Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<p>In last week's <em>Int'l Compass</em> (Sept. 2), we highlighted emerging markets (EEM-US, Shanghai Comp) and Japan (TOPIX, TOPIX Small) as areas of bullish interest, with short-term bullish inflections suggesting the tide was turning in favor of these markets. This remains the focus in today's report, and especially on Japan; bullish price inflections and breakouts have started to proliferate, which suggests this could be the start of a broad-based rally for Japan in the weeks and months ahead.</p>

In last week's Int'l Compass (Sept. 2), we highlighted emerging markets (EEM-US, Shanghai Comp) and Japan (TOPIX, TOPIX Small) as areas of bullish interest, with short-term bullish inflections suggesting the tide was turning in favor of these markets. This remains the focus in today's report, and especially on Japan; bullish price inflections and breakouts have started to proliferate, which suggests this could be the start of a broad-based rally for Japan in the weeks and months ahead.

Buy Japan On This Breakout ; TOPIX Breaking Out To 21-Year Highs; Actionable Theme: Growth Sectors

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<div><p>CTOS Digital (CTOS) raised around US$291m via its Malaysian IPO. It is majority owned by Creador, a PE firm. </p></div><div><p>We covered most aspects of the deal in our earlier notes, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ctos-digital-pre-ipo-credit-where-credit-s-due" target="_blank" rel="noopener">CTOS Digital Pre-IPO - Credit where credit’s due </a>and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ctos-digital-ipo-market-leader-strong-pe-record-and-cornerstone" target="_blank" rel="noopener">CTOS Digital IPO - Market Leader, Strong PE Record and Cornerstone</a>.</p></div><div><p>In this note, we will talk about the updates since then and the trading dynamics.</p></div>

CTOS Digital (CTOS) raised around US$291m via its Malaysian IPO. It is majority owned by Creador, a PE firm. We covered most aspects of the deal in our earlier notes, CTOS Digital Pre-IPO - Credit where credit’s due and CTOS Digital IPO - Market Leader, Strong PE Record and Cornerstone.In this note, we will talk about the updates since then and the trading dynamics.

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ctos-digital-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33496:1" rel="noopener">CTOS Digital (1054055D MK)</a> is a regional market leader for credit bureaux in the ASEAN region, with a presence in Malaysia and Thailand. CTOS is Malaysia’s leading CRA (credit reporting agency), with a revenue market share of 71.2% in 2020, according to IMR.  </p><p>CTOS has launched an IPO to raise RM1.2 billion ($290 million) at an initial price of RM1.10 per share. The primary/secondary split is 18%/82%. The selling shareholders are Inodes (backed by the Creador Group), Chung Tze Keong (co-founder), Chung Tze Wen (co-founder) and Ng Gaik Lin. Pricing will be announced on 7 July and the shares will be listed on 19 July.</p><p>CTOS has a dominant position in Malaysia, which is the second-largest CRA market in ASEAN by revenue. The recent acquisition of Basis, a Malaysian CRA, further cements its position in Malaysia. CTOS' market share is supported by the industry’s high barriers to entry, CTOS’s proprietary database ecosystem and a full suite of digital solutions with a focus on new value-added services. CTOS’ acquisition strategy has also enabled it to gain a foothold in merging credit reporting markets outside of Malaysia. For example, the acquisition of a 20% interest in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/business-online-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18347:1" rel="noopener">Business Online (BOL TB)</a>, the largest credit bureaux in Thailand, provides an entry point into the Thai market.    </p><div class="content-highlight"><p>CTOS is complementing its strong market position by delivering solid revenue growth (on a like-for-like basis), strong customer retention rates, sector leading margin and strong cash generation. Overall, we think that the CTOS story warrants a closer look.  We will discuss valuation in our next note.  </p></div>

