External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

Escorts Kubota Limited / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In the backdrop of the company’s positive long-term fundamentals, we value the stock at 24x FY26EPS (earlier 22x FY26E EPS).</li><li>However, in the short term, domestic and export demand for the tractor industry will be under pressure and the construction equipment industry will also witness uncertainty.</li><li>Hence, awaiting more clarity, we maintain our HOLD rating on the stock with a limited upside potential of 2% from the CMP. We suggest a ‘BUY on DIP’ strategy for the stock</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In the backdrop of the company’s positive long-term fundamentals, we value the stock at 24x FY26EPS (earlier 22x FY26E EPS).However, in the short term, domestic and export demand for the tractor industry will be under pressure and the construction equipment industry will also witness uncertainty.Hence, awaiting more clarity, we maintain our HOLD rating on the stock with a limited upside potential of 2% from the CMP. We suggest a ‘BUY on DIP’ strategy for the stockContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Escorts Kubota Ltd - Strong Q4 EBITDA Margins Led by Growth in the CE Business

<ul><li>Escorts Kubota Ltd. (EKL) reported revenue of Rs 2,342 Cr (up 2%/14% YoY/QoQ), a slight miss on our estimates by 3% on lower-than-expected growth in the RED segment (temporary phenomenon).</li><li>The company’s EBITDA stood at Rs 314 Cr (up 64%/21% YoY/QoQ) inline with our estimates. EBITDA Margins (up ~507/76 bps YoY/QoQ) beat our estimates by 57 bps,mainly on account of higher ASP along with lower personnel and other expenses.</li><li>The company reported Adjusted PAT of ~Rs 284 Cr (up 57%/27% YoY/QoQ), inline with our estimates (1% beat) led by higher share of profit from associates.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Escorts Kubota Ltd. (EKL) reported revenue of Rs 2,342 Cr (up 2%/14% YoY/QoQ), a slight miss on our estimates by 3% on lower-than-expected growth in the RED segment (temporary phenomenon).The company’s EBITDA stood at Rs 314 Cr (up 64%/21% YoY/QoQ) inline with our estimates. EBITDA Margins (up ~507/76 bps YoY/QoQ) beat our estimates by 57 bps,mainly on account of higher ASP along with lower personnel and other expenses.The company reported Adjusted PAT of ~Rs 284 Cr (up 57%/27% YoY/QoQ), inline with our estimates (1% beat) led by higher share of profit from associates.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Escorts Kubota Ltd - Q3: Strong EBITDA Margins; Muted Agri Business in the Short Term

<ul><li>Escorts Kubota Ltd. (EKL) reported revenue of Rs 2,059 Cr (up 9% YoY but down 12.6%QoQ) in Q2FY24, a slight miss on our estimates by 2% on lower-than-expected growth in the RED segment.</li><li>The company’s EBITDA stood at Rs 261 Cr (up 75% YoY but down 21% QoQ) and missed our estimates by 4%. EBITDA Margins (up ~476bps YoY but down 140bps QoQ) missed our estimates by 32bps, mainly on account of higher personnel expenses.</li><li>The company reported Adjusted PAT of ~Rs 223 Cr (up 47% YoY but down 23% QoQ), missing our estimates by 8%. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Escorts Kubota Ltd. (EKL) reported revenue of Rs 2,059 Cr (up 9% YoY but down 12.6%QoQ) in Q2FY24, a slight miss on our estimates by 2% on lower-than-expected growth in the RED segment.The company’s EBITDA stood at Rs 261 Cr (up 75% YoY but down 21% QoQ) and missed our estimates by 4%. EBITDA Margins (up ~476bps YoY but down 140bps QoQ) missed our estimates by 32bps, mainly on account of higher personnel expenses.The company reported Adjusted PAT of ~Rs 223 Cr (up 47% YoY but down 23% QoQ), missing our estimates by 8%. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Escorts Kubota Ltd - Operational Efficiencies To Drive Bottomline; Maintain BUY

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Jun’24 Wholesale Volumes: The domestic PV sales (Exhibit-2) grew by 5% YoY (down 3% MoM), largely led by strong domestic SUV volumes across Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) , which were partly offset by weakness in entry-level cars.</li><li>The domestic 2W industry (excl HMSI) witnessed volume growth of ~11% YoY (down 3% MoM) led by rural recovery; however exports declined 4% YoY (down 9% MoM) respectively.</li><li>The domestic CV industry sales degrew by ~4% YoY (up 6% MoM) mainly due to lower LCV and MHCV goods carrier volumes being partly set off by high industry volume for buses. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Jun’24 Wholesale Volumes: The domestic PV sales (Exhibit-2) grew by 5% YoY (down 3% MoM), largely led by strong domestic SUV volumes across Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) , which were partly offset by weakness in entry-level cars.The domestic 2W industry (excl HMSI) witnessed volume growth of ~11% YoY (down 3% MoM) led by rural recovery; however exports declined 4% YoY (down 9% MoM) respectively.The domestic CV industry sales degrew by ~4% YoY (up 6% MoM) mainly due to lower LCV and MHCV goods carrier volumes being partly set off by high industry volume for buses. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 42.3% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 32bn (US$384m). There are 13 stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade, mostly on the deletes.</li>
<li>After steady outperformance over the last few months, there was a selloff in momentum names following the announcement of the election results. There has been a recovery since then.</li>
</ul>


There are 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.
Estimated one-way turnover is 42.3% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 32bn (US$384m). There are 13 stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade, mostly on the deletes.
After steady outperformance over the last few months, there was a selloff in momentum names following the announcement of the election results. There has been a recovery since then.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 13 Changes, 42% Turnover, Momentum Recovers After Selloff

India

Escorts Kubota Limited is among India's leading engineering conglomerates, operating in the high growth sectors of Agri Machinery, Material Handling, Construction Equipment and Railway Equipment. The Group has earned the trust of over 5 million customers by way of product and process innovations over seven decades.

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Escorts Kubota Limited (ESCORTS IN)

Escorts Kubota Ltd - Strong Q4 EBITDA Margins Led by Growth in the CE Business

Hence, awaiting more clarity, we maintain our HOLD rating on the stock with a limited upside potential of 2% from the CMP. We suggest a ‘BUY on...

Axis Direct

Escorts Kubota Ltd - Q3: Strong EBITDA Margins; Muted Agri Business in the Short Term

The company reported Adjusted PAT of ~Rs 284 Cr (up 57%/27% YoY/QoQ), inline with our estimates (1% beat) led by higher share of profit from...

Axis Direct

Escorts Kubota Ltd - Operational Efficiencies To Drive Bottomline; Maintain BUY

Escorts Kubota Ltd. (EKL) reported revenue of Rs 2,059 Cr (up 9% YoY but down 12.6%QoQ) in Q2FY24, a slight miss on our estimates by 2% on lower...

Axis Direct

Auto Monthly Volume - June 2024

The domestic PV sales (Exhibit-2) grew by 5% YoY (down 3% MoM), largely led by strong domestic SUV volumes across Original Equipment Manufacturers...

Axis Direct

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 13 Changes, 42% Turnover, Momentum Recovers After Selloff

There are 13 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index. Estimated one-way turnover is 42.3% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 32bn. The adds...

Brian Freitas

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