Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Using data from the close on 17 May, there could be 5 changes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June.</li>
<li>There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 12.6% and a one-way trade of US$1.13bn.</li>
<li>Shorts have increased on the potential adds and potential deletes and covering will lead to rally in some stocks while providing support in others at rebalance implementation.</li>
</ul>


Using data from the close on 17 May, there could be 5 changes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June.
There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 12.6% and a one-way trade of US$1.13bn.
Shorts have increased on the potential adds and potential deletes and covering will lead to rally in some stocks while providing support in others at rebalance implementation.


Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 13% One-Way Turnover & US$2.27bn Trade

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Our analysis suggests container rate momentum remained +ive in March</li>
<li>Despite higher fuel expense, core container margins likely rose Y/Y in Q124</li>
<li>Our L/S pair trade? It's worked, a little, but Evergreen shares have stayed firm</li>
</ul>


Our analysis suggests container rate momentum remained +ive in March
Despite higher fuel expense, core container margins likely rose Y/Y in Q124
Our L/S pair trade? It's worked, a little, but Evergreen shares have stayed firm


Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | March Volumes Strong | Q1 Margins Likely Up Y/Y (April 2024)

<ul>
<li>Spot container rates have surged, owing to conflict near Red Sea / Suez Canal</li>
<li>On top of higher spot rates, imposition of new fees also boosting carrier revenue</li>
<li>Evergreen's average monthly US$ revenue <em>increased</em> from Q123 to Q423</li>
</ul>


Spot container rates have surged, owing to conflict near Red Sea / Suez Canal
On top of higher spot rates, imposition of new fees also boosting carrier revenue
Evergreen's average monthly US$ revenue increased from Q123 to Q423


Spot Container Rates Surge | New Fees Also Boosting Carrier Revenue | Increases Could Lift '24 Rates

<ul>
<li>Since October, Evergreen shares have performed well on rising spot rates</li>
<li>Over the same period, Maersk and ZIM shares fell on longer-term concerns</li>
<li>Pair trade idea: SHORT Evergreen vs LONG Maersk / ZIM position</li>
</ul>


Since October, Evergreen shares have performed well on rising spot rates
Over the same period, Maersk and ZIM shares fell on longer-term concerns
Pair trade idea: SHORT Evergreen vs LONG Maersk / ZIM position


Pair Trade Idea: Short Evergreen Against Long Maersk / ZIM

<ul>
<li>January pricing momentum improved, helped by more operating days &amp; re-routes</li>
<li>Throughput growth remained strong last month, including +18% into WC ports</li>
<li>Near term reality far rosier than downbeat view from industry giant Maersk</li>
</ul>


January pricing momentum improved, helped by more operating days &amp; re-routes
Throughput growth remained strong last month, including +18% into WC ports
Near term reality far rosier than downbeat view from industry giant Maersk


Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | LNY Timing, Red Sea Re-Routes Boosted Revenue | (February 2024)

Taiwan

Yang Ming Marine Transport provides transportation services and handles domestic and foreign maritime services on cargos.  The Company also operates warehouse, wharf, tug, barge, and container freight station services as well as repairs, leases, and sells containers and chassis.

Wan Hai Lines Ltd. provides marine transportation and shipping agent services. The Company also purchases, sells, and leases vessels and containers as well as operates container freight stations.

U-Ming Marine Transport Corporation operates in the tramp shipping business. The Company mainly ships bulk raw materials such as iron ore, coal, grains, and cement.

Wisdom Marine Lines Company Ltd. transports freight by ship.  The Company operates bulk carriers, loggers, tweendeckers, multipurpose ships, roll-on and roll-offs, and container ships.

Sincere Navigation Corporation is a major international shipping company listed on the Taiwan Stock Exchange and based in Taipei, Taiwan. The company is one of the largest dry bulk shipping company in Taiwan. Founded more than 40 years ago, the company endured volatile industry conditions, owns and operates a fleet of vessels. An experienced management team continues to contribute to its strong operational growth. Based upon this solid foundation, we hope to continue to develop the company’s operations and work towards a prosperous future.

Taiwan Navigation Co., Ltd. provides marine transportation services.

Chinese Maritime Transport Ltd., through its subsidiaries own and operate a fleet of bulk carriers.  It also operates container inland transportation and terminals.

Shih Wei Navigation Co., Ltd. provides marine transportation services all over the world. The Company also leases vessels.

First Steamship Company, Limited operates in the tramp shipping business.  The Company mainly ships grains, coal, ore, fertilizers, and cement.

Franbo Lines Corp provides bulk marine shipment services. The Company transports a variety of goods including food products, wood, steel, and related items. Franbo serves clients in Taiwan, Mainland China, Southeast Asia, New Guinea, and other area in the Asia Pacific region.

Orient Overseas International Ltd, through its subsidiaries, owns and leases ships, operates terminals, and provides freight forwarding and container transportation services.  The Company also develops and invests in properties, leases equipment, and invests in securities.

