IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Horizon Construction Development / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-construction-development" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35117:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Construction Development (1887128D HK)</a>/HCD, a subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/far-east-horizon-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:420:1" rel="noopener">Far East Horizon (3360 HK)</a>, has launched its HKEx listing at HK$4.52-4.80 per share to raise up to US$223 million.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/horizon-construction-development-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:100813" rel="noopener">Horizon Construction Development IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/horizon-construction-development-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:100922" rel="noopener">Horizon Construction Development IPO: The Bear Case</a>. </li>
<li>Our valuation analysis suggests that HCD is fully priced at the IPO price range. Therefore, we are inclined to pass on the IPO. </li>
</ul>



Horizon Construction Development (1887128D HK)/HCD, a subsidiary of Far East Horizon (3360 HK), has launched its HKEx listing at HK$4.52-4.80 per share to raise up to US$223 million.
We previously discussed the IPO in Horizon Construction Development IPO: The Bull Case and Horizon Construction Development IPO: The Bear Case. 
Our valuation analysis suggests that HCD is fully priced at the IPO price range. Therefore, we are inclined to pass on the IPO. 


Horizon Construction Development IPO: Valuation Insights

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mankind-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36389:1" rel="noopener">Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nexus-select-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36566:1" rel="noopener">Nexus Select Trust (NST IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23700:1" rel="noopener">Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adicon-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33786:1" rel="noopener">ADICON Holdings Limited (ADI HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-construction-development" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35117:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Construction Development (1887128D HK)</a> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aag-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:501:1" rel="noopener">Aag Energy Holdings (2686 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-fiber-system-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20826:1" rel="noopener">Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lian-beng-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17636:1" rel="noopener">Lian Beng (LBG SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/penguin-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10190:1" rel="noopener">Penguin International (PBS SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/estia-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:77:1" rel="noopener">Estia Health (EHE AU)</a>,  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/liontown-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20488:1" rel="noopener">Liontown Resources (LTR AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN), Nexus Select Trust (NST IN), Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN), ADICON Holdings Limited (ADI HK), Horizon Construction Development (1887128D HK) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments - Aag Energy Holdings (2686 HK), Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP), Lian Beng (LBG SP), Penguin International (PBS SP), Estia Health (EHE AU),  Liontown Resources (LTR AU). 


Weekly Deals Digest (07 May) - Mankind, Nexus, Tata Tech, AAG, Golden Energy, Lian Beng, Penguin

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yuexiu-property-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18097:1" rel="noopener">Yuexiu Property (123 HK)</a> rights issue and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adicon-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33786:1" rel="noopener">ADICON Holdings Limited (ADI HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-construction-development" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35117:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Construction Development (1887128D HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mankind-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36389:1" rel="noopener">Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN)</a> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/blackmores-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:928:1" rel="noopener">Blackmores Ltd (BKL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-malt-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29116:1" rel="noopener">United Malt Group Ltd (UMG AU)</a>,  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aag-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:501:1" rel="noopener">Aag Energy Holdings (2686 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hkbn-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:289:1" rel="noopener">HKBN Ltd (1310 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/metro-pacific-investments-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1054:1" rel="noopener">Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM)</a>, Lian Beng.</li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Yuexiu Property (123 HK) rights issue and ADICON Holdings Limited (ADI HK), Horizon Construction Development (1887128D HK), Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments - Blackmores Ltd (BKL AU), United Malt Group Ltd (UMG AU),  Aag Energy Holdings (2686 HK), HKBN Ltd (1310 HK), Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM), Lian Beng.


Weekly Deals Digest (30 Apr) - AAG, HKBN, Blackmores, Lian Beng, Horizon Construction, Mankind

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-construction-development" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35117:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Construction Development (1887128D HK)</a>/HCD, a subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/far-east-horizon-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:420:1" rel="noopener">Far East Horizon (3360 HK)</a>, is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise US$200-250 million, according to press reports.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/horizon-construction-development-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:100813" rel="noopener">Horizon Construction Development IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bear case rest on core business margin decline, unexplained headcount reduction, cash burn, long receivable days and stretched balance sheet.</li>
</ul>



Horizon Construction Development (1887128D HK)/HCD, a subsidiary of Far East Horizon (3360 HK), is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise US$200-250 million, according to press reports.
In Horizon Construction Development IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The key elements of the bear case rest on core business margin decline, unexplained headcount reduction, cash burn, long receivable days and stretched balance sheet.


Horizon Construction Development IPO: The Bear Case

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-construction-development" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35117:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Construction Development (1887128D HK)</a>/HCD, a subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/far-east-horizon-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:420:1" rel="noopener">Far East Horizon (3360 HK)</a>, is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise US$200-250 million, according to press reports.</li>
<li>HCD is the largest equipment operation service provider in China in terms of revenue in 2021, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bull case rest on market share gains, an anticipated post-COVID recovery boost, high revenue visibility, stable operating margin and young equipment life.</li>
</ul>



Horizon Construction Development (1887128D HK)/HCD, a subsidiary of Far East Horizon (3360 HK), is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise US$200-250 million, according to press reports.
HCD is the largest equipment operation service provider in China in terms of revenue in 2021, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.
The key elements of the bull case rest on market share gains, an anticipated post-COVID recovery boost, high revenue visibility, stable operating margin and young equipment life.


Horizon Construction Development IPO: The Bull Case

Hong Kong

Far East Horizon Ltd is a financial services provider. The Company specializes in providing financing solutions through equipment-based financial leasing. Far East currently targets industries that include healthcare, education, infrastructure construction, shipping, printing and machinery industries.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Far East Horizon (3360 HK)

Horizon Construction Development IPO: Valuation Insights

Our valuation analysis suggests that HCD is fully priced at the IPO price range. Therefore, we are inclined to pass on the IPO.

Arun George

Weekly Deals Digest (07 May) - Mankind, Nexus, Tata Tech, AAG, Golden Energy, Lian Beng, Penguin

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Estia, Healius, Liontown, Golden Energy, Lian Beng, Penguin, Oishi) and ECM (Mankind,...

Arun George

Weekly Deals Digest (30 Apr) - AAG, HKBN, Blackmores, Lian Beng, Horizon Construction, Mankind

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Blackmores, United Malt, AAG, HKBN, Metro Pacific Investments, Lian Beng) and ECM...

Arun George

Horizon Construction Development IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case rest on core business margin decline, unexplained headcount reduction, cash burn, long receivable days and...

Arun George

Horizon Construction Development IPO: The Bull Case

The key elements of the bull case rest on market share gains, an anticipated post-COVID recovery boost, high revenue visibility, stable operating...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)