IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<div><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kanzhun-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33368:1" rel="noopener">Kanzhun (BZ US)</a> is the largest online recruitment platform in China, as measured by the average MAU in 2020, according to CIC. Its BOSS Zhipin mobile app connects job seekers and enterprise users. </div><div>
At the mid-point of the proposed IPO price range of $17.00-19.00 per ADS, Kanzhun will have a market cap of $7.2 billion. At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the net proceeds are $817.2 million. New and existing shareholders have indicated a total of $375 million of the IPO (43.4% of the ADSs at the mid-point of the IPO price range). The indications of interest from new investors are from UBS Asset Management ($100 million), GIC ($100 million) and Mubadala Investment ($75 million). The indications of interest from existing investors are from Sequoia Capital and Tiger Global.
In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kanzhun-ipo-initiation-search-and-employ" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:51969" rel="noopener">Kanzhun IPO Initiation: Search and Employ</a>, we opined that Kanzhun’s strong growth in users and fast-paced revenue growth suggests another “growth at all costs” strategy. Encouragingly, the high revenue visibility, declining loss margin and cash generation suggest that Kanzhun can eventually deliver this growth profitability. We concluded that the Kanzhun story warrants a closer look. In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kanzhun-ipo-growth-margin-trade-off-vs-peers" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:52333" rel="noopener">Kanzhun IPO: Growth/Margin Trade-Off Vs Peers</a>, we opined that Kanzhun provides growth and revenue visibility vs margin and cash generation trade-off in comparison to its listed peers. 
<div class="content-highlight">In this note, we present our forecasts and valuation analysis. On a relative valuation basis and at the IPO price range, Kanzhun is fairly valued on growth adjusted EV/Sales multiples (an EV/Sales/Growth basis). Our base-case DCF value is $20.84 per ADS which is a 16% upside to the mid-point of the IPO price range. For investors willing to brave the risk that the current market selloff in high growth stocks persists, we think that the IPO price range is attractive. </div>
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Kanzhun (BZ US) is the largest online recruitment platform in China, as measured by the average MAU in 2020, according to CIC. Its BOSS Zhipin mobile app connects job seekers and enterprise users. 
At the mid-point of the proposed IPO price range of $17.00-19.00 per ADS, Kanzhun will have a market cap of $7.2 billion. At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the net proceeds are $817.2 million. New and existing shareholders have indicated a total of $375 million of the IPO (43.4% of the ADSs at the mid-point of the IPO price range). The indications of interest from new investors are from UBS Asset Management ($100 million), GIC ($100 million) and Mubadala Investment ($75 million). The indications of interest from existing investors are from Sequoia Capital and Tiger Global.
In Kanzhun IPO Initiation: Search and Employ, we opined that Kanzhun’s strong growth in users and fast-paced revenue growth suggests another “growth at all costs” strategy. Encouragingly, the high revenue visibility, declining loss margin and cash generation suggest that Kanzhun can eventually deliver this growth profitability. We concluded that the Kanzhun story warrants a closer look. In Kanzhun IPO: Growth/Margin Trade-Off Vs Peers, we opined that Kanzhun provides growth and revenue visibility vs margin and cash generation trade-off in comparison to its listed peers. 
In this note, we present our forecasts and valuation analysis. On a relative valuation basis and at the IPO price range, Kanzhun is fairly valued on growth adjusted EV/Sales multiples (an EV/Sales/Growth basis). Our base-case DCF value is $20.84 per ADS which is a 16% upside to the mid-point of the IPO price range. For investors willing to brave the risk that the current market selloff in high growth stocks persists, we think that the IPO price range is attractive. 


Research from Asian Century Stocks, Asian Century Stocks

Michael Fritzell

Research from Asian Century Stocks

Providing financial journalism in the Asia-Pacific

Asian Century Stocks

Asian Century Stocks is a newsletter providing financial journalism for companies and stocks in the Asia-Pacific. 
The Asian Century Stocks logotype “百” stands for “one hundred” or a “century”. The economic centre of gravity is moving towards Asia. Yet most global investors are missing out.