Kirby Corporation operates a fleet of inland tank barges.  The Company transports industrial chemicals, refined petroleum products, black oil products, and agricultural chemicals.  Kirby also overhauls and services diesel engines employed in marine, power generation, and rail applications.

Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, Ltd. operates marine cargo and passenger transportation around the world.  The Company provides ocean liner, bulk carrier, car carrier, unscheduled specialized carrier, and energy transportation services. The Company also offers insurance, warehousing, and land transportation services.  Items transported include automobile, grain, petroleum, coal, iron ore, and wood chip.

MISC Berhad owns ships and operates shipping and related services. Through its subsidiaries, the Company provides trucking, warehousing and forwarding service, containers and prime movers repair, and container haulage. MISC Berhad also has operation in trucking and launch operator.

Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha mainly provides marine transportation services and transportation management solution from international hub ports to both domestic and international ports. The Company operates container transportation, tramp and specialized carriers, and logistics and cruise lines. Nippon Yusen offers scheduled and unscheduled transportation services around the world.

HMM Co., Ltd. provides marine transportation services.  The Company commands different types of vessels including full container vessels, oil tankers, car carriers, LNG carriers, bulk carriers, and tramps.

Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, Ltd. provides marine transportation, warehousing, and cargo handling services.  The Company operates container ship, specialized carrier, oil tankers, and ferry.  Items transported include coal, iron ore, grain, logs, aluminum, cement, industrial salt, copper ore, wood chips, paper products, chemical products, gasoline and other petroleum products, LPG, and other cargoes.

COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation Co., Ltd. offers marine shipping services. The Company provides refined oil transportation, crude oil transportation, and other services. COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation also ships iron ores, dry bulks, coal, and other products.

Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation Co. Ltd. (H) (1138 HK)

Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation Co. Ltd. (H)

Matson Inc., is involved in transportation and logistics.  The Company offers provides  multimodal transportation services to the North American market, including domestic and international rail intermodal service, long haul and regional highway brokerage, supply chain services and LTL transportation services, as well as third-party logistics services.

SITC International Holdings Company Ltd. offers marine shipping services.  The Company offers container liner shipping, freight forwarding, customs clearance, shipping agency, and ship brokerage services.  SITC operates in Asia.

Evergreen Marine Corp. (Taiwan) Ltd. transports freight by ships. The Company operates container ships to move freight throughout the world. Evergreen Marine has interests in terminals, airline operations and motor freight transportation, as well as container manufacturing.

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Evergreen Marine Corp (2603 TT)

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 13% One-Way Turnover & US$2.27bn Trade

The ETF could have 5 constituent changes in June. There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 12.6% and a...

Brian Freitas

Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | March Volumes Strong | Q1 Margins Likely Up Y/Y (April 2024)

Container rate momentum remained +ive in March, & we believe carriers' margins probably improved Y/Y in Q124 (despite higher fuel expenses). Our L...

Tracking Traffic

Spot Container Rates Surge | New Fees Also Boosting Carrier Revenue | Increases Could Lift '24 Rates

Spot container rates have surged, and carriers are also benefitting from newly-imposed ancillary charges. It's possible the ongoing conflict in the...

Tracking Traffic

Pair Trade Idea: Short Evergreen Against Long Maersk / ZIM

The divergent performances of container carriers Evergreen, Maersk, and ZIM since Q4 last year suggest a LONG Maersk/ZIM against SHORT Evergreen...

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | LNY Timing, Red Sea Re-Routes Boosted Revenue | (February 2024)

Container shipping price momentum in January jumped on Red Sea re-routes and a Y/Y increase in operating days. We highlight a growing gap between...

Tracking Traffic

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 13% One-Way Turnover & US$2.27bn Trade

The ETF could have 5 constituent changes in June. There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 12.6% and a...

Brian Freitas

Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | March Volumes Strong | Q1 Margins Likely Up Y/Y (April 2024)

Container rate momentum remained +ive in March, & we believe carriers' margins probably improved Y/Y in Q124 (despite higher fuel expenses). Our L...

Tracking Traffic

Spot Container Rates Surge | New Fees Also Boosting Carrier Revenue | Increases Could Lift '24 Rates

Spot container rates have surged, and carriers are also benefitting from newly-imposed ancillary charges. It's possible the ongoing conflict in the...

Tracking Traffic

Pair Trade Idea: Short Evergreen Against Long Maersk / ZIM

The divergent performances of container carriers Evergreen, Maersk, and ZIM since Q4 last year suggest a LONG Maersk/ZIM against SHORT Evergreen...

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | LNY Timing, Red Sea Re-Routes Boosted Revenue | (February 2024)

Container shipping price momentum in January jumped on Red Sea re-routes and a Y/Y increase in operating days. We highlight a growing gap between...

Tracking Traffic

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 13% One-Way Turnover & US$2.27bn Trade