market Battery Spin-Off Priced

In my prior insight, I recommended buying TPI on the expectation it retests its July high. It achieved that today. If you were already in, I'd be...

David Blennerhassett

Tianneng (819 HK): Battery Spin-Off And The Tesla Effect

The Star Market will welcome another battery manufacturer, one that is an up & coming supplier of lithium batteries, and one that promotes and...

David Blennerhassett

STAR Board: STAR50 Index Rebalance March21: Rising AUM and a New Index Make an Exciting Combination

Increasing assets benchmarked to the STAR50 index and comparatively low trading volumes on the expected inclusions and exclusions provide an ideal...

Brian Freitas

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