Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In June-July I warned of a reinvestment trade into S-REITs due to the S$2.0-3.0bn cash-out by investors in Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust and sellers into the SPHREIT Chain Offer.</li>
<li>Many investors who would need to re-allocate. The trade was to buy major S-REITs. From my last insight, a basket is up 5.3%. MCT has already topped out vs peers.</li>
<li>The question is.... is there still a trade left to run?</li>
</ul>


In June-July I warned of a reinvestment trade into S-REITs due to the S$2.0-3.0bn cash-out by investors in Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust and sellers into the SPHREIT Chain Offer.
Many investors who would need to re-allocate. The trade was to buy major S-REITs. From my last insight, a basket is up 5.3%. MCT has already topped out vs peers.
The question is.... is there still a trade left to run?


Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Headquartered in Singapore, SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia) is an investment bank focusing on emerging growth companies across Asia, providing a full suite of investment banking services, including corporate finance, mergers and acquisitions advisory, equity capital markets, institutional equities sales and trading and equities research.

SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:106" rel="noopener">Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP)</a> 1Q23 Business Updates – VivoCity rebounded strongly, Office assets remained steady</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ascendas-india-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:935" rel="noopener">Ascendas India Trust (AIT SP)</a> 1H22 DPU +2.0% YoY; Strong recovery in occupancy as park population rose</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/first-real-estate-investment-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15848" rel="noopener">First REIT (FIRT SP) </a>2Q22 DPU +1.5% YoY; Boosted by recent acquisition of Japan nursing homes</li></ul>

Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP) 1Q23 Business Updates – VivoCity rebounded strongly, Office assets remained steadyAscendas India Trust (AIT SP) 1H22 DPU +2.0% YoY; Strong recovery in occupancy as park population roseFirst REIT (FIRT SP) 2Q22 DPU +1.5% YoY; Boosted by recent acquisition of Japan nursing homes

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (1Aug22) - MCT Strong Metrics from VivoCity

<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:192" rel="noopener">Keppel REIT (KREIT SP)</a> 1H22 DPU +1.0% YoY; Attractively trading at 17% below book with solid operating metrics</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suntec-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:151" rel="noopener">Suntec REIT (SUN SP)</a> 1H22 DPU +15.8% YoY; Solid performance boosted by retail recovery and office resiliency</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-centrepoint-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2870" rel="noopener">Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT SP)</a> 3Q22 Business Updates – Slight weakness in occupancy despite improvements in tenants’ sales and shopper traffic</li></ul>

Keppel REIT (KREIT SP) 1H22 DPU +1.0% YoY; Attractively trading at 17% below book with solid operating metricsSuntec REIT (SUN SP) 1H22 DPU +15.8% YoY; Solid performance boosted by retail recovery and office resiliencyFrasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT SP) 3Q22 Business Updates – Slight weakness in occupancy despite improvements in tenants’ sales and shopper traffic

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (27Jul22) - KREIT Solid Operating Metrics

Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Given recent corporate events in S-REIT land, there could be some considerable money to be allocated to the sector near-term</li>
<li>These flows come at a time when prices are down off highs and liquidity is low.</li>
<li>There could be some price impact on certain types of S-REITs near-term.</li>
</ul>


Given recent corporate events in S-REIT land, there could be some considerable money to be allocated to the sector near-term
These flows come at a time when prices are down off highs and liquidity is low.
There could be some price impact on certain types of S-REITs near-term.


Large Potential S-REIT Flows in the Next Two Weeks

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

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 <div class='content-caption'>REIT Watch 4 July</div>
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The iEdge S-Reit Index held resilient for the first half of 2022, generating flat total returns compared to the FTSE EPRA Nareit Developed Index (a benchmark for global Reits) which declined 18 per cent.

During the period, the S-Reits and property trusts sector in Singapore saw S$359 million of net institutional outflows and S$447 million of net retail inflows.

Hospitality was the best performing sub-segment in H1 2022. The 5 hospitality trusts averaged 17 per cent total returns and garnered S$62 million of net institutional inflows.

Aside from hospitality trusts, diversified S-Reits and some industrial and retail S-Reits were also among the top performing S-Reits in the first half of 2022. The 9 trusts which outperformed the broader iEdge S-Reit Index in H1 2022 include Frasers Hospitality Trust (+52.2 per cent), Ascott Residence Trust (+12.5 per cent), Far East Hospitality Trust (+11.3 per cent), CDL Hospitality Trusts (+11.3 per cent), Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (+11.2 per cent), Suntec Reit (+10.3 per cent), CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (+6.6 per cent), Sabana Industrial Reit (+5.9 per cent) and Frasers Centrepoint Trust (+1.7 per cent).

Lendlease Global Commercial Reit was the only S-Reit which received both net institutional and retail inflows for the first half of 2022. It saw S$5 million of net institutional inflows and S$11 million of net retail inflows.

While the first quarter of the year was largely driven by hospitality trusts and the reopening theme, performance was mixed in Q2 2022. The 5 best performing trusts in Q2 2022 include Frasers Hospitality Trust (+32.3 per cent), ParkwayLife Reit (+3.6 per cent), Lendlease Global Commercial Reit (+2.6 per cent), Dasin Retail Trust (+1.6 per cent) and Ascott Residence Trust (+0.9 per cent).