Equity Bottom-Up

En-Japan (4849 JP) is a Japanese online recruitment company.
It owns a large and growing platform for job advertisements, with a user-generated company review system that is the strongest in Japan by a factor of 10x. What makes the company stand out is its Amazon-like focus on doing what’s right for the user - seeking long-term satisfaction not just for their corporate clients but also for job seekers.

En-Japan (4849 JP) is a Japanese online recruitment company.
It owns a large and growing platform for job advertisements, with a user-generated company review system that is the strongest in Japan by a factor of 10x. What makes the company stand out is its Amazon-like focus on doing what’s right for the user - seeking long-term satisfaction not just for their corporate clients but also for job seekers. 

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kanzhun-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33368:1" rel="noopener">Kanzhun (BZ US)</a> is the largest online recruitment platform in China, as measured by the average monthly active users (MAU) in 2020, according to CIC. Its BOSS Zhipin mobile app connects job seekers and enterprise users as is positioned in the mid-to-high-end segment (white and gold-collar users) compared to local peers.Kanzhun is backed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> (12.2% of outstanding shares), Banyan Partners (9.4%), Coatue Management (7.8%), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goldman-sachs-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:785:1" rel="noopener">Goldman Sachs Group (GS US)</a> (7.3%), Sequoia Capital and Tiger Global. Kanzhun has filed for a Nasdaq IPO to raise proceeds of $800 million, according to press reports.  Kanzhun is a play on the gradual shift of the China recruitment service market to online platforms. China’s online recruitment market size as measured by revenue is forecasted to increase from RMB55.1 billion in 2020 to RMB223.4 billion in 2025 (CAGR of 32.3%), according to CIC. The penetration rate of online recruitment to the total market is forecasted to increase from 32% in 2020 to 50% in 2025, according to CIC.<div class="content-highlight">
Kanzhun is well-positioned to benefit from this sizeable market opportunity, in our view. At first sight, the strong growth in users and fast-paced revenue growth but ongoing losses suggests another “growth at all costs” strategy. In comparison, local listed peers such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/51-job-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:532:1" rel="noopener">51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wise-talent-information-tech" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27177:1" rel="noopener">Wise Talent Information Tech (6100 HK)</a> are growing much slower but are profitable.
Encouragingly, Kanzhun's high revenue visibility and declining loss margin suggest that Kanzhun can eventually deliver high growth with profits. The upfront payment model of the online recruitment market means that like its peers, Kanzhun is cash generative. For investors willing to brave the current market selloff in high growth stocks, we think that the Kanzhun story warrants a closer look.  
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Kanzhun (BZ US) is the largest online recruitment platform in China, as measured by the average monthly active users (MAU) in 2020, according to CIC. Its BOSS Zhipin mobile app connects job seekers and enterprise users as is positioned in the mid-to-high-end segment (white and gold-collar users) compared to local peers.Kanzhun is backed by Tencent (700 HK) (12.2% of outstanding shares), Banyan Partners (9.4%), Coatue Management (7.8%), Goldman Sachs Group (GS US) (7.3%), Sequoia Capital and Tiger Global. Kanzhun has filed for a Nasdaq IPO to raise proceeds of $800 million, according to press reports.  Kanzhun is a play on the gradual shift of the China recruitment service market to online platforms. China’s online recruitment market size as measured by revenue is forecasted to increase from RMB55.1 billion in 2020 to RMB223.4 billion in 2025 (CAGR of 32.3%), according to CIC. The penetration rate of online recruitment to the total market is forecasted to increase from 32% in 2020 to 50% in 2025, according to CIC.
Kanzhun is well-positioned to benefit from this sizeable market opportunity, in our view. At first sight, the strong growth in users and fast-paced revenue growth but ongoing losses suggests another “growth at all costs” strategy. In comparison, local listed peers such as 51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US) and Wise Talent Information Tech (6100 HK) are growing much slower but are profitable.
Encouragingly, Kanzhun's high revenue visibility and declining loss margin suggest that Kanzhun can eventually deliver high growth with profits. The upfront payment model of the online recruitment market means that like its peers, Kanzhun is cash generative. For investors willing to brave the current market selloff in high growth stocks, we think that the Kanzhun story warrants a closer look.  


