Seasonality Watch: Why a Dec hike remains in play
Remember the abysmal numbers seen in the US economy around the year-turn of 2022/2023 and the sharp rebound in numbers into February/March...
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Macro Regime Indicator: Heavy Long in Cyclical FX
We anticipate consistent QT in both USDs and EURs in the forthcoming month. On a 3-month time frame, and given the assumed conditions, our model...
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Positioning Watch: Prepared for a Short Squeeze?
We’re here again on this fine Monday, ready to delve into our take on the market’s current temperature based on the latest Positioning and CFTC data.
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Steno Signals #72 – When a Recession Meets a Melt-Up in Equities and Bonds
The BoJ no longer has a firm guidance towards higher 10yr bond yields, the Fed accepted higher long bond yields as an excuse to pause and economic...
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Portfolio Watch: November Bear Market Rally?
As I am sure you are aware we have been awaiting the exact market move we have seen this week: The long end of the UST curve catching a breather...
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