Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<p><strong>Chartonics webcast </strong>Tuesday 27 December 2016</p><div><strong>Risk on DM positioning</strong></div><p>To view click on this link: <strong><a href="https://www.screencast.com/t/pQlYonUpgwN8" target="_blank">https://www.screencast.com/t/pQlYonUpgwN8</a> </strong>7:21 min.</p><div>
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/018/188/original/CPG%20FRONT%20COVER.png?1482805796" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="18188"></figure><div class="content-caption">Equity webcast</div>
</div><div>We allowed for a risk off slide into December 26-27 where we expect the cycle to resume back to bullish. US equities simply traded sideways forming a bullish flag to break higher from. USD strength and bond weakness will resume.</div><div>
<strong>Cycle</strong> - This week we expect lows to be put in place ahead of a risk on run into late January which will benefit US…</div>

Chartonics webcast Tuesday 27 December 2016Risk on DM positioningTo view click on this link: https://www.screencast.com/t/pQlYonUpgwN8 7:21 min.
Equity webcast
We allowed for a risk off slide into December 26-27 where we expect the cycle to resume back to bullish. US equities simply traded sideways forming a bullish flag to break higher from. USD strength and bond weakness will resume.
Cycle - This week we expect lows to be put in place ahead of a risk on run into late January which will benefit US…

<p><strong>Chartonics FX webcast </strong>Friday 16 December 2016</p><p><strong>USD strength on track</strong></p><p>To view click on this link: <strong><a href="https://www.screencast.com/t/ONbjNFN3VSC" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en&amp;q=https://www.screencast.com/t/ONbjNFN3VSC&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1482023945086000&amp;usg=AFQjCNHoHM_jJO9NaqQVNtrO2OA4agWpvQ">https://www.screencast.com/t/ONbjNFN3VSC</a> </strong>10:12 min.</p><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/017/892/original/CPG%20FRONT%20COVER.png?1481937866" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="17892"></figure><div class="content-caption">FX webcast</div><p><strong>DXY </strong>– Clearing 102.10 and push toward 104.15. Immediate projection lies at 103.53. Fed rate hike expected to see the USD carry higher with risk of a sell the fact dollar pullback from higher levels. To date the pattern bull breakout remains valid. 107 is the next major target for early 2017.</p><p><strong>GBP</strong> – Short from 1.29. Sterling break below 1.2512…</p>

Chartonics FX webcast Friday 16 December 2016USD strength on trackTo view click on this link: https://www.screencast.com/t/ONbjNFN3VSC 10:12 min.FX webcastDXY – Clearing 102.10 and push toward 104.15. Immediate projection lies at 103.53. Fed rate hike expected to see the USD carry higher with risk of a sell the fact dollar pullback from higher levels. To date the pattern bull breakout remains valid. 107 is the next major target for early 2017.GBP – Short from 1.29. Sterling break below 1.2512…

FX Strategist

Greg Gibbs

Fundamental analysis of topical themes in FX

Amplifying Global FX Capital

Amplifying Global FX Capital was founded in 2015 and is fully owned by Greg Gibbs. It is a registered company both in Australia and Colorado, USA and is a licensed in Australia to provide financial services.

We are producing a regular trading view orientated macroeconomic analysis of topical themes in global financial markets, with a particular focus on foreign exchange. We invite you to view an “executive summary” of these reports in “AmpGFX Reports” under our “Research” menu.

These reports are drawn from the analysis of Greg Gibbs and inform the capital management he undertakes on behalf of the company. The trading performance is posted periodically on our website. We aim to build our company into both a research and capital management business. We are currently in the planning phase for managing capital for wholesale customers.

Greg Gibbs has spent his working life of more than 26 years in financial markets, beginning in 1989 at the Reserve Bank of Australia, after completing a Bachelor of Economics Degree (Honours) at the Australian National University. He has been a CFA Charterholder since 2005. He has worked in Sydney, Singapore, New York and London for major global banks and presented on foreign exchange markets to major financial institutions and companies around the world, and maintained a high profile in the financial media.

Before Amplifying Global FX Capital, Greg was the Head of Asia Pacific Market Strategy at the Royal Bank of Scotland based Singapore. He now resides in Breckenridge Colorado.

