Founder Evidente. Top rated quantitative analyst, Evidente

Sam Ferraro

Founder Evidente. Top rated quantitative analyst

Evidente

Evidente is an independent financial education firm that delivers innovative financial advice to wholesale investors, including active long only funds, hedge funds, pension funds, and sovereign wealth funds, in Australia and globally.  Drawing on academic research in asset pricing, behavioural finance and portfolio construction, Evidente provides wholesale investors with commercial solutions to stock selection and asset allocation decisions across equities and other asset classes.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Annualised volatility in the S&amp;P500 spiked to 27% in August, its highest level since November 2011. &nbsp;Nonetheless, the 6 month moving average of volatility of 14% remains broadly in line with historical trends over the sweep of the past 45 years.</li><li>The positive surprise on 2Q US real GDP concealed the five year long stall in nominal GDP growth.&nbsp; The US Federal Reserve&rsquo;s unwillingness to combat disinflation has contributed to the growth stall.&nbsp; Investors remain unnerved by the Fed&rsquo;s willingness to tighten monetary policy at a time when inflation continues to undershoot its 2% target.</li><li>I expect financial market volatility to remain high until the Fed more clearly enunciates the goals of monetary policy and why it remains indifferent to achieving its inflation target.</li><li>In Australia, the poor 2Q capex survey confirmed that the economy is on the precipice of a 20% slump in business investment in FY2015/16.&nbsp; The long and drawn out transition from mining to non-mining capex continues to weigh on growth and frustrate the RBA.&nbsp; In my view, the re-balancing of growth will need an assist from further monetary stimulus.</li></ul>

Annualised volatility in the S&amp;P500 spiked to 27% in August, its highest level since November 2011. &nbsp;Nonetheless, the 6 month moving average of volatility of 14% remains broadly in line with historical trends over the sweep of the past 45 years.The positive surprise on 2Q US real GDP concealed the five year long stall in nominal GDP growth.&nbsp; The US Federal Reserve&rsquo;s unwillingness to combat disinflation has contributed to the growth stall.&nbsp; Investors remain unnerved by the Fed&rsquo;s willingness to tighten monetary policy at a time when inflation continues to undershoot its 2% target.I expect financial market volatility to remain high until the Fed more clearly enunciates the goals of monetary policy and why it remains indifferent to achieving its inflation target.In Australia, the poor 2Q capex survey confirmed that the economy is on the precipice of a 20% slump in business investment in FY2015/16.&nbsp; The long and drawn out transition from mining to non-mining capex continues to weigh on growth and frustrate the RBA.&nbsp; In my view, the re-balancing of growth will need an assist from further monetary stimulus.

United States

Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. is a global and diversified consumer products company and a supplier of consumer batteries, residential locksets, residential builders' hardware, faucets, shaving and grooming products, personal care products, small household appliances, specialty pet supplies, lawn and garden and home pest control products, and personal insect repellents.

Central Garden & Pet Company supplies consumer lawn and garden and pet supply products.  The Company's products are sold under brand names such as Pennington Seed, Zodiac, Four Paws, Island, and Grant's.  Central also offers value-added services, including inventory management, advertising and promotional programs, in-store service, and sales program development.

WD-40 Company manufactures and markets multi-purpose lubricant products and heavy-duty hand cleaners.  The Company's WD-40 acts as a lubricant, rust preventative, penetrant, cleaner, and moisture displacer.  WD-40's 3-IN-ONE Oil is a drip oil lubricant that allows precise application. The Company also manufactures Lava heavy-duty hand cleaner and other household cleaning products.

Oil-Dri Corporation of America develops, manufactures, and markets sorbent products.  The Company's products, consisting primarily of cat litter, are used in the consumer, fluids purification, agricultural, industrial and automotive markets.  They are sold through the grocery products industry, mass merchandisers, warehouse clubs, and pet specialty retail outlets.

