Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul><li>This is our first report on Dynatrace, a well-known software intelligence platform for dynamic multi-cloud environments.</li><li>The strength of its enterprise customer base and the resilience of its subscription model is reflected in the Q1 performance.</li><li>This offers a solid base from which the company anticipates continuing to deliver a balanced business of growth, profitability, and cash flow.</li></ul>

This is our first report on Dynatrace, a well-known software intelligence platform for dynamic multi-cloud environments.The strength of its enterprise customer base and the resilience of its subscription model is reflected in the Q1 performance.This offers a solid base from which the company anticipates continuing to deliver a balanced business of growth, profitability, and cash flow.

Dynatrace Inc: Initiation of Coverage – Growth Prospects & Strategy

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Algosun Global

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Activist hedge fund Jana Partners bought ~2.66M <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-relic-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16283:1" rel="noopener">New Relic Inc (NEWR US)</a>  shares in 2Q22 and upped its stake in the tech company to 5.3%.</li>
<li>According to Reuters, New Relic may explore a potential sale following interest from private equity firms. Mr. Galligan, a partner of Jana Partners, joined the New Relic Board in June. </li>
<li>New Relic shares trade at ~4x EV/Rev on our FY23 revenue estimate, and we think Splunk may set a ceiling on the multiple at which New Relic may be acquired. </li>
</ul>


Activist hedge fund Jana Partners bought ~2.66M New Relic Inc (NEWR US)  shares in 2Q22 and upped its stake in the tech company to 5.3%.
According to Reuters, New Relic may explore a potential sale following interest from private equity firms. Mr. Galligan, a partner of Jana Partners, joined the New Relic Board in June. 
New Relic shares trade at ~4x EV/Rev on our FY23 revenue estimate, and we think Splunk may set a ceiling on the multiple at which New Relic may be acquired. 


Will Jana Partners Have Success In Pushing New Relic For A Sale?

Fundamental Short Selling Research

Eric Fernandez, CFA

TwoRiversAnalytics

<ul>
<li>This model looks for slowing growth, margin declines, sales and/or earnings disappointments, troubling working capital trends, poor estimate trends or lowered guidance, among other characteristics.</li>
<li>The key judgement is whether a slowdown is temporary or the beginning of a trend.  These shorts tend to have high valuations and betas.  Multiple compression accelerates the stock’s decline.</li>
<li>Today we are flagging Repligen, Snap, Dynatrace Inc, Intuitive Surgical</li>
</ul>


This model looks for slowing growth, margin declines, sales and/or earnings disappointments, troubling working capital trends, poor estimate trends or lowered guidance, among other characteristics.
The key judgement is whether a slowdown is temporary or the beginning of a trend.  These shorts tend to have high valuations and betas.  Multiple compression accelerates the stock’s decline.
Today we are flagging Repligen, Snap, Dynatrace Inc, Intuitive Surgical


Breaking Growth Short Candidates: Repligen, Snap, Dynatrace, Intuitive Surgical

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/splunk-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12849:1" rel="noopener">Splunk Inc (SPLK US)</a> , a leading American provider of machine-generated data platform and established software vendor, announced strong 1QFY23 earnings results. </li>
<li>Total revenues grew to $674M, up 34% YoY, the highest revenue growth rate for the last 3 years. Cloud revenues jumped by 66%, reflecting customer adoption of the cloud platform.</li>
<li>WSJ reported that Cisco made a <strong>$20B</strong>+ takeover offer for Splunk. However, no deal was on the table, but if talks resume, Cisco could pay $20B+, according to The NYT.   </li>
</ul>



Splunk Inc (SPLK US) , a leading American provider of machine-generated data platform and established software vendor, announced strong 1QFY23 earnings results. 
Total revenues grew to $674M, up 34% YoY, the highest revenue growth rate for the last 3 years. Cloud revenues jumped by 66%, reflecting customer adoption of the cloud platform.
WSJ reported that Cisco made a $20B+ takeover offer for Splunk. However, no deal was on the table, but if talks resume, Cisco could pay $20B+, according to The NYT.   


1QFY23 Revenue Growth Accelerated As Cloud-Driven Transformation Goes Well

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

<ul>
<li>Revenue grew 69% YoY to $78M vs. consensus at $70M (+52%), with very impressive underlying growth metrics that show the larger customers are the fastest growing.</li>
<li>Increased selling through hyperscaler partners may aid S&amp;M leverage over time. </li>
<li>Acquisition of Opstrace accelerates the platform expansion into observability, but right now positioned vs. nonconsumption rather than against Datadog.</li>
</ul>


Revenue grew 69% YoY to $78M vs. consensus at $70M (+52%), with very impressive underlying growth metrics that show the larger customers are the fastest growing.
Increased selling through hyperscaler partners may aid S&amp;M leverage over time. 
Acquisition of Opstrace accelerates the platform expansion into observability, but right now positioned vs. nonconsumption rather than against Datadog.


United States

Dynatrace, Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, develops software intelligence platform for the enterprise cloud. Dynatrace offers software intelligence platform to allow customers to modernize and automate IT operations, develop and release high quality software faster, and improve user experiences for better business outcomes.

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Dynatrace (DT US)

Dynatrace Inc: Initiation of Coverage – Growth Prospects & Strategy

This is our first report on Dynatrace, a well-known software intelligence platform for dynamic multi-cloud environments. The strength of its...

Baptista Research

Will Jana Partners Have Success In Pushing New Relic For A Sale?

Our analysis suggests that New Relic may be acquired with a premium of 30%-40% vs. current levels, and Jana Partners will succeed by pushing New...

Andrei Zakharov

Breaking Growth Short Candidates: Repligen, Snap, Dynatrace, Intuitive Surgical

Breaking Growth stocks combine declining fundamentals with a multiple compression. This week we flag: Repligen, Snap, Dynatrace, Intuitive Surgical

Eric Fernandez, CFA

1QFY23 Revenue Growth Accelerated As Cloud-Driven Transformation Goes Well

Cloud ARR growth has accelerated, and we expect Splunk shares may outperform Nasdaq Composite and publicly listed peers in 2022

Andrei Zakharov

Gitlab 4Q22 Earnings: Impressive

Gitlab's 4Q22 earnings were impressive. Despite still in heavy loss mode, its best in class NRR and an accelerating adoption of higher priced tiers...

Aaron Gabin

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