Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector, Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Ankush Kathuria CFA, FRM

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector

Maritime Sector, Equity & Credit Research

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

With no ties to other players in the shipping, finance or banking world, we provide a uniquely impartial view of the markets and companies we cover. Our parent organization, Drewry is a leading independent provider of research services to the maritime and shipping industry, employing over 100 professionals across an international network of offices in London, Delhi, Singapore and Shanghai. Combining our market-leading resources with seasoned sector expertise DFRS offers a highly differentiated and comprehensive range of investment and financial research services to lenders and prospective investors in publicly listed maritime and shipping companies. The full service of reports, supporting resources and sector orientated webinars provides our clients with the most complete picture of the organisations under coverage as is possible. We have been charting and analysing the world’s maritime markets for more than 40 years. This unrivalled intelligence and understanding provides the foundation of our research service. Our analysts have access to one of the most up-to-date, comprehensive and reliable sources of market insight and research data available today. We look at globally listed companies within the following sectors: Port Operators, Container Shipping, Container Manufacturing & Leasing, LNG Shipping, Dry Bulk Shipping and Tanker Shipping. Combine in-depth sector expertise with financial analysis focusing on over 50 stocks globally.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Since the GFC, the global port operators have been under-performing the MSCI world index. The divergence has increased in the last 18 months and is now reaching an extreme. Does this make the sector a buy? We believe the industry dynamics are changing and the sector is pricing in  a structural slowdown in global trade. The growth industry has matured and is now more akin to valuations given to a utilities business i.e. P/E compression is in play despite still strong margins and earnings. We believe that ports sector on a macro basis is moving from a growth stock to a value stock which commands stable but lower P/E.  Wider implications for this would be the investor profile for the ports will change as more value investors get in and growth investors move away. We expect Chinese operators to get aggressive on M&amp;A and cheapest valuation in the sector in years on account of structural weakness to drive M&amp;A.

Since the GFC, the global port operators have been under-performing the MSCI world index. The divergence has increased in the last 18 months and is now reaching an extreme. Does this make the sector a buy? We believe the industry dynamics are changing and the sector is pricing in  a structural slowdown in global trade. The growth industry has matured and is now more akin to valuations given to a utilities business i.e. P/E compression is in play despite still strong margins and earnings. We believe that ports sector on a macro basis is moving from a growth stock to a value stock which commands stable but lower P/E.  Wider implications for this would be the investor profile for the ports will change as more value investors get in and growth investors move away. We expect Chinese operators to get aggressive on M&amp;A and cheapest valuation in the sector in years on account of structural weakness to drive M&amp;A. 

Port Operators - Valuations Downshift on Structural Changes

Frontier and emerging markets (Vietnam)

Dylan Waller

Nomadic Equity

Transition from the Irish Stock Exchange to the London Stock ExchangeDragon Capital’s fund <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/22754" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22754">Vietnam Enterprise Investments Limited</a>, which currently trades on the Irish Stock Exchange, may trade on the main market of the London Stock Exchange next month.  The company plans to hold an Extraordinary General Meeting on June the 21st to vote on the approval of this transfer, which is expected to potentially take place next month.  The fund currently manages over $850 million, and is most notable for…

Transition from the Irish Stock Exchange to the London Stock ExchangeDragon Capital’s fund Vietnam Enterprise Investments Limited, which currently trades on the Irish Stock Exchange, may trade on the main market of the London Stock Exchange next month.  The company plans to hold an Extraordinary General Meeting on June the 21st to vote on the approval of this transfer, which is expected to potentially take place next month.  The fund currently manages over $850 million, and is most notable for…

Dragon Capital's VEIL Fund: A 3rd London Listing for Vietnam May Emerge Next Month

Mixed monetary stance adopted by the central banks; dry bulk shipping stage a comeback• China’s thrust is on credit expansion, but growth remains sluggish• Investors’ interest reignited in dry bulk stocks amid the rally in Baltic indices• Gas shipping stocks getting back on investors’ radar; Gaslog emerges as the top performer• Amid container industry realignment, price performance a mixed bag• Correction in tanker stock valuations inevitable as freight rates to soften further • Well-ingrained dampeners surprise with growth for ports

