Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The Euro's high momentum decline post 1.07 break of key support opens the wave for macro weakness after a tactical bounce we see further downside risk to 0.96 and 0.88.</li>
<li>Bear triangulation and the impulse lower shore up the USD's bull posture in Asia and EM.</li>
<li>Buy USD weakness remains our mantra toward DXY 118 and will have a major impact on risk assets into September and then again in Q1 2023.</li>
</ul>


The Euro's high momentum decline post 1.07 break of key support opens the wave for macro weakness after a tactical bounce we see further downside risk to 0.96 and 0.88.
Bear triangulation and the impulse lower shore up the USD's bull posture in Asia and EM.
Buy USD weakness remains our mantra toward DXY 118 and will have a major impact on risk assets into September and then again in Q1 2023.


<ul>
<li>High conviction USD longs were outlined last week and we met or are meeting fresh buy levels with some support re test risk into mid-June.</li>
<li>From mid June the cycle supports higher yields, lower equities and a stronger USD tied to yield and risk aversion.</li>
<li>USD meeting long entry targets vs Euro, (JPY 127) and Sterling. CNH, THB, AUD and NZD have met first tranche USD long levels. USD/INR bull triangle stands out.</li>
</ul>


High conviction USD longs were outlined last week and we met or are meeting fresh buy levels with some support re test risk into mid-June.
From mid June the cycle supports higher yields, lower equities and a stronger USD tied to yield and risk aversion.
USD meeting long entry targets vs Euro, (JPY 127) and Sterling. CNH, THB, AUD and NZD have met first tranche USD long levels. USD/INR bull triangle stands out.


Founder, Market Thinker

Mark Tinker

Founder

Market Thinker

Mark Tinker has over 35 years experience as an investor, market strategist and economist. Having spent more than 20 years as a sell side strategist and being top rated on numerous occasions and surveys he moved to investment management in 2006 to run global equity portfolios in London and subsequently moved to Hong Kong in 2013 to help establish an Investment Management business for a top 20 international asset manager. He first started writing investment weeklies for his employers in 1989, developing a style characterised under the title Market Thinking and has been a regular commentator and presenter on CNBC, Bloomberg and other business channels, where his approach of rationalising market behaviour rather than making short term predictions on high frequency market data provides a welcome balance to his client audience.

Making Sense of the Narrative

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>The market fall this year has been steady and relentless rather than a panic crash, and last month the Sell in May mantra cut through and markets switched to bear market behaviour of selling rallies and not buying dips</li><li>Much of this we believe has been associated with leveraged structures unwinding, combined with fund redemptions, especially in tech, reversing the ‘upside crash’ of last year</li><li>Confidence is picking up slightly, but the Fed is key, in particular the extent to which it actively want the markets lower</li></ul>

The market fall this year has been steady and relentless rather than a panic crash, and last month the Sell in May mantra cut through and markets switched to bear market behaviour of selling rallies and not buying dipsMuch of this we believe has been associated with leveraged structures unwinding, combined with fund redemptions, especially in tech, reversing the ‘upside crash’ of last yearConfidence is picking up slightly, but the Fed is key, in particular the extent to which it actively want the markets lower

Macroeconomic and Investing, The Macro Compass

Alfonso Peccatiello (Alf)

Macroeconomic and Investing

The Macro Compass

Actionable investment ideas and unique global macro insights. From the desk of a former Head of $20 bn Investment Portfolio straight to your inbox.

Actionable Investment Ideas

<ul><li>Investing is all about probabilities: all you need to do is assess the chances markets are assigning to different scenarios today and anticipate how this probability distribution will move over time.</li><li>In other words, you don’t need to be necessarily right on what happens next but just be able to grasp how market consensus will move from here.</li><li>Ignoring this simple principle has been a very expensive exercise for European fixed income investors over the last few weeks: the-ECB-will-never-really-hike mantra is melting under the eyes of bond investors married to a dovish narrative which has been successful for a decade but offers a very bad risk-reward today.</li></ul>

Investing is all about probabilities: all you need to do is assess the chances markets are assigning to different scenarios today and anticipate how this probability distribution will move over time.In other words, you don’t need to be necessarily right on what happens next but just be able to grasp how market consensus will move from here.Ignoring this simple principle has been a very expensive exercise for European fixed income investors over the last few weeks: the-ECB-will-never-really-hike mantra is melting under the eyes of bond investors married to a dovish narrative which has been successful for a decade but offers a very bad risk-reward today.

The Biggest Macro Risk You Might Be Ignoring

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>China eases Covid-19 test rules for air travelers from more countries</li><li>Global investors continue to dump yuan bonds as Treasurys, dollar rise</li><li>Chinese President Xi Jinping pledges to open door wider to world</li></ul>

China eases Covid-19 test rules for air travelers from more countriesGlobal investors continue to dump yuan bonds as Treasurys, dollar riseChinese President Xi Jinping pledges to open door wider to world

CX Daily: China Eases Covid-19 Test Rules for Air Travelers From More Countries

United States

The euro is the official currency of the European Economic & Monetary Union.  The US dollar is the official currency of the United States of America.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

EURO/US DOLLAR (EURUSD CURNCY)

Euro Macro Bear Target and Risk Message

The Euro's high momentum decline post 1.07 break of key support opens the wave for macro weakness after a tactical bounce we see further downside...

Thomas Schroeder

Meeting USD Fresh Long Levels

High conviction USD longs were outlined last week and we met or are meeting fresh buy levels with some support re test risk into mid-June.

Thomas Schroeder

June Market Thinking

Slightly More Confident The market fall this year has been steady and relentless rather than a panic crash, and last month the Sell in May mantra...

Mark Tinker

The Biggest Macro Risk You Might Be Ignoring

Investing is all about probabilities: all you need to do is assess the chances markets are assigning to different scenarios today and anticipate...

Alfonso Peccatiello (Alf)

CX Daily: China Eases Covid-19 Test Rules for Air Travelers From More Countries

China eases Covid-19 test rules for air travelers from more countries. Global investors continue to dump yuan bonds as Treasurys, dollar rise

Caixin Global

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)