FX & Rates

<p><em>The ECB has effectively implemented a taper…although Draghi won’t call it that.  It softened the blow with a kind of policy twist including a modest fall in </em>short-term<em> rates.  The EUR resolved to the downside after the ECB meeting in what has become an increasingly volatile FX market response to these events.  However, we presume this to be more related to political uncertainty in Europe since the no vote in the Italian referendum and PM Renzi resignation last weekend.  The risk is building for EUR to break below its 1.05 support setting in train a deeper more persistent decline.  AUD has so far held its ground since the shockingly weak GDP data this week, but it too may be building for a deeper fall as its yield advantage declines, global yields rise, and Chinese commodity </em>prices give<em> up some of their recent </em>surge<em>.</em></p>

The ECB has effectively implemented a taper…although Draghi won’t call it that.  It softened the blow with a kind of policy twist including a modest fall in short-term rates.  The EUR resolved to the downside after the ECB meeting in what has become an increasingly volatile FX market response to these events.  However, we presume this to be more related to political uncertainty in Europe since the no vote in the Italian referendum and PM Renzi resignation last weekend.  The risk is building for EUR to break below its 1.05 support setting in train a deeper more persistent decline.  AUD has so far held its ground since the shockingly weak GDP data this week, but it too may be building for a deeper fall as its yield advantage declines, global yields rise, and Chinese commodity prices give up some of their recent surge.

ECB Taper with a Twist, Italian Risks Hover over EUR

<p><strong>Chartonics FX webcast </strong>Monday 5 December 2016</p><p><strong>USD renewed strength</strong></p><p>To view click on this link: <strong><a href="http://www.screencast.com/t/Zw3xRbrzAHfi" target="_blank">http://www.screencast.com/t/Zw3xRbrzAHfi</a> </strong>11:30 min.</p><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/017/255/original/CPG%20FRONT%20COVER.png?1480894870" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="17255"></figure><div class="content-caption">FX webcast</div><p><em> </em></p><p><em>With Italy's no vote coming through we are seeing the Euro break lower with a strong bias to break the all important 1.05 pivot support that would usher in a broader USD rise and induce turns in most EM FX patterns.</em></p><p><strong>DXY </strong>– Push to 102.10 to create a pullback cushion in the event we see a re test of the key 100 breakout zone with 99.89 pivot…</p>

Chartonics FX webcast Monday 5 December 2016USD renewed strengthTo view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/Zw3xRbrzAHfi 11:30 min.FX webcast With Italy's no vote coming through we are seeing the Euro break lower with a strong bias to break the all important 1.05 pivot support that would usher in a broader USD rise and induce turns in most EM FX patterns.DXY – Push to 102.10 to create a pullback cushion in the event we see a re test of the key 100 breakout zone with 99.89 pivot…

USD Renewed Strength to Pressure Asian FX

<p><strong>Chartonics webcast </strong>Thursday 1 December 2016</p><div><strong>Bracing for early December risk off phase</strong></div><p>To view click on this link: <strong><a href="http://www.screencast.com/t/nNOppOUYGp" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en&amp;q=http://www.screencast.com/t/nNOppOUYGp&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1480654826274000&amp;usg=AFQjCNFoeG0NlUnu_Ji5NyI4j-oXq5r9NA">http://www.screencast.com/t/nNOppOUYGp</a> </strong>6:41 min.</p><div>
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/017/124/original/CPG%20FRONT%20COVER.png?1480568526" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="17124"></figure><div class="content-caption">Defensive positioning webcast</div>
</div><div>Base case called for a tactical cycle peak for equities in late November ahead of a risk-off phase in the first half of December per our cycle work and a natural US equity stall led by tech. EM's are in a vulnerable position given a firm USD and firm yield levels (even with a corrective dollar and yield dip)…</div>

Chartonics webcast Thursday 1 December 2016Bracing for early December risk off phaseTo view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/nNOppOUYGp 6:41 min.
Defensive positioning webcast
Base case called for a tactical cycle peak for equities in late November ahead of a risk-off phase in the first half of December per our cycle work and a natural US equity stall led by tech. EM's are in a vulnerable position given a firm USD and firm yield levels (even with a corrective dollar and yield dip)…

Bracing for Early December Risk off Phase - Euro 1.05 Inflection

Germany

The euro is the official currency of the European Economic & Monetary Union. 

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Euro (USDEUR CURNCY)

Risk on DM Positioning

Chartonics webcast Tuesday 27 December 2016Risk on DM positioningTo view click on this link: https://www.screencast.com/t/pQlYonUpgwN8 7:21...

Thomas Schroeder

USD a Core Driver in Asia

Chartonics FX webcast Friday 16 December 2016USD strength on trackTo view click on this link: https://www.screencast.com/t/ONbjNFN3VSC 10:12...

Thomas Schroeder

ECB Taper with a Twist, Italian Risks Hover over EUR

The ECB has effectively implemented a taper…although Draghi won’t call it that. It softened the blow with a kind of policy twist including a...

Greg Gibbs

USD Renewed Strength to Pressure Asian FX

Chartonics FX webcast Monday 5 December 2016USD renewed strengthTo view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/Zw3xRbrzAHfi 11:30...

Thomas Schroeder

Bracing for Early December Risk off Phase - Euro 1.05 Inflection

Chartonics webcast Thursday 1 December 2016Bracing for early December risk off phaseTo view click on this...

Thomas Schroeder

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