Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>It's probably not a good idea to chase the AI mania surge by buying the likes of NVIDIA, AMD, Micron etc at their currently highly elevated share prices</li>
<li>Taiwan has a large ecosystem of semiconductor companies many of which are critical to the AI hardware supply chain</li>
<li>We present a range of options with exposure to AI hardware for your consideration including foundry, fabless IC design, server BMC &amp; Copper Clad Laminate</li>
</ul>


It's probably not a good idea to chase the AI mania surge by buying the likes of NVIDIA, AMD, Micron etc at their currently highly elevated share prices
Taiwan has a large ecosystem of semiconductor companies many of which are critical to the AI hardware supply chain
We present a range of options with exposure to AI hardware for your consideration including foundry, fabless IC design, server BMC &amp; Copper Clad Laminate


Missed The AI Mania Surge? Here's A Few Options Still Worth Considering

Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC's manufacturing value only accounts for 1/4 of H100 HGX bill of materials but HBM3 accounts for more than half;</li>
<li>ABF substrate, SXM5 module, UBB and CCL vendors should be benefited, especially for Ibiden Co Ltd (4062 JP) on ABF substrate/OAM and Elite Material (2383 TT) on OAM/UBB CCL;</li>
<li>Nvidia AI GPU likely doubling each year in next two years; Our estimates on Nvidia 2025 AI GPU EPS contribution are exceeding Bloomberg consensus earnings estimates, suggesting room to raise.</li>
</ul>


TSMC's manufacturing value only accounts for 1/4 of H100 HGX bill of materials but HBM3 accounts for more than half;
ABF substrate, SXM5 module, UBB and CCL vendors should be benefited, especially for Ibiden Co Ltd (4062 JP) on ABF substrate/OAM and Elite Material (2383 TT) on OAM/UBB CCL;
Nvidia AI GPU likely doubling each year in next two years; Our estimates on Nvidia 2025 AI GPU EPS contribution are exceeding Bloomberg consensus earnings estimates, suggesting room to raise.


BOM Cost and CoWoS Demand Analysis on Nvidia AI GPU HGX for 2023-2025, Room to Raise Estimates

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 13th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD22.3bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Hon Hai Precision Industry, King Yuan Electronics, Wiwynn, Evergreen Marine, Yang Ming Marine, Elite Material.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 13th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD22.3bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Hon Hai Precision Industry, King Yuan Electronics, Wiwynn, Evergreen Marine, Yang Ming Marine, Elite Material.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Dec 13th): Hon Hai Precision Industry, King Yuan Electronics, Wiwynn

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 13th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,021.0bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD704mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Mediatek, Alchip Technologies, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Quanta Computer, TSMC, Accton Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 13th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,021.0bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD704mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Mediatek, Alchip Technologies, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Quanta Computer, TSMC, Accton Technology.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 13th): Mediatek, Alchip Technologies, Hon Hai Precision Industry

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 6th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,025.5bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,710mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Asia Vital Components, Mediatek, Elite Material, China Airlines, Accton Technology, Hon Hai Precision Industry.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 6th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,025.5bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,710mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Asia Vital Components, Mediatek, Elite Material, China Airlines, Accton Technology, Hon Hai Precision Industry.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 6th): TSMC, Asia Vital Components, Mediatek, Elite Material

Taiwan

Elite Material Co., Ltd manufactures and markets prepared laminated cover claddings for double-sided and multi-layer printed circuit boards.

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Elite Material (2383 TT)

Missed The AI Mania Surge? Here's A Few Options Still Worth Considering

NVIDIA et al no longer make sense to invest in at current levels. We present a range of options with exposure to AI hardware including foundry,...

William Keating

BOM Cost and CoWoS Demand Analysis on Nvidia AI GPU HGX for 2023-2025, Room to Raise Estimates

After conducting our in depth bill of materials and CoWoS demand analysis on Nvidia H100 AI GPU HGX for 2023-2025, we conclude Bloomberg estimates...

Andrew Lu

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Dec 13th): Hon Hai Precision Industry, King Yuan Electronics, Wiwynn

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Hon Hai Precision Industry, King Yuan...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 13th): Mediatek, Alchip Technologies, Hon Hai Precision Industry

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Mediatek, Alchip Technologies, Hon Hai Precision...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 6th): TSMC, Asia Vital Components, Mediatek, Elite Material

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Asia Vital Components, Mediatek, Elite...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)