Kanzhun IPO Initiation: Search and Employ

APAC IPOs & Placements

Zhen Zhou, Toh

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/visional-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32977:1" rel="noopener">Visional Inc (4194 JP)</a> raised US$609m at JPY5,000 per share, the top-end of its IPO price range.
Visional Inc. is a human resources (HR) technology company based in Japan. The company operates BizReach, an online recruiting platform that helps to connect professional job seekers to direct employers and third-party recruiters. It also offers HRMOS, which is a cloud-based human capital management (HCM) platform.
We have previously covered the IPO in:
<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/visional-inc-ipo-pricey-hire" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:50114" rel="noopener">Visional Inc IPO - Pricey Hire</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/visional-inc-ipo-good-vision-muddled-by-dilution-and-selling-shareholders" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:50086" rel="noopener">Visional Inc IPO - Good Vision Muddled by Dilution and Selling Shareholders</a> </li>
</ul>
In this note, I'll look at the deal dynamics and provide a table with implied valuation at different share price levels.

Visional Inc (4194 JP) raised US$609m at JPY5,000 per share, the top-end of its IPO price range.
Visional Inc. is a human resources (HR) technology company based in Japan. The company operates BizReach, an online recruiting platform that helps to connect professional job seekers to direct employers and third-party recruiters. It also offers HRMOS, which is a cloud-based human capital management (HCM) platform.
We have previously covered the IPO in:


Visional Inc IPO - Pricey Hire 

Visional Inc IPO - Good Vision Muddled by Dilution and Selling Shareholders 

In this note, I'll look at the deal dynamics and provide a table with implied valuation at different share price levels.

Visional Inc IPO Trading Update - Good Demand, Small Upside Based on SOTP

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/visional-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32977:1" rel="noopener">Visional Inc (4194 JP)</a> is looking to raise up to US$609m in its Japan IPO.Visional Inc. is a human resources (HR) technology company based in Japan. The company operates BizReach, an online recruiting platform that helps to connect professional job seekers to direct employers and third-party recruiters. It also offers HRMOS, which is a cloud-based human capital management (HCM) platform.In this note, we share our thoughts on assumptions, valuation, and deal dynamics.

Visional Inc (4194 JP) is looking to raise up to US$609m in its Japan IPO.Visional Inc. is a human resources (HR) technology company based in Japan. The company operates BizReach, an online recruiting platform that helps to connect professional job seekers to direct employers and third-party recruiters. It also offers HRMOS, which is a cloud-based human capital management (HCM) platform.In this note, we share our thoughts on assumptions, valuation, and deal dynamics.

Japan

en-japan inc. provides Internet-based recruiting solutions. The Company provides recruitment information for job seekers. en-japan's web site allows member employers to access its database of job seekers. The Company also provides recruitment consulting services.

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en Japan Inc (4849 JP)

Kanzhun IPO: Valuation Insights

At the mid-point, Kanzhun will raise net proceeds of $817.2 m. For investors willing to brave the risk that the market selloff in high growth...

Arun George

Long Idea: En-Japan (4849 JP)

What makes the company stand out is its Amazon-like focus on doing what’s right for the user - seeking long-term satisfaction not just for their...

Asian Century Stocks

Kanzhun IPO Initiation: Search and Employ

Kanzhun has filed for an $800 m raise, according to press reports. For investors willing to brave the current market selloff in high growth stocks,...

Arun George

Visional Inc IPO Trading Update - Good Demand, Small Upside Based on SOTP

Visional Inc (4194 JP) raised US$609m at JPY5,000 per share, the top-end of its IPO price range. Visional Inc. is a human resources (HR) technology...

Zhen Zhou, Toh

Visional Inc IPO - Pricey Hire

Visional Inc (4194 JP) is looking to raise up to US$609m in its Japan IPO. Visional Inc. is a human resources (HR) technology company based in Japan.

Zhen Zhou, Toh

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