External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Scotiabank

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External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Scotiabank’s global foreign exchange strategy team provides in-depth regional insights and macro-economic analysis for G10 and advanced economies, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Find technical and fundamental strategy reports focused on trade ideas, market risks, and the unfolding macro outlook. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>The USD’s rebound from its mid-week low stalled Friday on softer than expected US data reports and a renewed slump in US yields following Fed Chairman Powell comments which failed to dampen speculation of earlier rate cuts.</li><li>Powell’s remark that policy was “well into restrictive territory” appeared to draw most attention while the comment that it was “premature” to rule out more tightening was a weak pushback against increasingly bullish market pricing on yields.</li><li>But price developments so far this week—slightly firmer yields and softer stocks—have encouraged some renewed gains in the USD broadly (ex-Asia FX) as markets turn their focus to this week’s US employment data run (JOLTS tomorrow, ADP Wednesday and NFP on Friday). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The USD’s rebound from its mid-week low stalled Friday on softer than expected US data reports and a renewed slump in US yields following Fed Chairman Powell comments which failed to dampen speculation of earlier rate cuts.Powell’s remark that policy was “well into restrictive territory” appeared to draw most attention while the comment that it was “premature” to rule out more tightening was a weak pushback against increasingly bullish market pricing on yields.But price developments so far this week—slightly firmer yields and softer stocks—have encouraged some renewed gains in the USD broadly (ex-Asia FX) as markets turn their focus to this week’s US employment data run (JOLTS tomorrow, ADP Wednesday and NFP on Friday). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Daily - USD Firmer as Attention Turns to Jobs Data

<ul><li>Traders moved to cut overall USD longs further still in the past week’s CFTC data.</li><li>The prior week’s report showed aggregate, speculative USD longs were effectively halved ahead of Thanksgiving.</li><li>This week’s data shows another, sizeable reduction in net USD longs of USD3.3bn, taking the aggregate USD long held by Non-Commercial (speculative) accounts to just USD1.8bn. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Traders moved to cut overall USD longs further still in the past week’s CFTC data.The prior week’s report showed aggregate, speculative USD longs were effectively halved ahead of Thanksgiving.This week’s data shows another, sizeable reduction in net USD longs of USD3.3bn, taking the aggregate USD long held by Non-Commercial (speculative) accounts to just USD1.8bn. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - Speculative USD Longs Reduced Further

<ul><li>The USD is ending the week and starting the month somewhat on the defensive versus most major currencies although the DXY itself is little changed on the day.</li><li>FX is consolidating yesterday’s broad dollar gains which stalled right on the DXY’s 200-day MA (103.59). US Treasury yields are flat on the day while stocks are trading positively.</li><li>Despite yesterday’s recovery in the USD, headwinds—lower yields specifically but seasonal trends in December and broadly bearish technicals—all suggest more USD softness ahead in the next few weeks and perhaps beyond. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The USD is ending the week and starting the month somewhat on the defensive versus most major currencies although the DXY itself is little changed on the day.FX is consolidating yesterday’s broad dollar gains which stalled right on the DXY’s 200-day MA (103.59). US Treasury yields are flat on the day while stocks are trading positively.Despite yesterday’s recovery in the USD, headwinds—lower yields specifically but seasonal trends in December and broadly bearish technicals—all suggest more USD softness ahead in the next few weeks and perhaps beyond. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Daily - USD Steadies Ahead of Fed Comments

<ul><li>Comments from Fed hawk Waller that he was encouraged by what policymakers had learned recently pressured US yields and the USD yesterday.</li><li>Additional comments on how quickly—hypothetically—rates could fall saw front-end yields rally.</li><li>Waller’s colleague Bowman was a bit more measured in her remarks but markets sense that the Fed cycle is done and focus is shifting to the timing of rate cuts. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Comments from Fed hawk Waller that he was encouraged by what policymakers had learned recently pressured US yields and the USD yesterday.Additional comments on how quickly—hypothetically—rates could fall saw front-end yields rally.Waller’s colleague Bowman was a bit more measured in her remarks but markets sense that the Fed cycle is done and focus is shifting to the timing of rate cuts. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Daily - USD Edges Off Low but Headwinds Remain

<ul><li>FX Market Update—The USD is narrowly mixed against the major currencies in calm trade.</li><li>Global stocks are mostly lower on the session while major bond markets are slightly softer, driving 10Y bond yields a tick or so higher.</li><li>US 10Y bond yields fell some 10bps yesterday, adding to pressure on the USD broadly. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Market Update—The USD is narrowly mixed against the major currencies in calm trade.Global stocks are mostly lower on the session while major bond markets are slightly softer, driving 10Y bond yields a tick or so higher.US 10Y bond yields fell some 10bps yesterday, adding to pressure on the USD broadly. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Daily – USD Mixed but Lower Yields Weigh

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FX Daily - USD Firmer as Attention Turns to Jobs Data

But price developments so far this week—slightly firmer yields and softer stocks—have encouraged some renewed gains in the USD broadly (ex-Asia FX)

Scotiabank

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - Speculative USD Longs Reduced Further

Traders moved to cut overall USD longs further still in the past week’s CFTC data. The prior week’s report showed aggregate, speculative USD longs...

Scotiabank

FX Daily - USD Steadies Ahead of Fed Comments

The USD is ending the week and starting the month somewhat on the defensive versus most major currencies although the DXY itself is little changed...

Scotiabank

FX Daily - USD Edges Off Low but Headwinds Remain

Comments from Fed hawk Waller that he was encouraged by what policymakers had learned recently pressured US yields and the USD yesterday.

Scotiabank

FX Daily – USD Mixed but Lower Yields Weigh

lobal stocks are mostly lower on the session while major bond markets are slightly softer, driving 10Y bond yields a tick or so higher.

Scotiabank

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