Mixed monetary stance adopted by the central banks; dry bulk shipping stage a comeback• China’s thrust is on credit expansion, but growth remains sluggish• Investors’ interest reignited in dry bulk stocks amid the rally in Baltic indices• Gas shipping stocks getting back on investors’ radar; Gaslog emerges as the top performer• Amid container industry realignment, price performance a mixed bag• Correction in tanker stock valuations inevitable as freight rates to soften further • Well-ingrained dampeners surprise with growth for ports

Last year saw a record amount of container-ship capacity hit the water. We take a look at which operators accepted delivery and which trades they deployed them in. Record delieveries, record maximum ship size.  Last year was full of records in the container shipping industry, but unfortunately for carriers they were mostly of the unwanted variety. One such record (made by bad by virtue of the second worst ever demand growth) was a record intake of new ships. There were 209 new ships that hit the…

Last year saw a record amount of container-ship capacity hit the water. We take a look at which operators accepted delivery and which trades they deployed them in. Record delieveries, record maximum ship size.  Last year was full of records in the container shipping industry, but unfortunately for carriers they were mostly of the unwanted variety. One such record (made by bad by virtue of the second worst ever demand growth) was a record intake of new ships. There were 209 new ships that hit the…

Container Shipping - 2015 Full of Records, Big Ships, Super Size Me and It Ain't Over Yet

Container Shipping - Woes for Carriers Deepen, Stay Sellers of APMMContract rates under severe pressure, losses to widen. According to Drewry’s Benchmarking Club, ocean freight rates for cargo moving under contracts on the major East-West trade routes have already dropped by 20% in the year to February and are on course to see further deep reductions from May. The Drewry Benchmarking Club Contract Rate Index, based on Trans Pacific and Asia-Europe contract freight rate data, declined by another…

Container Shipping - Woes for Carriers Deepen, Stay Sellers of APMMContract rates under severe pressure, losses to widen. According to Drewry’s Benchmarking Club, ocean freight rates for cargo moving under contracts on the major East-West trade routes have already dropped by 20% in the year to February and are on course to see further deep reductions from May. The Drewry Benchmarking Club Contract Rate Index, based on Trans Pacific and Asia-Europe contract freight rate data, declined by another…

Container Shipping - Woes for Carriers Deepen, Stay Sellers of APMM

United Kingdom

Dart Group plc, an aviation services and distribution group, operates cargo and passenger aircraft on charter contracts and scheduled low cost services throughout Europe.  The Group also distributes fresh produce and temperature controlled products to supermarkets and wholesale markets throughout the United Kingdom.  Dart conducts freight forwarding services from various airports.

International Distributions Services plc provides postal and delivery services. The Company offers letter and parcel delivery services. International Distributions Services serves consumers, sole traders, SMEs, large businesses, and access operators worldwide.

International Distributions Services (IDS LN)

Novorossiysk Commercial Sea Port PJSC owns and operates the Novorossiysk Port on the BlackSea. The Company processes, loads, and unloads cargo. Novorossiysk Commercial Sea Trade Port handles mainly crude oil but also services dry cargo such as metals, cement, sugar, grain and containers.

Clarkson PLC provides integrated shipping services, The Company provides shipbroking, ship management, financial services, fund management and property services.  Clarkson operates throughout the world.

Stolt-Nielsen Ltd. is a global company with significant operations within various maritime related industries. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides integrated transportation services for bulk liquid chemicals, edible oil, and other specialty liquids.

