SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

Far East Hospitality Trust / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>REIT Watch - Hospitality S-Reits’ RevPAR mostly resilient as tourism activity normalises Singapore real estate investment trusts (S-REITs) with hospitality assets have reported mostly stable operating performance in the third quarter even as tourism activity normalises following the post-pandemic travel boom.</li><li>Meanwhile CDL Hospitality Trusts saw mixed RevPAR performance across its portfolio, with around half the markets – including Australia, Japan and Germany – experiencing growth in the third quarter.</li></ul>

REIT Watch - Hospitality S-Reits’ RevPAR mostly resilient as tourism activity normalises Singapore real estate investment trusts (S-REITs) with hospitality assets have reported mostly stable operating performance in the third quarter even as tourism activity normalises following the post-pandemic travel boom.Meanwhile CDL Hospitality Trusts saw mixed RevPAR performance across its portfolio, with around half the markets – including Australia, Japan and Germany – experiencing growth in the third quarter.

REIT Watch - Hospitality S-REITs’ RevPAR mostly resilient as tourism activity normalises

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<ul>
<li>Taylor Swift concerts in Singapore has increased both hotels' occupancy rate and daily rate</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/far-east-hospitality-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19061:1" rel="noopener">Far East Hospitality Trust (FEHT SP)</a> share price has not moved much since the Swift concert. </li>
<li>There is a slim chance FEHT hotels did not participate in the upside during Swift event, but the odds are higher that FEHT hotels will participate in the upside.</li>
</ul>


Taylor Swift concerts in Singapore has increased both hotels' occupancy rate and daily rate

Far East Hospitality Trust (FEHT SP) share price has not moved much since the Swift concert. 
There is a slim chance FEHT hotels did not participate in the upside during Swift event, but the odds are higher that FEHT hotels will participate in the upside.


Far East Hospitality Trust (FEHT): Swift Effect

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>400+ days ago, the TCC Group bid for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-hospitality-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:913:1" rel="noopener">Frasers Hospitality Trust (FHT SP)</a> at just over 1.05x NAV failed on a combination of vocal minority opposition and minority apathy.</li>
<li>FHT has dramatically outperformed plummeting peers over the last few months on hope TCC might re-up that bid, but weaker peers and CRE markets suggest financing could be tougher.</li>
<li>Nothing is impossible, but it might make more sense for TCC to up its stake by stealth here rather than brute force. Earnings are 7 November.</li>
</ul>


400+ days ago, the TCC Group bid for Frasers Hospitality Trust (FHT SP) at just over 1.05x NAV failed on a combination of vocal minority opposition and minority apathy.
FHT has dramatically outperformed plummeting peers over the last few months on hope TCC might re-up that bid, but weaker peers and CRE markets suggest financing could be tougher.
Nothing is impossible, but it might make more sense for TCC to up its stake by stealth here rather than brute force. Earnings are 7 November.


Frasers Hospitality - Will TCC Renew Its Takeover Offer? Market Prices Bet Yes Ahead of Earnings

CDL Hospitality Trusts / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>CapitaLand Ascott Trust's H2 2024 gross profit rose 8% to S$198.0 million, with revenue up 6% to S$432.2 million.</li><li>Far East Hospitality Trust's H2 2024 gross revenue and net property income both increased 0.2% to S$54.9 million and S$49.9 million.</li><li>CDL Hospitality Trusts' DPS declined 11.9% in H2 2024, despite growth in RevPar for most portfolio markets.</li></ul>

CapitaLand Ascott Trust's H2 2024 gross profit rose 8% to S$198.0 million, with revenue up 6% to S$432.2 million.Far East Hospitality Trust's H2 2024 gross revenue and net property income both increased 0.2% to S$54.9 million and S$49.9 million.CDL Hospitality Trusts' DPS declined 11.9% in H2 2024, despite growth in RevPar for most portfolio markets.

REIT Watch - Hospitality S-REITs focus on active portfolio management to drive growth

Sabana Industrial REIT / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>With almost full certainty that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this September (based on CME Fed Watch Tool showing a 100 per cent probability as of Jul 26, 2024), interest rates continue to remain in the spotlight for REITs.</li><li>The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) announced last week a proposal to simplify the leverage requirements for all Singapore REITs (S-REITs) – it proposes for a single aggregate leverage limit of 50 per cent and a minimum interest coverage ratio (ICR) of 5 times to be applied for all S-REITs.</li><li>Five S-REITs that maintain the lowest gearing ratios are Sasseur REIT (25.2 per cent), Paragon REIT (29.9 per cent), Far East Hospitality Trust (31.5 per cent), AIMS APAC REIT (32.6 per cent), and Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (32.7 per cent).</li></ul>

With almost full certainty that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this September (based on CME Fed Watch Tool showing a 100 per cent probability as of Jul 26, 2024), interest rates continue to remain in the spotlight for REITs.The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) announced last week a proposal to simplify the leverage requirements for all Singapore REITs (S-REITs) – it proposes for a single aggregate leverage limit of 50 per cent and a minimum interest coverage ratio (ICR) of 5 times to be applied for all S-REITs.Five S-REITs that maintain the lowest gearing ratios are Sasseur REIT (25.2 per cent), Paragon REIT (29.9 per cent), Far East Hospitality Trust (31.5 per cent), AIMS APAC REIT (32.6 per cent), and Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (32.7 per cent).

REIT Watch - Maintaining balance sheet strengths as S-REITs average 39% gearing

Singapore

Far East Hospitality Trust is a hospitality stapled group comprising Far East H-REIT and Far East H-BT. Far East H-REIT is a Singapore-based real estate investment trust, which invests in hospitality assets and Far East H-BT, a Singapore-based business trust which will be dormant as of the Listing Date.

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Far East Hospitality Trust (FEHT SP)

REIT Watch - Hospitality S-REITs’ RevPAR mostly resilient as tourism activity normalises

REIT Watch - Hospitality S-Reits’ RevPAR mostly resilient as tourism activity normalises Singapore real estate investment trusts (S-REITs) with...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Far East Hospitality Trust (FEHT): Swift Effect

Far East Hospitality Trust hotels (74% of the revenue) should be beneficiaries of the Swift concert mania, but so far the share price has not gone...

Henry Soediarko

Frasers Hospitality - Will TCC Renew Its Takeover Offer? Market Prices Bet Yes Ahead of Earnings

Frasers Hospitality Trust is trading as if TCC might make another offer. But peers in Singapore/Asia are getting crushed, and globally CRE is in...

Travis Lundy

REIT Watch - Hospitality S-REITs focus on active portfolio management to drive growth

CapitaLand Ascott Trust's H2 2024 gross profit rose 8% to S$198.0 million, with revenue up 6% to S$432.2 million. Far East Hospitality Trust's H2...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

REIT Watch - Maintaining balance sheet strengths as S-REITs average 39% gearing

With almost full certainty that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this September (based on CME Fed Watch Tool showing a 100 per cent...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

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