CTOS Digital (1054055D MK) is a regional market leader for credit bureaux in the ASEAN region, with a presence in Malaysia and Thailand. CTOS is Malaysia’s leading CRA (credit reporting agency), with a revenue market share of 71.2% in 2020, according to IMR.  CTOS has launched an IPO to raise RM1.2 billion ($290 million) at an initial price of RM1.10 per share. The primary/secondary split is 18%/82%. The selling shareholders are Inodes (backed by the Creador Group), Chung Tze Keong (co-founder), Chung Tze Wen (co-founder) and Ng Gaik Lin. Pricing will be announced on 7 July and the shares will be listed on 19 July.CTOS has a dominant position in Malaysia, which is the second-largest CRA market in ASEAN by revenue. The recent acquisition of Basis, a Malaysian CRA, further cements its position in Malaysia. CTOS' market share is supported by the industry’s high barriers to entry, CTOS’s proprietary database ecosystem and a full suite of digital solutions with a focus on new value-added services. CTOS’ acquisition strategy has also enabled it to gain a foothold in merging credit reporting markets outside of Malaysia. For example, the acquisition of a 20% interest in Business Online (BOL TB), the largest credit bureaux in Thailand, provides an entry point into the Thai market.    CTOS is complementing its strong market position by delivering solid revenue growth (on a like-for-like basis), strong customer retention rates, sector leading margin and strong cash generation. Overall, we think that the CTOS story warrants a closer look.  We will discuss valuation in our next note.  

CTOS Digital IPO Initiation: Keeping Tabs

<p>CTOS Digital (CTOS) aims to raise up to US$300m via its Malaysian IPO. It is majority owned by Creador, a PE firm. </p><p>CTOS is an investment holding whose subsidiaries are principally involved in the business of credit reporting, digital software related services, software development, outsourcing and training services and investment holding.</p><p>CTOS was the largest credit reporting agency (CRA) in Malaysia with an estimated market share in terms of revenue of 71.2% in 2020 according to the IMR Report. Its associate, Experian, was the second largest CRA in Malaysia, with an estimated market share in terms of revenue of 17.5%.</p>

CTOS Digital (CTOS) aims to raise up to US$300m via its Malaysian IPO. It is majority owned by Creador, a PE firm. CTOS is an investment holding whose subsidiaries are principally involved in the business of credit reporting, digital software related services, software development, outsourcing and training services and investment holding.CTOS was the largest credit reporting agency (CRA) in Malaysia with an estimated market share in terms of revenue of 71.2% in 2020 according to the IMR Report. Its associate, Experian, was the second largest CRA in Malaysia, with an estimated market share in terms of revenue of 17.5%.

CTOS Digital Pre-IPO - Credit Where Credit’s Due

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

<p style="text-align: justify;">Emerging markets (EEM-US) are breaking above major $46.30 resistance to hit highs not seen since June 2018. Additionally, RS on EEM-US is near 1-year highs -- a positive risk-on signal. Stocks doing business in <strong>China, India, Taiwan</strong>, and <strong>South Korea </strong>continue to be a major focus when it comes to individual stock recommendations.</p>

Emerging markets (EEM-US) are breaking above major $46.30 resistance to hit highs not seen since June 2018. Additionally, RS on EEM-US is near 1-year highs -- a positive risk-on signal. Stocks doing business in China, India, Taiwan, and South Korea continue to be a major focus when it comes to individual stock recommendations.

Ireland

Experian PLC offers credit and marketing services.  The Company manages large databases that enable credit granting and monitoring, and help minimize fraud and credit risk; offers specialist analytical solutions for credit scoring, risk management, and processing applications; processes checks and credit cards; and offers consumers credit reports and scores.

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Experian PLC (EXPN LN)

Buy Japan On This Breakout ; TOPIX Breaking Out To 21-Year Highs; Actionable Theme: Growth Sectors

Japan (TOPIX, TOPIX Small) was a big focus for us last week, and it remains the focus in today's report; this could be the start of a broad-based...

Vermilion Research

CTOS Digital IPO Trading - Strong Demand

CTOS Digital (CTOS) raised around US$291m via its Malaysian IPO. It is majority owned by Creador, a PE firm. In this note, we will talk about the...

Sumeet Singh

CTOS Digital IPO Initiation: Keeping Tabs

CTOS is complementing its strong market position by delivering solid growth, strong customer retention rates, sector leading margin and strong cash...

Arun George

CTOS Digital Pre-IPO - Credit Where Credit’s Due

CTOS Digital (CTOS) aims to raise up to US$300m via its Malaysian IPO. It is majority owned by Creador, a PE firm. It has an over 70% market share...

Sumeet Singh

Emerging Markets Breaking Out

Emerging markets (EEM-US) are breaking above major $46.30 resistance to hit highs not seen since June 2018. Additionally, RS on EEM-US is near 1...

Vermilion Research

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