Gama Aviation Plc provides business aviation services. The company offers aircraft management services for aircraft owners, such as fuel and insurance, crew, and maintenance services; aircraft chartering services; aero-medical services; and contract air services. It also provides phased or base maintenance, line maintenance, and design and modifications services; fixed base operations comprising parking, hangarage, and fueling, of aircraft and the processing of passengers; rotary maintenance, general aviation maintenance, aviation engineering design, avionics upgrades, and flight training services; and Airops software for third party FBO and flight management departments. It has operations in Europe, Asia, North America, and the Middle East. Gama Aviation Plc was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Farnborough, the United Kingdom.

FirstGroup plc is an international passenger group which has bus and rail operations in the United Kingdom and North America.  The Group's operations comprise bus and passenger rail franchises, in addition to transit management, school bus operations, and fleet maintenance.

Northgate PLC is a light commercial vehicle rental business operating in the United Kingdom and Spain. The Company's core business is flexible vehicle rentals.  Northgate also sells former rental vehicles to both retail and trade customers.

Wincanton plc provides a variety of consumer and industrial logistics services. The Group's business consists of the operation, design and procurement of automated warehouses and storage systems.  Wincanton also provides fleet management services, which encompass the planning, operation and maintenance of customer distribution networks and vehicle fleets.

Mobico Group PLC operates as a passenger transportation company. The Company offers shared mobility solutions to cities, businesses, education, healthcare, and customers. Mobico Group conducts its business worldwide.

China Eastern Airlines Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates in the civil aviation industry. It offers passenger, cargo, mail delivery, ground, cargo handling, and other extended transportation services.

China Airlines Limited provides scheduled international air transportation for passengers and cargo freight throughout cities in Europe, America, Asia, and Australia.

SkyWest, Inc. operates regional airlines that offer scheduled passenger service to destinations in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and the Caribbean.

Hanjin KAL Corporation is a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, engages in airline, hotel, and travel related services. Hanjin also invests in real estates.

Alaska Air Group, Inc. is an airline holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides air service to passengers in multiple destinations. Alaska Air also provide freight and mail services, primarily to and within the state of Alaska and on the West Coast.

EVA Airways Corp. is an air carrier that transports passengers and cargos. The Company operates primarily in Taiwan and serves international route networks in North America, Asia, Europe, and Australasia.

Air Canada provides domestic and international carrier service. The Company provides scheduled and charter air transportation for passengers and cargo. AirCanada services Canada, the United States, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and the Caribbean.

Pegasus Hava Tasimaciligi AS offers scheduled air passenger transportation services. The Company offers air transport services within Turkey and between Turkey and other European destinations.

Juneyao Airlines Co. Ltd. supplies air transportation services. The Company provides domestic and international routes for passengers and cargoes. Juneyao Airlines also offers ticket home delivery and electronic ticketing services.

Cathay Pacific Airways Limited operates scheduled airline services. The Company also provides related services, including airline catering, aircraft handling, and engineering.

easyJet plc, a low-cost passenger airline, conducts operations throughout the United Kingdom and mainland Europe.  The Company sells the majority of its tickets through its Web site.

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easyJet PLC (EZJ LN)

Port Operators - Valuations Downshift on Structural Changes

Since the GFC, the global port operators have been under-performing the MSCI world index. The divergence has increased in the last 18 months and is...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Dragon Capital's VEIL Fund: A 3rd London Listing for Vietnam May Emerge Next Month

Transition from the Irish Stock Exchange to the London Stock ExchangeDragon Capital’s fund Vietnam Enterprise Investments Limited, which currently...

Nomadic Equity

DMER Equity Insights - May 2016

Mixed monetary stance adopted by the central banks; dry bulk shipping stage a comeback• China’s thrust is on credit expansion, but growth remains...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Container Shipping - 2015 Full of Records, Big Ships, Super Size Me and It Ain't Over Yet

Last year saw a record amount of container-ship capacity hit the water. We take a look at which operators accepted delivery and which trades they...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Container Shipping - Woes for Carriers Deepen, Stay Sellers of APMM

Container Shipping - Woes for Carriers Deepen, Stay Sellers of APMMContract rates under severe pressure, losses to widen. According to Drewry’s...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

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