IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sabana-industrial-real-estate-investment-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:911:1" rel="noopener">Sabana Industrial REIT (SSREIT SP)</a>’s partial offer from Volare to acquire a maximum of 109.6 million units at S$0.4504 per unit (S$0.465 in cash – S$0.0146 2H2022 distribution) is open.</li>
<li>The offer is conditional on 10% minimum acceptances. Minorities appear willing sellers as both Volare and Quarz increased their unitholding over the last 12 months.  </li>
<li>Quarz is supportive but its intentions are unclear. Based on a proration of 16.70% and at the last close of S$0.420 per unit, the breakeven price is S$0.415 per unit.</li>
</ul>



Sabana Industrial REIT (SSREIT SP)’s partial offer from Volare to acquire a maximum of 109.6 million units at S$0.4504 per unit (S$0.465 in cash – S$0.0146 2H2022 distribution) is open.
The offer is conditional on 10% minimum acceptances. Minorities appear willing sellers as both Volare and Quarz increased their unitholding over the last 12 months.  
Quarz is supportive but its intentions are unclear. Based on a proration of 16.70% and at the last close of S$0.420 per unit, the breakeven price is S$0.415 per unit.


Sabana REIT (SSREIT SP): Volare’s Partial Offer Is Open

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/iqiyi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26755:1" rel="noopener">iQIYI Inc (IQ US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bilibili-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26793:1" rel="noopener">Bilibili Inc (BILI US)</a> placements, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinfast" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36550:1" rel="noopener">VinFast (1905332D VN)</a> continues to pre-market a US$1bn IPO.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - China Internet (810 HK), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-fengxiang-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29164:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Fengxiang (9977 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingston-financial-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3566:1" rel="noopener">Kingston Financial (1031 HK)</a>,  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-fiber-system-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20826:1" rel="noopener">Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/olam-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:765:1" rel="noopener">Olam Group (OLG SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sabana-industrial-real-estate-investment-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:911:1" rel="noopener">Sabana Industrial REIT (SSREIT SP)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - iQIYI Inc (IQ US), Bilibili Inc (BILI US) placements, VinFast (1905332D VN) continues to pre-market a US$1bn IPO.
Event-Driven developments - China Internet (810 HK), Shandong Fengxiang (9977 HK), Kingston Financial (1031 HK),  Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP), Olam Group (OLG SP), Sabana Industrial REIT (SSREIT SP). 


Weekly Deals Digest (22 Dec) - Kingston, Fengxiang, Yashili, Golden Energy, Olam, SSREIT, Warrego

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sabana-industrial-real-estate-investment-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:911:1" rel="noopener">Sabana Industrial REIT (SSREIT SP)</a> disclosed a partial offer from Volare to acquire a maximum of 109.6 million units at $0.465 per unit, a 9.4% premium to the undisturbed price.</li>
<li>The partial offer is conditional on minimum acceptances representing 10.00% of outstanding units. Quarz Capital, the activist fund, says the offer is attractive.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27983:1" rel="noopener">ESR Group (1821 HK)</a>, the sponsor, is unlikely to tender. Based on a proration of 13.54% and at the last close price of S$0.425, the breakeven price is S$0.420.</li>
</ul>



Sabana Industrial REIT (SSREIT SP) disclosed a partial offer from Volare to acquire a maximum of 109.6 million units at $0.465 per unit, a 9.4% premium to the undisturbed price.
The partial offer is conditional on minimum acceptances representing 10.00% of outstanding units. Quarz Capital, the activist fund, says the offer is attractive.

ESR Group (1821 HK), the sponsor, is unlikely to tender. Based on a proration of 13.54% and at the last close price of S$0.425, the breakeven price is S$0.420.


Sabana REIT (SSREIT SP): Partial Offer from Volare

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>In June-July I warned of a reinvestment trade into S-REITs due to the S$2.0-3.0bn cash-out by investors in Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust and sellers into the SPHREIT Chain Offer.</li>
<li>Many investors who would need to re-allocate. The trade was to buy major S-REITs. From my last insight, a basket is up 5.3%. MCT has already topped out vs peers.</li>
<li>The question is.... is there still a trade left to run?</li>
</ul>


In June-July I warned of a reinvestment trade into S-REITs due to the S$2.0-3.0bn cash-out by investors in Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust and sellers into the SPHREIT Chain Offer.
Many investors who would need to re-allocate. The trade was to buy major S-REITs. From my last insight, a basket is up 5.3%. MCT has already topped out vs peers.
The question is.... is there still a trade left to run?


Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Given recent corporate events in S-REIT land, there could be some considerable money to be allocated to the sector near-term</li>
<li>These flows come at a time when prices are down off highs and liquidity is low.</li>
<li>There could be some price impact on certain types of S-REITs near-term.</li>
</ul>


Given recent corporate events in S-REIT land, there could be some considerable money to be allocated to the sector near-term
These flows come at a time when prices are down off highs and liquidity is low.
There could be some price impact on certain types of S-REITs near-term.


Large Potential S-REIT Flows in the Next Two Weeks

Singapore

ESR-LOGOS Real Estate Investment Trust (“ESR-LOGOS REIT”) is a leading New Economy and future-ready Asia Pacific S-REIT. Listed on the Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited since 25 July 2006, ESR-LOGOS REIT invests in quality income-producing industrial properties in key gateway markets.

As at 28 April 2022, ESR-LOGOS REIT holds interests in a diversified portfolio of logistics properties, high-specifications industrial properties, business parks and general industrial properties with total assets of approximately S$5.5 billion. Its portfolio comprises 84 properties located across the developed markets of Singapore (63 assets) and Australia (21 assets), with a total gross floor area of approximately 2.4 million sqm, as well as investments in three property funds in Australia. ESR-LOGOS REIT is also a constituent of the FTSE EPRA Nareit Global Real Estate Index. 

ESR-LOGOS REIT is managed by ESR-LOGOS Funds Management (S) Limited (the “Manager”) and sponsored by the ESR Group (“ESR”). The Manager is owned by ESR (67.3%), Shanghai Summit Pte. Ltd. (25.0%), and Mitsui & Co., Ltd (7.7%), respectively.

For further information on ESR-LOGOS REIT, please visit www.esr-logosreit.com.sg.

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ESR-LOGOS REIT (EREIT SP)

Sabana REIT (SSREIT SP): Volare’s Partial Offer Is Open

The offer is conditional on 10% minimum acceptances. The premium is skinny but minorities appear willing sellers as both Volare and Quarz increased...

Arun George

Weekly Deals Digest (22 Dec) - Kingston, Fengxiang, Yashili, Golden Energy, Olam, SSREIT, Warrego

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Norwest, Origin, Warrego, CIIF, Fengxiang, Kingston, Yashili, Golden Energy, Olam,...

Arun George

Sabana REIT (SSREIT SP): Partial Offer from Volare

The offer is conditional on a 10% min. acceptances. Quarz Capital is supportive. Based on a proration of 13.54% and at the last close price of...

Arun George

Update on the S-REIT Re-Allocation Trade

The S-REIT Re-Allocation Basket is +5.3%(TR) from close after I wrote (25 July) to yesterday. Not enough excess value has traded. Should it run?...

Travis Lundy

Large Potential S-REIT Flows in the Next Two Weeks

There may be a large inflow into S-REITs next week. It could range from 7-25 days of ADV or more for a large number of higher-yielding REITs and...

Travis Lundy

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