External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Scotiabank

Scotiabank

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Scotiabank’s global foreign exchange strategy team provides in-depth regional insights and macro-economic analysis for G10 and advanced economies, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Find technical and fundamental strategy reports focused on trade ideas, market risks, and the unfolding macro outlook. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>The USD is a little softer for a second day running as it continues to edge away from recent range peaks.</li><li>Trading appears light, with markets not particularly incentivized to move the USD significantly higher, or that much lower, while monetary policy prospects remain unclear.</li><li>A slightly firmer yuan, supported by the PBoC setting another strong fixing rate, has added to pressure on the USD somewhat in broad terms. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The USD is a little softer for a second day running as it continues to edge away from recent range peaks.Trading appears light, with markets not particularly incentivized to move the USD significantly higher, or that much lower, while monetary policy prospects remain unclear.A slightly firmer yuan, supported by the PBoC setting another strong fixing rate, has added to pressure on the USD somewhat in broad terms. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Daily - USD Drifts Lower in Quiet Trade

<ul><li>Yesterday’s FOMC failed to deliver the hawkish policy messaging that many in the market feared.</li><li>The policy statement was all but unchanged and the dots continued to reflect a median expectation that rates would drop 75bps this year.</li><li>Longer run rate projections were lifted a little though and the economic projections reflected a bias towards stronger growth and somewhat higher inflation.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Yesterday’s FOMC failed to deliver the hawkish policy messaging that many in the market feared.The policy statement was all but unchanged and the dots continued to reflect a median expectation that rates would drop 75bps this year.Longer run rate projections were lifted a little though and the economic projections reflected a bias towards stronger growth and somewhat higher inflation.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Daily - USD Mixed as CHF Slides on Surprise SNB Rate Cut

<ul><li>The USD is trading firmer across the board against the major currencies and markets generally have a cautious undertone as investors look ahead to the FOMC meeting outcome.</li><li>Stocks are trading lower in Europe and US equity futures are softer. Bonds are marginally better bid, pushing 10Y yields down 1-2bps.</li><li>The JPY is particularly weak, trading at its lowest since 2008 against the EUR and nearing recent, multi-year lows against the USD just under 152.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The USD is trading firmer across the board against the major currencies and markets generally have a cautious undertone as investors look ahead to the FOMC meeting outcome.Stocks are trading lower in Europe and US equity futures are softer. Bonds are marginally better bid, pushing 10Y yields down 1-2bps.The JPY is particularly weak, trading at its lowest since 2008 against the EUR and nearing recent, multi-year lows against the USD just under 152.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Daily - USD Strengthens into Fed Decision

<ul><li>Bullish dollar sentiment has failed to develop significant momentum over the past weeks and the latest snapshot of positioning amongst IMM-based Non-Commercial traders reflects a further pullback in the speculative USD mood.</li><li>Non-Commercial accounts’ exposure to the (net) long USD trade fell USD1.7bn this week to leave the aggregate bull bet on the USD at just USD445mn.</li><li>Additional data showed Real Money (institutional traders) added around USD6bn to their persistent net USD short positioning, however, while Leveraged Accounts (hedge funds) added USD4bn to a still relatively small net USD long. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bullish dollar sentiment has failed to develop significant momentum over the past weeks and the latest snapshot of positioning amongst IMM-based Non-Commercial traders reflects a further pullback in the speculative USD mood.Non-Commercial accounts’ exposure to the (net) long USD trade fell USD1.7bn this week to leave the aggregate bull bet on the USD at just USD445mn.Additional data showed Real Money (institutional traders) added around USD6bn to their persistent net USD short positioning, however, while Leveraged Accounts (hedge funds) added USD4bn to a still relatively small net USD long. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - USD Sentiment Slips into Neutral

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Nordea

Nordea

Nordea is the bank in the Nordics dedicated to serving corporations and institutional customers. Our offering includes a diverse range of financing, cash management and payment services, investment banking, capital markets products, securities services and more. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>The ECB’s new policy framework makes it more likely to succeed with balance-sheet normalisation, leading to steeper curves and tighter asset swap spreads eventually.</li><li>Markets may have been off to a head start, though.</li><li>Today, the ECB published its new policy framework. Near-term implications are mostly in the nitty gritty stuff while the longer-term implication is that the new framework will make it more likely that the ECB can complete policy normalisation without liquidity stress, leaving curves steeper and asset swap spreads tighter.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The ECB’s new policy framework makes it more likely to succeed with balance-sheet normalisation, leading to steeper curves and tighter asset swap spreads eventually.Markets may have been off to a head start, though.Today, the ECB published its new policy framework. Near-term implications are mostly in the nitty gritty stuff while the longer-term implication is that the new framework will make it more likely that the ECB can complete policy normalisation without liquidity stress, leaving curves steeper and asset swap spreads tighter.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

United States

The euro is the official currency of the European Economic & Monetary Union.  The US dollar is the official currency of the United States of America.

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FX Daily - USD Drifts Lower in Quiet Trade

Trading appears light, with markets not particularly incentivized to move the USD significantly higher, or that much lower, while monetary policy...

Scotiabank

FX Daily - USD Mixed as CHF Slides on Surprise SNB Rate Cut

The policy statement was all but unchanged and the dots continued to reflect a median expectation that rates would drop 75bps this year.

Scotiabank

FX Daily - USD Strengthens into Fed Decision

The USD is trading firmer across the board against the major currencies and markets generally have a cautious undertone as investors look ahead to...

Scotiabank

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - USD Sentiment Slips into Neutral

Non-Commercial accounts’ exposure to the (net) long USD trade fell USD1.7bn this week to leave the aggregate bull bet on the USD at just USD445mn.

Scotiabank

EUR Rates: Strategy Review

The ECB’s new policy framework makes it more likely to succeed with balance-sheet normalisation, leading to steeper curves and tighter asset swap...

Nordea

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