Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

AP Moeller - Maersk A/S / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Maersk's Q1 earnings were solid, despite plummeting container rates and volumes. Annualizing Q1 Net Income would give RoE of about 17%, which is a healthy level, in our view. </li>
<li>Q1 EBITDA of US$4 bn is equivalent to 36% to 50% of full-year guidance, which remains unchanged. Maersk indicated Q1 will likely be its most profitable quarter in 2023.</li>
<li>Maersk's result reinforces our view that container rates are bottoming. A related takeaway is that a slowing goods inflation rate could lose a tailwind it's enjoyed since last October.</li>
</ul>


Maersk's Q1 earnings were solid, despite plummeting container rates and volumes. Annualizing Q1 Net Income would give RoE of about 17%, which is a healthy level, in our view. 
Q1 EBITDA of US$4 bn is equivalent to 36% to 50% of full-year guidance, which remains unchanged. Maersk indicated Q1 will likely be its most profitable quarter in 2023.
Maersk's result reinforces our view that container rates are bottoming. A related takeaway is that a slowing goods inflation rate could lose a tailwind it's enjoyed since last October.


Maersk Q1: Earnings Fine | Guidance Intact | Takeaways for Container Shipping (And Inflation)

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With two weeks left to the cutoff, there could be 5 changes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June.</li>
<li>Apart from the adds/deletes, there will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to an estimated one-way turnover of 13.5% and a one-way trade of US$886m.</li>
<li>There are 9 stocks with at least 5 days ADV to trade from passive trackers and another 12 stocks that have at least 1 day ADV to trade.</li>
</ul>


With two weeks left to the cutoff, there could be 5 changes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June.
Apart from the adds/deletes, there will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to an estimated one-way turnover of 13.5% and a one-way trade of US$886m.
There are 9 stocks with at least 5 days ADV to trade from passive trackers and another 12 stocks that have at least 1 day ADV to trade.


Yuanta/​​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend+ ETF Preview: Two Weeks to Cutoff

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>There have been some changes to my expectations for the TWSE Div+ index June 2023 index changes and capping flows.</li>
<li>I currently see 5 ADDs/DELs. Some of these names are different from the ones I specified in my previous insight.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at my latest flow expectations.</li>
</ul>


There have been some changes to my expectations for the TWSE Div+ index June 2023 index changes and capping flows.
I currently see 5 ADDs/DELs. Some of these names are different from the ones I specified in my previous insight.
In this insight, we take a look at my latest flow expectations.


Quiddity Leaderboard TWSE Div+ Jun 23: New Potential Index Changes and Flow Expectations Update

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of May 5th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD13.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, Mediatek, Wistron, Yang Ming Marine, Unimicron Tech, Largan Precision, Powerchip Semico, Taiwan Mobile.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of May 5th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD13.0bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, Mediatek, Wistron, Yang Ming Marine, Unimicron Tech, Largan Precision, Powerchip Semico, Taiwan Mobile.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (May 5th): Evergreen Marine, Mediatek, Wistron, Yang Ming Marine

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Apr 28th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD12.6bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Unimicron Tech, Evergreen Marine, Taiwan Cement, Polaris, Largan Precision, Micro-Star Intl, King Yuan Elec, Powertech, Hiwin Tech.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Apr 28th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD12.6bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Unimicron Tech, Evergreen Marine, Taiwan Cement, Polaris, Largan Precision, Micro-Star Intl, King Yuan Elec, Powertech, Hiwin Tech.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Apr 28th): Unimicron Tech, Evergreen, Taiwan Cement, Polaris, Largan

Taiwan

Evergreen Marine Corp. (Taiwan) Ltd. transports freight by ships. The Company operates container ships to move freight throughout the world. Evergreen Marine has interests in terminals, airline operations and motor freight transportation, as well as container manufacturing.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Evergreen Marine Corp (2603 TT)

Maersk Q1: Earnings Fine | Guidance Intact | Takeaways for Container Shipping (And Inflation)

Maersk's Q1 result showed a steep Y/Y decline in earnings due to lower rates. But RoE is fine, and the company maintained guidance, which supports...

Tracking Traffic

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Dividend+ ETF Preview: Two Weeks to Cutoff

With 2 weeks to cutoff, we see 5 changes in June. The deletions are fairly clear, but there are a lot of non-constituents crowded around similar...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard TWSE Div+ Jun 23: New Potential Index Changes and Flow Expectations Update

At present, I see 28 inflow names including the five Expected ADDs and 27 outflow names including the five DELs. My latest estimation for one-way...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (May 5th): Evergreen Marine, Mediatek, Wistron, Yang Ming Marine

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, Mediatek, Wistron, Yang Ming...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Apr 28th): Unimicron Tech, Evergreen, Taiwan Cement, Polaris, Largan

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Unimicron Tech, Evergreen Marine, Taiwan Cement,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Maersk Q1: Earnings Fine | Guidance Intact | Takeaways for Container Shipping (And Inflation)

Maersk's Q1 result showed a steep Y/Y decline in earnings due to lower rates. But RoE is fine, and the company maintained guidance, which supports...

Tracking Traffic

Yuanta/​​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend+ ETF Preview: Two Weeks to Cutoff

With 2 weeks to cutoff, we see 5 changes in June. The deletions are fairly clear, but there are a lot of non-constituents crowded around similar...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard TWSE Div+ Jun 23: New Potential Index Changes and Flow Expectations Update

At present, I see 28 inflow names including the five Expected ADDs and 27 outflow names including the five DELs. My latest estimation for one-way...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (May 5th): Evergreen Marine, Mediatek, Wistron, Yang Ming Marine

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, Mediatek, Wistron, Yang Ming...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Apr 28th): Unimicron Tech, Evergreen, Taiwan Cement, Polaris, Largan

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Unimicron Tech, Evergreen Marine, Taiwan Cement,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Dividend+ ETF Preview: Two Weeks to Cutoff