Edgewell Personal Care Co., manufactures and markets a diversified range of personal care  products in the wet shave, skin care, feminine care and infant care categories.  The Companies products include shaving systems and disposable razors, feminine care products, sun care products, infant feeding, gloves and moist wipes.

Herbalife Ltd. is a global nutrition company that sells weight management, healthy meals and snacks, sports and fitness, energy and targeted nutritional products as well as personal care products. The Company distributes and sells its products through a network of independent distributors, using the direct selling channel.

USANA Health Sciences, Inc. develops, manufactures, and markets nutritionals, personal care, and weight management products.  The Company's products are sold directly to preferred customers and distributors throughout the United States, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, and Hong Kong.

Nu Skin Enterprises, Inc. is a global direct selling company.  The Company distributes premium quality personal care products and nutritional supplements. Nu Skin markets its products in the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific region.  The Company provides marketing and distribution of technology-based products through Big Planet, Inc.

Inter Parfums, Inc. manufactures, markets, and distributes a wide array of fragrances and fragrance related products. The Company's European-based operations produce and distribute prestige fragrance products primarily under license with brand owners. It's U.S.-based operations primarily produce and sell fragrance and personal care products under several specialty retail brands.

Nature's Sunshine Products, Inc. manufactures and distributes nutritional and personal care products.  The Company's products include herbal products, vitamins, homeopathics, oils and lotions, aloe vera gel, herbal shampoo, toothpaste, and skin cleanser.  Nature's Sunshine markets its products in the United States and internationally.

Jyothy Laboratories Limited develops and manufactures household products.

Lion Corporation manufactures a variety of household products such as toothpaste and detergents. The Company also produces pharmaceuticals, chemical products, and seasonings.  Lion sells its products primarily in Asia.

Nafine Chemical Industry Group Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells a variety of chemical products.  The Company's products include laundry detergents, Glauber's salt, alkali sulfides, and fertilizers.

Duc Giang Chemicals And Detergent Powder Joint Stock Company primarily produces and sells detergents powder and liquids, and chemical raw materials and commodity chemicals in Vietnam. Its products include mono ammonium phosphate, axetone, Duc Giang detergent powder, soffy fabric softener, and yellow phosphorus. It also engages in manufacturing and trading other chemical products, such as H3PO4, pharmaceutical, purity chemicals, and engineering chemicals. The company is based in Hanoi, Vietnam.

PIGEON CORPORATION manufactures and sells baby care goods.  The Company also produces maternity and elder care products.

C&S Paper Company Limited researches, develops, manufactures and sells consumer tissue. The Company's main products include tissue rolls, paper handkerchiefs, boxed tissues and soft pumping paper.

Shanghai Feilo Acoustics Co Ltd primarily engages in the manufacture and distribution of lighting equipment. The Company also produces musical equipment and provides acoustics technology consulting service.

Shanghai Feilo Acoustics Co., (600651 CH)

Vinda International Holdings Limited manufactures tissue paper products in China.

Lonkey Industrial Co., Ltd., Guangzhou manufactures and markets detergents, soaps, and other cleaning products for household use.  The Company also manufactures sulphonic acid, glycerine, and other chemical materials for industrial use.

PZ Cussons plc is a holding company.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company manufactures soaps, detergents, toiletries, pharmaceuticals, refrigerators, and air conditioners.  PZ Cussons also sells and merchandises its products in the United Kingdom, Greece, Africa, Australia, Indonesia, and Thailand.

Energizer Holdings, Inc. manufactures dry cell batteries and flashlights. The Company offers a full line of products, including alkaline, carbon zinc, miniature, and rechargeable batteries, as well as lighting products. Energizer also manufactures and markets a range of razor and shave related products on a global basis.

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Energizer Holdings (ENR US)

Weekly Impressions

Annualised volatility in the S&P500 spiked to 27% in August, its highest level since November 2011. Nonetheless, the 6 month moving average...

Sam Ferraro

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