HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The cheap valuations of the Hong Kong market have driven an increase in privatisation activities. Stocks with profit, high net cash, and low P/B are likely candidates.</li>
<li>We discover 29 stocks with net cash more than their market capitalisation while having a P/B of below 0.5x. Many of them are small-cap stocks.</li>
<li>The cheapest five names are trading on P/B of no more than 0.2x. Also, six stocks have their major shareholders owning a significant 75% stake.</li>
</ul>


The cheap valuations of the Hong Kong market have driven an increase in privatisation activities. Stocks with profit, high net cash, and low P/B are likely candidates.
We discover 29 stocks with net cash more than their market capitalisation while having a P/B of below 0.5x. Many of them are small-cap stocks.
The cheapest five names are trading on P/B of no more than 0.2x. Also, six stocks have their major shareholders owning a significant 75% stake.


China & HK Strategy: Are These Stocks Potential Privatisation Targets?

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Get Nice Financial Group Ltd / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/get-nice-financial-group-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK)</a>/GNF offer is conditional on the approval by GNH/GNF shareholders. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/get-nice-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Get Nice Holdings (64 HK)</a>/GNH's shareholder vote is on 22 January. </li>
<li>The GNH vote will comfortably pass as Mr Hung, the controlling shareholder, represents 66.11% of outstanding shares, just shy of the 66.67% required voting threshold.   </li>
<li>The implied offer value has declined by 10%, broadly in line with the median decline in peer share prices. Therefore, the scheme vote remains low-risk. </li>
</ul>


The Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK)/GNF offer is conditional on the approval by GNH/GNF shareholders. Get Nice Holdings (64 HK)/GNH's shareholder vote is on 22 January. 
The GNH vote will comfortably pass as Mr Hung, the controlling shareholder, represents 66.11% of outstanding shares, just shy of the 66.67% required voting threshold.   
The implied offer value has declined by 10%, broadly in line with the median decline in peer share prices. Therefore, the scheme vote remains low-risk. 


Get Nice Financial (1469 HK): Attractive Spread Ahead of Get Nice Holdings (64 HK)’s EGM Vote

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/get-nice-financial-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29667:1" rel="noopener">Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK)</a>/GNF’s scheme offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/get-nice-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16415:1" rel="noopener">Get Nice Holdings (64 HK)</a>/GNH is at 4 GNH shares per GNF share + HK$0.50 scheme dividend.</li>
<li>The implied GNF offer value is HK$1.116, a 39.5% premium to the last close. The offer is conditional on the GNH/GNF shareholder approval, which is low risk</li>
<li>The share exchange ratio is attractive compared to historical price ratios, precedent transactions, and peer multiples. This is a done deal and is likely the first step towards privatising GNH.</li>
</ul>



Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK)/GNF’s scheme offer from Get Nice Holdings (64 HK)/GNH is at 4 GNH shares per GNF share + HK$0.50 scheme dividend.
The implied GNF offer value is HK$1.116, a 39.5% premium to the last close. The offer is conditional on the GNH/GNF shareholder approval, which is low risk
The share exchange ratio is attractive compared to historical price ratios, precedent transactions, and peer multiples. This is a done deal and is likely the first step towards privatising GNH.


Get Nice Financial (1469 HK): Get Nice Holdings (64 HK) Share Exchange Offer

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/get-nice-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16415:1" rel="noopener">Get Nice Holdings (64 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/get-nice-financial-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29667:1" rel="noopener">Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK)</a> are on a trading halt “<em>in relation to the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers.</em>”</li>
<li>Mr Hung (Chairman) is likely to reload his 2020 offer. The key difference is that he will seek to privatise GNH at this time.   </li>
<li>We use three methods to triangulate the likely offer price. Our methods suggest a price range of HK$0.179-0.251 per share, a 16.3%-62.8% premium to the last close</li>
</ul>



Get Nice Holdings (64 HK) and Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK) are on a trading halt “in relation to the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers.”
Mr Hung (Chairman) is likely to reload his 2020 offer. The key difference is that he will seek to privatise GNH at this time.   
We use three methods to triangulate the likely offer price. Our methods suggest a price range of HK$0.179-0.251 per share, a 16.3%-62.8% premium to the last close


Get Nice Holdings (64 HK): Chairman to Reload with a Privatisation Offer?