The iEdge S-Reit Index dipped 1.3 per cent in total returns in Q2 2022 while the sector as a whole saw S$173 million of net institutional outflows and S$282 million of net retail inflows. ESR-Logos Reit was the only S-Reit which received both net institutional and retail inflows for Q1 2022. It saw S$2 million of net institutional inflows and S$10 million of net retail inflows.

Inflows into the 5 SGX-listed Reit exchange traded funds (ETFs) hit a record in June 2022, with S$60 million of inflows over the month. This topped the previous record inflow of S$34 million in March 2020, near the start of the Covid-19 pandemic. Across H1 2022, the 5 ETFs received S$113 million of inflows and saw combined asset under management (AUM) rising S$63 million, hitting S$874 million as at end June. 

REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times, <a href="https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/s-reits-shelter-from-the-storm-in-h1-2022">read </a>the original version.
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    REIT Watch 4 July


The iEdge S-Reit Index held resilient for the first half of 2022, generating flat total returns compared to the FTSE EPRA Nareit Developed Index (a benchmark for global Reits) which declined 18 per cent.

During the period, the S-Reits and property trusts sector in Singapore saw S$359 million of net institutional outflows and S$447 million of net retail inflows.

Hospitality was the best performing sub-segment in H1 2022. The 5 hospitality trusts averaged 17 per cent total returns and garnered S$62 million of net institutional inflows.

Aside from hospitality trusts, diversified S-Reits and some industrial and retail S-Reits were also among the top performing S-Reits in the first half of 2022. The 9 trusts which outperformed the broader iEdge S-Reit Index in H1 2022 include Frasers Hospitality Trust (+52.2 per cent), Ascott Residence Trust (+12.5 per cent), Far East Hospitality Trust (+11.3 per cent), CDL Hospitality Trusts (+11.3 per cent), Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (+11.2 per cent), Suntec Reit (+10.3 per cent), CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (+6.6 per cent), Sabana Industrial Reit (+5.9 per cent) and Frasers Centrepoint Trust (+1.7 per cent).

Lendlease Global Commercial Reit was the only S-Reit which received both net institutional and retail inflows for the first half of 2022. It saw S$5 million of net institutional inflows and S$11 million of net retail inflows.

While the first quarter of the year was largely driven by hospitality trusts and the reopening theme, performance was mixed in Q2 2022. The 5 best performing trusts in Q2 2022 include Frasers Hospitality Trust (+32.3 per cent), ParkwayLife Reit (+3.6 per cent), Lendlease Global Commercial Reit (+2.6 per cent), Dasin Retail Trust (+1.6 per cent) and Ascott Residence Trust (+0.9 per cent).

The iEdge S-Reit Index dipped 1.3 per cent in total returns in Q2 2022 while the sector as a whole saw S$173 million of net institutional outflows and S$282 million of net retail inflows. ESR-Logos Reit was the only S-Reit which received both net institutional and retail inflows for Q1 2022. It saw S$2 million of net institutional inflows and S$10 million of net retail inflows.

Inflows into the 5 SGX-listed Reit exchange traded funds (ETFs) hit a record in June 2022, with S$60 million of inflows over the month. This topped the previous record inflow of S$34 million in March 2020, near the start of the Covid-19 pandemic. Across H1 2022, the 5 ETFs received S$113 million of inflows and saw combined asset under management (AUM) rising S$63 million, hitting S$874 million as at end June. 

REIT Watch is a weekly column on The Business Times, read the original version.



REIT Watch - S-Reits - shelter from the storm in H1 2022

Singapore

ESR-LOGOS Real Estate Investment Trust (“ESR-LOGOS REIT”) is a leading New Economy and future-ready Asia Pacific S-REIT. Listed on the Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited since 25 July 2006, ESR-LOGOS REIT invests in quality income-producing industrial properties in key gateway markets.

As at 28 April 2022, ESR-LOGOS REIT holds interests in a diversified portfolio of logistics properties, high-specifications industrial properties, business parks and general industrial properties with total assets of approximately S$5.5 billion. Its portfolio comprises 84 properties located across the developed markets of Singapore (63 assets) and Australia (21 assets), with a total gross floor area of approximately 2.4 million sqm, as well as investments in three property funds in Australia. ESR-LOGOS REIT is also a constituent of the FTSE EPRA Nareit Global Real Estate Index. 

ESR-LOGOS REIT is managed by ESR-LOGOS Funds Management (S) Limited (the “Manager”) and sponsored by the ESR Group (“ESR”). The Manager is owned by ESR (67.3%), Shanghai Summit Pte. Ltd. (25.0%), and Mitsui & Co., Ltd (7.7%), respectively.

For further information on ESR-LOGOS REIT, please visit www.esr-logosreit.com.sg.

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ESR-LOGOS REIT (EREIT SP)

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Large Potential S-REIT Flows in the Next Two Weeks

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Travis Lundy

REIT Watch - S-Reits - shelter from the storm in H1 2022

The iEdge S-Reit Index held resilient for the first half of 2022, generating flat total returns compared to the FTSE EPRA...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

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