Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Nvidia announced another sharp sales increase to $26 billion in quarterly revenues</li>
<li>The company's growth is far greater than hyperscaler CapEx growth, as standard servers yield to AI servers: Bad news for Intel &amp; AMD</li>
<li>Some of this may stem from an inventory build at the hyperscaler, which may lead to another Boom/Bust cycle similar to 2018 and 2022</li>
</ul>


Nvidia announced another sharp sales increase to $26 billion in quarterly revenues
The company's growth is far greater than hyperscaler CapEx growth, as standard servers yield to AI servers: Bad news for Intel &amp; AMD
Some of this may stem from an inventory build at the hyperscaler, which may lead to another Boom/Bust cycle similar to 2018 and 2022


Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>Generative AI (GAI) helps capex, no doubt. But key question is whether capex can yield to revenue and profits;</li>
<li>Content creation industry is sure to realize revenue and profits. iQiyi and NetEase already said so with concreate examples;</li>
<li>Advertising can realize revenue by better matching of ads inventory and perhaps improve inventory utilization.</li>
</ul>


Generative AI (GAI) helps capex, no doubt. But key question is whether capex can yield to revenue and profits;
Content creation industry is sure to realize revenue and profits. iQiyi and NetEase already said so with concreate examples;
Advertising can realize revenue by better matching of ads inventory and perhaps improve inventory utilization.


GAI-Related Numbers and Quotes from C1Q24 Earnings

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors, Fabricated Knowledge

Douglas O'Laughlin

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors

Fabricated Knowledge

Learn more about the world's most important manufactured product. Meaningful insight, timely analysis, and an occasional investment idea.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li><p>I will start with a AMD section. Shares are down ~6-7% on last week’s result. Let’s talk about the result and why it was so disappointing.</p></li><li>AMD exactly matched EPS, was slightly light on revenue, and guided essentially in line with Q2 guidance.</li><li><p>This also was one of the slightest EPS and revenue beats in recent years. The last time this happened, the PC segment was imploding. This time it’s embedded revenue.</p></li></ul>

I will start with a AMD section. Shares are down ~6-7% on last week’s result. Let’s talk about the result and why it was so disappointing.AMD exactly matched EPS, was slightly light on revenue, and guided essentially in line with Q2 guidance.This also was one of the slightest EPS and revenue beats in recent years. The last time this happened, the PC segment was imploding. This time it’s embedded revenue.

AMD's MI300 Disappointment, Hyperscalers Capex, and FPGAs

Mostly Borrowed Ideas Deep Dives, MBI Deep Dives

MBI Deep Dives

Mostly Borrowed Ideas Deep Dives

MBI is the abbreviation for “Mostly Borrowed Ideas”. Why “Mostly Borrowed Ideas?” As a generalist, I do not have a background in any particular sector. I enjoy navigating across industries, businesses, and countries to learn, understand, and connect the dots. In any case, most ideas and innovations are incremental in nature. Very few of us are smart enough to come up with truly original or groundbreaking ideas. I am Abdullah Al-Rezwan. I was born and brought up in Bangladesh. I went to University of Dhaka for my undergrad and majored in Finance. After working three and half years in Equity Research (Sell-side) covering Financial Sector in Bangladesh, I left Bangladesh to pursue my MBA in the US. I graduated within top 10% of the class from Cornell University's two-year MBA program and worked on the buy-side following my graduation. During my time at Cornell, I won two stock pitch competitions and also became finalists in four other competitions. I thoroughly enjoyed my stint as a generalist in the US large cap team at Madison Investments and covered a wide range of companies from UnitedHealth to Amazon and Boeing before US immigration reality paused my career in investment management. As my work authorization expired, I moved to Canada in January, 2021. Then in early 2022, I was able to return to the US.

<ul><li>Now that Meta, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon all reported their quarters, we now have better context to how their quarters went.</li><li>So, while I will mostly discuss Amazon's earnings in this update, I will briefly touch on some broader themes as well.</li><li>Overall revenue was slightly below the high end of Amazon's guidance.</li></ul>

Now that Meta, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon all reported their quarters, we now have better context to how their quarters went.So, while I will mostly discuss Amazon's earnings in this update, I will briefly touch on some broader themes as well.Overall revenue was slightly below the high end of Amazon's guidance.

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

<ul>
<li>TCOM US/ATAT US: The increase in rainfall will negatively impact travels during the Labor Day holiday.(-/-)</li>
<li>META US/MSFT US /GOOGL US /SNAP US: The application of AI in advertising on short video and social platforms may result in greater efficiency than search advertising.（///////）</li>
<li>3690 HK: Meituan plans to expand into the Middle East Riyadh via KeeTa.（-）</li>
</ul>


TCOM US/ATAT US: The increase in rainfall will negatively impact travels during the Labor Day holiday.(-/-)
META US/MSFT US /GOOGL US /SNAP US: The application of AI in advertising on short video and social platforms may result in greater efficiency than search advertising.（///////）
3690 HK: Meituan plans to expand into the Middle East Riyadh via KeeTa.（-）


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:TCOM US/ATAT US/METAUS/MSFTUS /GOOGLUS /SNAPUS/3690HK/NTESUS/SHEINUS

United States

Meta Platforms Inc. operates as a social technology company. The Company builds applications and technologies that help people connect, find communities, and grow businesses. meta Platform is also involved in advertisements, augmented and virtual reality.

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Meta Platforms (Facebook) (META US)

Nvidia Up Sharply Again - Can This Last?

Nvidia's quarterly sales of $26 billion, driven by AI server demand, poses a threat to Intel and AMD, but hyperscalers may be building up...

Jim Handy

AMD's MI300 Disappointment, Hyperscalers Capex, and FPGAs

This is my earnings overview for the Hyperscalers, AMD, and thoughts specifically on FPGAs. I will start with a AMD section. Shares are down ~6-7%...

Fabricated Knowledge

Amazon 1Q'24 Update

Now that Meta, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon all reported their quarters, we now have better context to how their quarters went.

MBI Deep Dives

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:TCOM US/ATAT US/METAUS/MSFTUS /GOOGLUS /SNAPUS/3690HK/NTESUS/SHEINUS

rainfall will impact travel during Labor Day. Meituan expand into the Middle East Riyadh. NPPA released the game code. SHEIN designated asVLOP....

Blue Lotus Research Institute

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Nvidia Up Sharply Again - Can This Last?

​Nvidia's quarterly sales of $26 billion, driven by AI server demand, poses a threat to Intel and AMD, but hyperscalers may be building up...

Jim Handy

GAI-Related Numbers and Quotes from C1Q24 Earnings

Generative AI (GAI) is already contributing revenues in content creation (game) and ad load optimization (advertising). But the bigger pay off must...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

AMD's MI300 Disappointment, Hyperscalers Capex, and FPGAs

This is my earnings overview for the Hyperscalers, AMD, and thoughts specifically on FPGAs. I will start with a AMD section. Shares are down ~6-7%...

Fabricated Knowledge

Amazon 1Q'24 Update

Now that Meta, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon all reported their quarters, we now have better context to how their quarters went.

MBI Deep Dives

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:TCOM US/ATAT US/METAUS/MSFTUS /GOOGLUS /SNAPUS/3690HK/NTESUS/SHEINUS

rainfall will impact travel during Labor Day. Meituan expand into the Middle East Riyadh. NPPA released the game code. SHEIN designated asVLOP....

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Nvidia's quarterly sales of $26 billion, driven by AI server demand, poses a threat to Intel and AMD, but hyperscalers may be building up...