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mason-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17664:1" rel="noopener">Mason Group Holdings (273 HK)</a>'s scheme document is out, with the vote scheduled for 3 October. The IFA considers Red Emerald Capital’s HK$0.0338 per share offer fair and reasonable. </li>
<li>The key conditions are SFC approval and the scheme approved by at least 75% disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% disinterested shareholders rejection). Peer de-rating has helped the attractiveness of the offer.</li>
<li>Shareholders with blocking stakes have provided irrevocables or will accept due to the attractive ROI. At the last close and for the 21 November payment, the gross/annualised spread is 9.0%/52.1%.</li>
</ul>



Mason Group Holdings (273 HK)'s scheme document is out, with the vote scheduled for 3 October. The IFA considers Red Emerald Capital’s HK$0.0338 per share offer fair and reasonable. 
The key conditions are SFC approval and the scheme approved by at least 75% disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% disinterested shareholders rejection). Peer de-rating has helped the attractiveness of the offer.
Shareholders with blocking stakes have provided irrevocables or will accept due to the attractive ROI. At the last close and for the 21 November payment, the gross/annualised spread is 9.0%/52.1%.


Mason Group (273 HK): A Wide Spread with the Scheme Vote on 3 October

Hong Kong

Emperor Capital Group Ltd. is a financial services company. The Company provides brokerage services for securities, futures and options; margin and initial public offer financings; and loans and advances to its clients.

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Emperor Capital (717 HK)

China & HK Strategy: Are These Stocks Potential Privatisation Targets?

Hong Kong market sees a rise in privatisation as cheap valuations attract investors. We developed a list of 29 stocks attractive for potential...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Get Nice Financial (1469 HK): Attractive Spread Ahead of Get Nice Holdings (64 HK)’s EGM Vote

The GNH vote will comfortably pass, and the GNF scheme vote remains low-risk. At the last close, the gross/annualised spread for an end-March...

Arun George

Get Nice Holdings (64 HK): Chairman to Reload with a Privatisation Offer?

Mr Hung Hon Man (founder and Chairman) is likely to reload his 2020 offer. The key difference is that he will seek to privatise GNH now.

Arun George

Mason Group (273 HK): A Wide Spread with the Scheme Vote on 3 October

Mason's scheme comfortably clears the vote. Minority participation rate was high at 88.84% with only 0.34% of disinterested shareholders voting...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China & HK Strategy: Are These Stocks Potential Privatisation Targets?

​Hong Kong market sees a rise in privatisation as cheap valuations attract investors. We developed a list of 29 stocks attractive for potential...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Get Nice Financial (1469 HK): Attractive Spread Ahead of Get Nice Holdings (64 HK)’s EGM Vote

The GNH vote will comfortably pass, and the GNF scheme vote remains low-risk. At the last close, the gross/annualised spread for an end-March...

Arun George

Get Nice Financial (1469 HK): Get Nice Holdings (64 HK) Share Exchange Offer

The share exchange ratio is attractive compared to historical price ratios, precedent transactions, and peer multiples. This is a done deal and is...

Arun George

Get Nice Holdings (64 HK): Chairman to Reload with a Privatisation Offer?

Mr Hung Hon Man (founder and Chairman) is likely to reload his 2020 offer. The key difference is that he will seek to privatise GNH now.

Arun George

Mason Group (273 HK): A Wide Spread with the Scheme Vote on 3 October

Mason's scheme comfortably clears the vote. Minority participation rate was high at 88.84% with only 0.34% of disinterested shareholders voting...

Arun George

Hong Kong market sees a rise in privatisation as cheap valuations attract investors. We developed a list of 29 stocks attractive for potential...